Do Cantonese-Adapted Language Models Better Predict Cantonese Reading? A Cross-Model Eye-Tracking Evaluation

Information-theoretic measures derived from autoregressive language models are widely used to characterize the expectations that shape human reading, but whether language-variety-specific training improves such psycholinguistic alignment remains unclear. This question is still open for Cantonese, where recent NLP evaluations reported mixed benefits from Cantonese-specific training relative to Mandarin-oriented or general-purpose models. Using naturalistic Cantonese eye-tracking data, we compare two within-family adaptation contrasts: CKIP GPT-2 Tiny versus its lightly Cantonese-adapted JED351 derivative, and Qwen2.5-7B versus CantoneseLLM-7B, which underwent substantially more extensive Cantonese continued pretraining and instruction tuning. From each model, we derive lexical surprisal, POS surprisal, entropy before the target, and entropy reduction. Lexical surprisal and the joint four-metric model consistently favor CantoneseLLM-7B, followed by Qwen2.5-7B, CKIP, and JED351, whereas entropy reduction favors CKIP. These results suggest that more extensive Cantonese-specific training can be associated with stronger predictive fit, while model rankings also depend on the information-theoretic measure being evaluated.

Do LLMs Understand Personality? Rethinking Persona Fidelity Evaluation through Structured Behavioral Inference

As large language models are increasingly deployed to simulate diverse human characters, ensuring persona fidelity, defined as the extent to which an agent's behavior consistently reflects the psychological and stylistic characteristics of a target persona, has become a critical requirement. However, existing evaluation paradigms primarily rely on either holistic LLM-based judges, which are prone to "holistic appraisal hallucination'', or static psychometric inventories, which fail to capture the context-dependent fidelity required in dynamic dialogue. To address these limitations, we propose PRISM (Persona Reasoning with Inverse SFL-based Modeling), a psycholinguistically grounded framework that reformulates persona fidelity evaluation as a structured inverse inference task. Inspired by Systemic Functional Linguistics (SFL), PRISM decomposes persona fidelity into three functional dimensions: Task Framing, Interpersonal Stance, and Linguistic Style. It estimates dimension-specific evidence over a persona-conditioned label space and aggregates these signals into an interpretable and auditable evaluation process. Experiments show that PRISM yields more accurate and stable judgements than traditional holistic judging, providing a more reliable framework for persona fidelity evaluation.

Distinct dynamics of conceptual and referential disruptions in human reading and large language model processing

Linguistic meaning is grounded in conceptual content, from which reference to particular entities emerges as words enter discourse. To examine the processing dynamics associated with these two dimensions of meaning, we selectively disrupted conceptual or referential information in short narratives and traced the resulting effects in human self-paced reading and in the predictive and representational processing of large language models. In human reading, conceptual disruptions produced a strong but localized processing cost, emerging immediately after the distorted word, reaching an early maximum, and then declining rapidly. Referential disruptions produced weaker effects, which decreased more gradually across subsequent words, and were more strongly modulated by sentence boundaries. In the language model, both disruptions emerged immediately at the manipulated word. Contextual model surprisal showed a pattern closely paralleling human reading: conceptual disruption produced a larger, more locally concentrated effect that decayed rapidly, whereas referential disruption produced a smaller and more gradual downstream effect. Output-layer representations showed a different pattern: referential disruption produced a larger initial displacement, while both distortions were subsequently characterized by power-law decay. Together, these results provide convergent evidence for distinguishable processing dynamics of two types of meaning: conceptual information imposes a more locally concentrated integration cost, whereas referential information engages a more distributed process of maintaining discourse-level identity.

Beyond Static and Linear: What Attention Constraints Best Fit Human Reading Times?

Transformer-based language models are widely used as models of human language processing, yet their attention mechanisms allow lossless access to the full preceding context, unlike the limited memory systems of humans. We hypothesize that installing memory constraints into transformers' attention mechanisms can improve their fit to human behavioral data. While previous work has explored individual constraints in isolation, we conduct a systematic comparison of multiple attention-based memory mechanisms across different model sizes and training corpora, evaluating both psychometric predictive power for human reading times and grammatical competence. We additionally compare static constraints, in which the constraint strength is fixed throughout training, to dynamic memory curricula. We find that constraints that are sensitive to the content of intervening tokens consistently achieve the highest alignment with human reading times, outperforming distance-based constraints. We observe a dissociation between psychometric fit and grammatical competence under dynamic memory curricula, suggesting that Transformers cannot serve as a one-size-fits-all cognitive model.

From Exposure to Expectation: Frequency, Surprisal, and Language Across Development in Spanish

Surprisal, the negative log-probability a language model assigns to a word given its preceding context, reliably predicts adult reading times. Does it contribute as much to explaining when children acquire individual words? Frequency reflects a learner's cumulative exposure to a word, whereas surprisal reflects how predictable a single occurrence is given its context. We investigate this question across two corpus-based studies of Spanish. In Study 1, we modeled age of acquisition (AoA) for 225 Spanish nouns using lexical frequency and contextual diversity from child-directed speech, plus surprisal from three language models differing in architecture and training language (BETO, BERTIN, mGPT). Frequency strongly predicted AoA (r=-.597, p<.001); surprisal added little beyond frequency and word length, including in a naturalistic-context analysis. In Study 2, we modeled adult fixation durations in the Chilean Spanish subsample of the Multilingual Eye-movement Corpus (MECO Wave 2), using mGPT surprisal alongside two independent frequency measures. Surprisal robustly predicted longer fixation durations after controlling for frequency and word length, consistent across both frequency sources. A matched word-type-level comparison showed the surprisal-behavior association was stronger in reading than in acquisition (z=3.63, p<.001). The findings suggest cumulative lexical exposure and contextual predictability play different roles across the language trajectory: frequency is particularly informative about when early lexical representations are acquired, whereas surprisal captures moment-to-moment processing difficulty in an already-established linguistic system. We discuss this pattern in relation to usage-based and entrenchment-based accounts of lexical development and to the evaluation of language models as models of human language behavior.

