We study online optimization with nested shrinking feasible regions in two settings: convex optimization with nested evolving feasible sets (CONES) and adversarial constrained online convex optimization (COCO). Our algorithms separate loss control from geometric movement: constrained minimizers and cumulative-loss tests preserve regret guarantees, while a deterministic resettable nested convex-body chaser limits movement. For CONES with a $G$-Lipschitz, $μ$-strongly convex objective on a diameter-$D$ domain, we chase intersections of the current feasible set with adaptive objective sublevel sets. Using the Euclidean chasing ratio $O(\sqrt{d\log(1+d)})$, we obtain nonpositive regret at every prefix and movement $O(\sqrt{d\log(1+d)\,GD\log(eT)/μ})$. The bound adapts to the increase in the constrained optimum value. In dimension two, with all other parameters fixed, every randomized algorithm with terminal expected regret $O(T^β)$, $β<1$, suffers $Ω(\sqrt{\log T})$ expected movement on some deterministic nested sequence, proving optimal horizon dependence. Under linear growth away from the constrained minimizer set, Steiner-point tracking yields movement independent of $T$. For general convex COCO, one-step-delayed chasing with regularized-leader resets gives regret $O(G_fD\sqrt{d\log(1+d)T})$ and cumulative constraint violation $O(G_gD\sqrt{d\log(1+d)T})$. For strongly convex losses, both are $O(d\log(1+d)\log(eT))$ when other parameters are fixed. These reductions replace the $O(d^{d/2})$ projection-path factor in prior analyses by the polynomial dimension dependence of Euclidean nested convex-body chasing.
Quantum error correction protects logical information only when every physical operation remains below the fault-tolerance threshold, a condition that must be maintained continuously rather than only at the initial calibration. In practice, however, analog control parameters inevitably drift because of environmental fluctuations. As future fault-tolerant quantum computations are expected to run for days or even months, interrupting computation for repeated recalibration becomes fundamentally impractical. A promising alternative is to integrate calibration directly into computation by repurposing syndrome measurements as a calibration signal (Sivak et al, Nature 2026), but whether such self-calibration can be achieved with provable efficiency remains an open question. Here we establish a theoretical framework for self-calibrating quantum fault tolerance. We prove that, for a broad class of control-induced errors, the detection rate defines a locally strongly convex surrogate objective for analog calibration with high probability. This geometric property enables efficient online optimization using only syndrome measurements collected during normal error correction. We prove convergence to an $\varepsilon$ detection rate within $O(1/\varepsilon^2)$ epochs for time-independent drifts and also establish guarantees for time-dependent drifts. We further show that the convergence rate is independent of the code distance for quantum low-density parity-check (LDPC) codes. Pulse-level simulations of neutral-atom arrays and large-scale circuit-level Clifford simulations confirm these theoretical predictions. Our results establish self-calibrating fault tolerance as a provably efficient paradigm in which the same syndrome measurements simultaneously protect logical information and stabilize the underlying hardware.
This paper answers the one-dimensional local root anti-concentration questions posed by Balcan, Pegden, and Sharma in the context of online optimization of piecewise-Lipschitz functions. For a homogeneous feature curve and coefficients whose density relative to the uniform law on a symmetric convex body $K$ is bounded by $A$, we show that the worst-case interval-hitting constant equals $A$ times a section-averaged projective incidence speed. For cube-supported coefficients, this speed is equivalent, up to universal constants, to the projective Lipschitz constant. This yields a sharp, dimension-free characterization and removes the previous $\sqrt N$ loss. For monic degree-$d$ polynomials under arbitrary coefficient laws, we prove that the interval-hitting constant is finite if and only if the ordered real-root laws have bounded densities, with a factor-$d$ comparison that is sharp. Conditional and joint coefficient-space area formulas, together with a two-chart certificate, make this criterion verifiable for dependent and singular coefficient laws. We also give two graph-learning applications that complete the transition-to-regret chain. A cost-sensitive Gaussian-RBF harmonic classifier uses the projective incidence theorem and achieves expected regret $\widetilde O((An^2D e^{BD}/\ell+1)\sqrt T)$. A common-offset polynomial-kernel model uses rigid translation of the ordered roots and achieves $\widetilde O((qn^2κ+1)\sqrt T)$ regret, even when the induced coefficient law is singular in the ambient coefficient space.
