Cross-Regional Grapevine Cold Hardiness Prediction via Learned Multimodal Latent Representations

Accurate daily predictions of cold hardiness in woody plants are critical in regions where freezing temperatures can damage dormant buds and reduce seasonal yield. Existing biophysical, hybrid, and deep learning models have shown high predictive accuracy when trained on local data but remain largely site-specific. The limited availability of cold hardiness data, coupled with the lack of principled methods for transferring cold hardiness predictions to new regions and cultivars, has limited the broader adoption and practical utility of these approaches, particularly in data-scarce regions. To address these limitations, we propose a cold hardiness prediction framework that learns a transferable latent representation by capturing region-specific variation through learned embeddings. To enable prediction in previously unseen regions, we infer embeddings from (1) text descriptions of the cultivar and growing region, and (2) limited historical observations, supporting both zero-shot and few-shot transfer. Experiments on datasets from six regions across North America demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms state-of-the-art cold hardiness prediction methods, yielding more accurate predictions and substantially improving transfer to data-scarce regions.

Topological Data Analysis and Graph-Theoretic Approaches for Tennis Match Prediction

We present two approaches for predicting tennis match outcomes using topological data analysis and graph theory on ATP singles matches from 2000-2025. The first method applies lower-star filtration to player competitive networks, extracting topological features through persistent homology using four summary methods (VAB, HNAV, HWNAV, OW-HNPV) combined with Modified Band Depth analysis. Algorithmic optimizations including ego graph approximations and triangle elimination enable analysis of about 66k matches. Our Random Forest model achieves 66.2% accuracy (AUC = 0.719) using topological, graph-theoretic, and ranking features. Feature importance analysis reveals that rankings contribute 36.3%, centralities 25.5%, and TDA features 24.0%, with topological features providing complementary signal. When rankings are unavailable, the topology-only model maintains 63.56% accuracy, demonstrating that network-derived features alone capture meaningful competitive structure. The second method uses a modified Katz similarity index with temporal edge weighting, achieving 62.48% accuracy on held-out test data. This work represents the first application of lower-star filtration to tennis prediction, provides systematic comparison of four topological summary methods in sports analytics, and demonstrates that TDA can achieve above-chance prediction using network topology alone while providing additional value when combined with traditional features.

What Probing Reveals about Autonomous Driving: Linking Internal Prediction Errors to Ego Planning

Large-scale datasets and fast simulators have enabled improvements in driving policies that appear safe and robust, yet strong performance in nominal scenarios can still mask flawed reasoning and unsafe heuristics. Summary scores from closed-loop simulators do not give significant insight into the policy, making it difficult to determine whether they truly predict the motion of surrounding vehicles, how the ego vehicle generates future plans, or whether they merely rely on brittle heuristics that happen to succeed in nominal scenarios. To better understand the limits and weaknesses of driving policies, we focus on probing for forms of prediction, i.e., where surrounding vehicles will move next, and planning, i.e., understanding how to generate safe trajectories. We focus on these two capabilities because they reflect behaviors expected of effective driving policies, and use their presence or absence to assess policy quality across data-driven behavior cloning and simulation-driven reinforcement learning policies. To evaluate the presence of these capabilities, we investigate them as a function of scale, asking whether the closed-loop gains from larger datasets and longer simulation training reflect stronger prediction and planning or merely better behavioral heuristics. We use linear probing and targeted perturbations in both imitation learning and reinforcement learning models to track when these internal signals emerge, plateau, or fail. Despite good closed-loop performance, policies often fail to form timely surrounding-vehicle predictions during near-collision events, revealing a limitation in the predictive signals available for ego planning. Finally, causal intervention shows that correcting mistaken predictions improves ego planning toward safer trajectories.

Contrastive Predictive Coding with Compression for Enhanced Channel State Feedback in Wireless Networks

Accurate and timely channel state information (CSI) is essential for next-generation wireless systems, yet existing works treat CSI compression and CSI prediction as separate problems, both in academia and in current 3GPP studies. Consequently, channel aging remains insufficiently addressed within standardized CSI feedback pipelines. In this article, we propose a unified compression-prediction framework that integrates Contrastive Predictive Coding (CPC) directly into the 3GPP-compliant CSI compression architecture. Instead of predicting high-dimensional CSI matrices, our approach forecasts future latent representations and jointly optimizes reconstruction fidelity and temporal predictive coherence via a combined 1-SGCS and InfoNCE objective. This design enables temporal representation learning without increasing feedback overhead. We present two variants: CPC-before-Compression, which performs autoregressive modeling on encoded features prior to quantization, and CPC-after-Compression, which shifts temporal modeling to the base-station to reduce the complexity of users' devices. Evaluations on 3GPP-compliant datasets from Nokia, Oppo, and CATT show that CPC-before-Compression achieves over 90% reconstruction accuracy with 32x lower decoder GFLOPs than the 3GPP baseline, while CPC-after-Compression preserves an identical encoder footprint and the same 64-bit feedback overhead. By unifying compression and prediction within a standardized pipeline, the proposed framework provides an age-aware, computationally efficient CSI feedback solution. The source code is publicly available at: https://github.com/AhmedRadwan02/cpc-3gpp

Review of Machine Learning Models for Solar Energetic Particle Prediction

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events have attracted increasing attention due to their significant radiation hazards for aviation, spacecraft electronics, and human missions beyond Earth's magnetosphere. From a scientific perspective, SEP events are intriguing because they arise from a set of physical processes extending from the solar surface and corona through the heliosphere, offering insight into particle acceleration and transport mechanisms that are widely applicable across astrophysics. Therefore, advancing our ability to understand and predict SEP events is essential both for deepening our knowledge of such mechanisms and for safeguarding space technologies and exploration. Traditionally, researchers have modeled SEPs using physics-based simulations and empirical methods. More recently, machine learning (ML) has emerged as a new tool for understanding and predicting SEP events. The purpose of this manuscript is to review the currently available ML models for SEP prediction, identify the datasets used for training, compare their architectures, inputs, and outputs, and, based on these insights, outline good practices and recommendations for future research.