Mattia Scarpa, Evgeny Kusmenko, Francesco Toso +3eess.SY cs.LG
Data-driven health-state estimators for SiC (Silica-Carbide) power modules typically report their performance on a single accelerated-aging campaign, and how that performance transfers to a different failure mechanism is rarely tested. We benchmark five reference methods from the prognostics and condition-monitoring literature against a physics-informed NODE (Neural Ordinary Differential Equation) on two SiC power-cycling campaigns driven by structurally different failure mechanisms, solder-layer fatigue and wire-bond lift-off, under a per-module $k$-fold protocol. The NODE is evaluated under two input regimes that share the rest of the pipeline: the baseline electrical precursors and a set of cumulative thermoelectric features. Every reference method degrades on the wire-bond campaign, with average errors growing and precision decreasing with respect to their performance on the soldered campaign. The NODE fed with the cumulative features keeps its soldered-campaign metrics on both mechanisms, with differences inside the fold-to-fold variance, while the same architecture fed with the baseline precursors falls back to the reference-method cluster. The input representation contributes at least as much as the architecture to failure-mechanism transferability of a health-state estimator.
Mattia Scarpa, Evgeny Kusmenko, Francesco Toso +3eess.SY cs.LG
Silicon carbide (SiC) power modules are increasingly deployed in automotive traction inverters, where condition monitoring is essential to prevent in-service failures. Despite extensive qualification under AQG 324, no consolidated approach exists for in-field health state estimation: physics-of-failure lifetime models lack real-time applicability, purely data-driven architectures require large labeled datasets and generalize poorly, and physics-informed frameworks remain too demanding for embedded deployment. We address SiC MOSFET modules assembled with sintered packaging, which suppresses solder degradation and produces aging behavior distinct from previously studied devices. Instead of the smooth quasi-exponential drift of solder-based modules, the forward voltage drop $V_{DS}$ exhibits multi-regime profiles, with wirebond liftoff events introducing abrupt, non-monotonic perturbations. We propose a condition monitoring framework combining three elements. First, physics-informed features replace raw sensor signals with cumulative damage indicators derived from junction temperature swing, mean junction temperature and a Miner rule accumulator, encoding degradation history in an interpretable form. Second, a monotonicity constraint enforced by gradient penalty regularization embeds the expected degradation direction as a physics-guided prior. Third, a heavy-tailed output distribution replaces the point estimate, giving calibrated uncertainty robust to the out-of-distribution variance introduced by liftoff. On an industrial power cycling dataset from Infineon Technologies, several neural architectures are compared under a strict cross-validation protocol. The full configuration reduces mean absolute error by approximately 70% over purely data-driven baselines and stays stable across all folds, while remaining lightweight enough for embedded deployment.
The increasing integration of Electric Vehicles (EVs) has imposed a growing harmonic challenge on the power grid. For AC/DC Power Factor Correction (PFC) in single-phase On-Board Chargers (OBCs), Model Predictive Current Control (MPCC) improves the current quality by predicting and tracking the inductor current. However, finite control set MPCC selects switching states, resulting in discrete control actions and a limited optimisation space. Moreover, the MPCC cost function based on instantaneous current tracking error has limited capability to compensate for low-order harmonic disturbances induced by dead time, control delay, and model parameter mismatch. This paper proposes a duty cycle predictive MPCC incorporating a real-time harmonic estimation reference. The proposed method dynamically estimates the low-order harmonic components of the input current and corrects the MPCC reference current, enabling continuous duty cycle control and targeted suppression of dominant low-order harmonics. Simulation results on a single-phase OBC demonstrate that the proposed duty cycle predictive MPCC reduces the steady-state current THD_i from 11.47% to 6.10% compared with the switching state predictive MPCC. With the harmonic reference, the THD_i is further reduced to 2.85%.
The application of artificial intelligence methods in power electronic converter modeling is becoming increasingly widespread, but existing applications still face many challenges, such as difficulties in multi-time-scale hybrid analysis and the lack of physics-aware evaluation criteria and constraints, resulting in poor performance. This paper proposes a Neural Controlled Differential Equation (Neural CDE) framework for learning continuous-time surrogate models of grid-forming inverters for electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulation, which relaxes the constraint of fixed sampling rates and enables multi-time-scale control analysis. Then, an affine-control formulation with dual slow/fast pathways is proposed to capture the hierarchical and multiscale behavior of converter dynamics, and a physics-inspired regularization method is utilized to enhance stability and coherence. Evaluated on EMT-generated trajectories, the model accurately reproduces transient responses, preserves effective damping and the dominant oscillatory characteristics, and maintains bounded long-horizon rollouts. The results show that Neural CDE-based component modeling offers a physically consistent surrogate modeling approach for EMT-level simulation studies.
The growing use of fast-switching power electronics has made partial discharge (PD) analysis under switching-voltage excitation increasingly important, yet more challenging than under sinusoidal conditions due to activity concentrated at voltage transitions. This work presents an Amplitude-Width-Area (AWA) pattern representation for source-oriented PD analysis under switching-voltage excitation. In the proposed method, time domain PD pulses are characterized using pulse amplitude, width, and area, and mapped into a visual pattern where amplitude and area define the coordinate axes and width is encoded by color. The generated AWA patterns are used to distinguish six single and mixed PD source conditions: corona, internal, surface, corona+internal, corona+surface, and internal+surface. To evaluate the classification capability of the proposed representation, a Random Forest baseline and two Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) models, InceptionV3 and ResNet-18, are compared. The AWA patterns show distinguishable source-dependent distributions, and CNN-based classification achieves testing accuracy above 96%, compared with 73.33% for Random Forest. The results indicate that AWA patterns provide a visual representation of PD pulses suitable for multi-class PD source classification under switching-voltage excitation.