We study streaming federated learning with limited client memory, where newly generated training data incur time-varying sampling costs and must be selectively admitted and retained over time. We consider a joint server-side admission and client-side memory-management framework with the objective of minimizing the cumulative excess population risk under a sampling-cost budget and buffer constraints. We first derive a learning-error bound that explicitly captures the effects of instantaneous training sample size, distinct-sample growth, and reuse imbalance through a characterization of the effective sample size. Through a surrogate penalty obtained from this bound, we develop an Active-Constraint Drift-Plus-Penalty (ACDPP) policy that combines a structured client-side $K$-step retention rule with a server-side online admission rule and a time-varying rectangular admission region. We further present a sequence of comparison arguments, via an auxiliary constant-admission policy, that connects the ACDPP learning bound to a costless oracle benchmark. This yields explicit guarantees in terms of sublinear regret and sampling-cost violation, while the buffer-occupancy violation is controlled through offline selection of the retention horizon. Experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate that the proposed policy remains close to the oracle benchmark while satisfying the sampling-cost and buffer constraints.
We study decentralized online optimization for strongly geodesically convex (strongly g-convex) losses on Riemannian manifolds with bounded sectional curvature, including positively curved manifolds. In centralized Riemannian optimization, strong g-convexity tightens the optimal regret from $O(\sqrt{T})$ to $O(\log T)$, where $T$ is the time horizon; in the decentralized Riemannian setting, however, existing methods address only g-convex losses, leaving the strongly g-convex regime unexplored. One challenge is that the required decaying step size in the centralized regime is incompatible with existing network-error analyses, which typically assume a fixed step size. First, we provide a general network-error analysis for time-varying schedules. Next, we build on this analysis to establish the first $O(\log T)$ static regret bound for decentralized online Riemannian gradient descent, matching the minimax-optimal rate for strongly-convex Euclidean online optimization. Finally, we prove the same $O(\log T)$ regret bound for the two-point bandit feedback setting using novel strong subconvexity arguments for the smoothed versions of the loss functions.
Jingwei Ji, Jong-Shi Pang, Renyuan Xumath.OC cs.LG
We study online optimization for a broad class of structured non-convex non-smooth problems where each loss is a composition of a difference-of-convex function with a smooth mapping, and the feasible region is defined by constraint functions of the same kind. We propose a time-smoothed proximal linear algorithm and a local-regret measure based on a proximal residual mapping. We show that this residual is a proper stationarity measure for the original problem: its fixed-point condition implies first-order stationarity. Our analysis relies on a tangent-cone characterization for a feasible region described by composite difference-of-convex constraints, which is of independent interest and allows each update to be computed via a convex optimization oracle, despite the non-convexity of the problem. We establish a local-regret bound and a bound on the total number of inner convex subproblems. We also derive an error bound connecting the proximal residual to the distance to stationarity, providing a quantitative certificate of approximate stationarity.
