Nonlinear Bayesian Estimator for Parameter Learning: A Fixed-Point Characterization

This paper presents a nonlinear parameter estimator for Wiener-type state-space models obtained as a fixed-point architecture that couples two affine minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) estimators: one for the unknown parameters and one for latent variables. The architecture retains the functional structure of the optimal affine MMSE parameter estimator while incorporating Dynamic Basis Statistics (DBS) estimates that summarize nonlinear basis-function evaluations. Two DBS construction strategies are developed, leading to two nonlinear estimator frameworks. The dual basis-parameter estimator combines an affine basis estimator with the affine parameter estimator, whereas the dual state-parameter estimator first computes affine state estimates and their covariances, then maps these state-estimate statistics through a Gaussian DBS operator to obtain DBS estimates. Both dual estimators admit fixed-point characterizations that alternate between estimating each component using the updated prior of the other, obtained from that component's plug-in estimate statistics from the previous iteration. The efficacy of the proposed methods is examined via extensive Monte Carlo experiments, showing that the dual basis-parameter estimator attains parameter mean-squared errors comparable to those of the purely affine parameter estimator, while the dual state-parameter estimator achieves the lowest parameter mean-squared error, outperforming both the dual basis-parameter and purely affine parameter estimators, as well as sequential Monte Carlo variants of classical Particle Gibbs and Expectation-Maximization schemes.

Learning Over-Relaxation Policies for ADMM with Convergence Guarantees

The Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) is a widely used method for structured convex optimization, and its practical performance depends strongly on the choice of penalty and relaxation parameters. Motivated by settings such as Model Predictive Control (MPC), where one repeatedly solves related optimization problems with fixed structure and changing parameter values, we propose learning online updates of the relaxation parameter to improve performance on problem classes of interest. This choice is computationally attractive in OSQP-like architectures, since adapting relaxation does not trigger the matrix refactorizations associated with penalty updates. We establish convergence guarantees for ADMM with time-varying penalty and relaxation parameters under mild assumptions, and show on benchmark quadratic programs that the resulting learned policies improve both iteration count and wall-clock time over baseline OSQP.