Online truckload bid acceptance is a closed-loop stochastic decision problem in which a carrier or broker must, in real time, accept or reject a tendered load subject to operational feasibility, fleet repositioning costs, and opportunity cost against future demand. Public, reproducible benchmarks for this problem are scarce: existing routing benchmarks are static, while dynamic-fleet studies typically rely on private operator data. We introduce FreightBidBench, a public-calibrated, dependency-free, closed-loop benchmark in which feasibility (pickup reach, appointment windows, simplified hours-of-service, stochastic yard delays) and economics (service-failure penalty, terminal fleet value, daily price-premium window) are explicit, versioned, and reproducible from public Freight Analysis Framework and U.S. Department of Agriculture truck rate data. We develop two full-horizon hindsight ceilings: a simple LP style relaxation and a tighter Lagrangian-per-truck information relaxation that retains per-truck hours-of-service and sequencing structure and is 20.7% tighter than the LP relaxation on a tight-capacity scenario and 39.3% tighter on a scarce-capacity scenario. We introduce a parametric surrogate-rollout cascade with boundary-band and scarcity-pressure escalation triggers. On ten-seed tight and scarce scenarios, the best simple policy retains 91.0% and 86.5% of rollout profit and the standard-library surrogate 94.2% and 89.3%; a cascade at a single escalation band recovers roughly 98% on both at 40-56% of rollout's mean decision latency, and on the tight scenario is statistically indistinguishable from the rollout teacher (paired-bootstrap 95% CI on the profit delta spans zero).
Steven Heilman, Sampad Mohantycs.LG math.OC stat.ML
We show that projected Adam for online optimization with arbitrary moment decay parameters $β_1,β_2\in[0,1)$ can have average regret bounded away from zero. A similar result of Reddi-Kale-Kumar from 2018 required $β_1<\sqrt{β_2}$. Similar to their result, we use a three-periodic sequence of linear functions on $[-1,1]$ with slopes $c,-1,-1$, though we use $c$ slightly larger than $2$. This nonzero average regret result extends to Adam variants such as AdamW, RMSProp, NAdam, Adan, AdaMax, Muon, and to an i.i.d. variant of the three-periodic sequence of slopes for Adam.
LLM post-training often relies on reinforcement learning methods that sample multiple rollouts per prompt, yet most existing approaches use a fixed rollout budget for every prompt, despite large differences in the training signal different prompts provide. In this paper, we study adaptive rollout allocation under a fixed global budget and formulate the problem as online resource allocation with prompt-level diminishing returns. Our method, CERO, maintains a Beta posterior over each prompt's success probability and uses the posterior expected Bernoulli variance as a Bayesian estimate of the value of additional rollouts. We use this estimate to construct a concave, saturating utility over cumulative allocations, yielding an objective in which decisions across prompts and epochs are coupled by the global budget. Since the resulting objective is temporally nonseparable, we derive a Fenchel-dual reformulation and update both prompt-level and budget-level dual variables via projected online gradient descent. Under fixed prompt utilities, we prove an $O(\sqrt{K})$ regret bound against the offline allocation benchmark. Experiments on mathematical-reasoning problems show that CERO consistently outperforms GRPO across multiple open-weight LLMs and benchmarks, demonstrating that adaptive rollout budgeting can improve sample efficiency.
Curvature adaptivity is a classical theme in online optimization: for convex Lipschitz losses, adaptive methods interpolate between the optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret for general convex losses and $O(\log T)$ regret under strong convexity. Recent work has shown that Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) achieves optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret even for online non-convex Lipschitz losses, assuming access to an approximate offline-optimization oracle, but these guarantees do not exploit curvature. We show that FTPL can be made curvature-adaptive in the non-convex setting, without knowing in advance how curvature will accumulate over time. Our algorithm replaces the fixed perturbation scale of standard FTPL with a time-varying scale chosen using only past information. We give a simple follow-the-leader tuning rule for this scale and show that it competes, up to constants, with the best choice in hindsight. The resulting method achieves $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret for arbitrary non-convex Lipschitz losses and improves as cumulative curvature grows; with sufficiently accurate oracle calls, it achieves $O(\log T)$ regret when cumulative curvature grows linearly, which includes the classical strongly convex regime. We complement these upper bounds with matching lower bounds for prescribed cumulative-curvature sequences, already for one-dimensional convex losses, showing that the tradeoff between worst-case non-convex regret and curvature-driven fast rates is intrinsic.