Gaze Behavior in Visual World Experiments Can be Modeled With Off-the-shelf Language-Vision Encoders

The recent advances in neural language models have also spurred much work in computational psycholinguistics, asking whether neural LMs are also promising models of human language processing. However, work has been overwhelmingly focused on the unimodal case of written or spoken language. In contrast, multimodal experimental paradigms, like visual world studies that present participants with both visual and linguistic input simultaneously, have been neglected. In this paper, we present a novel approach that predicts gaze behavior in visual world studies. It does so by combining a simple multi-modal bi-encoder model of the CLIP family with a bimodal attribution method. We demonstrate the ability of this approach to robustly replicate the results of a seminal English visual world study which shows hu- man predictive processing. Remarkably, it does so without a generative architecture and without the need for fine-tuning, despite not being trained for this task.

STRIVE: Probing Reasoning Limits in Graded Plausibility Generation and Evaluation

Event knowledge concerns who does what to whom. Psycholinguists use event-plausibility judgments to examine how this knowledge supports human language processing. To isolate plausibility effects, these studies require controlled event sets in which one event slot varies across plausibility levels while all other event features remain fixed. Constructing such sets manually is labor-intensive. We therefore introduce STRIVE, an LLM-based framework for jointly generating and evaluating controlled event sets crossing plausibility class (plausible vs. implausible) with intended classification difficulty (easy vs. hard). Given a verb, STRIVE constructs a shared event frame, then produces one event per condition by varying one slot while holding all others fixed. In experiments with six models across 60 verbs, GPT-5.1 produced high-quality sets only 16.7% of the time using the baseline generation prompt. Adding a global reasoning scratchpad and evaluator-guided refinement raised this rate to 75.0%. Greater reasoning effort also improved evaluator--human agreement. Nevertheless, events near the plausibility boundary remain most difficult. They elicit the greatest human disagreement, and the best evaluator reaches only 57% accuracy on the implausible-hard condition, indicating a need for human input. Overall, STRIVE offers a scalable approach to reducing manual effort by automating initial event-set generation and evaluation for psycholinguistic studies.

Surprisal Theory is Tautological (without Rational Grounding)

Surprisal theory holds that the human processing difficulty of a linguistic unit in context is an affine function of its surprisal under some language model. I argue this claim is a tautology without further constraint: for any non-negative difficulty measure over units in context, there exists a language model whose surprisal is an affine function of it under mild technical conditions. Therefore, because any pattern of difficulty is consistent with some language model, without an additional constraint on the language model, surprisal theory makes no falsifiable predictions. The tautology was long obscured by an assumption implicit in two decades of psycholinguistic work---that the relevant language model is the distribution that generated the training corpus, so that improving corpus fit improves predictions of human behavior. Recent empirical work has undermined this assumption, demonstrating that better corpus models can be worse predictors of processing difficulty. I conclude that breaking the tautology requires a rationalist intervention, i.e., the relevant language model must be derived from a non-empirically motivated model of the comprehender, which could be based on, for instance, memory constraints or processing goals, and that, thus, does not depend on the behavioral data surprisal theory is meant to explain.

surprisal is Not a Theory

Surprisal Theory is often characterized as a computational-level explanation per (Marr, 1982). We argue in this work that, even though a computational level narrative has been used to support "representation-agnostic research" within computational psycholinguistics, the movement toward black box systems embodied by large language models (LLMs) does not exempt modelers using the surprisal metric from the representational decisions required by computational-level characterizations. In fact, we argue that the uncritical use of LLM-surprisal obfuscates the representational and algorithmic-level commitments of different models. In three analyses, we show that the choice of algorithm and model architecture play significant roles in the computation of language model probabilities. We advise that researchers who wish to test Surprisal Theory re-evaluate the practice of treating large language model probabilities as interchangeable

Production and Perception in LLMs: A Token Probability Approach

The asymmetry between language production and perception has been well-documented in psycholinguistics. Whether large language models (LLMs) exhibit a functionally analogous distinction remains an open question, particularly given that LLMs rely on the same underlying mechanism (next-token prediction) for both input and output processing. In this exploratory study, we operationalize the production-perception distinction through direct token probability measurements rather than metalinguistic prompting. Using the base Llama-3.1-8B model, we generated poems under a production prompt and re-scored the same tokens under both rephrased production prompts and perception-oriented prompts. Across an extended experiment with four production and three perception prompts, production-perception distances consistently and substantially exceeded production-production distances, with non-overlapping ranges across conditions and an overall average ratio of approximately 1.8. Near-ceiling correlations in the production-production control confirm that the effect is specific to communicative framing rather than prompt surface variation, and we show the effect replicates across five open-weight models (Llama-3.1-8B, EuroLLM-9B, gemma-2-9b-it, Mistral-7B-Instruct-v0.3, and Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct), spanning both base and instruction-tuned variants. Temporal analysis revealed that the perception prompt exerts its strongest influence at the beginning of the sequence, with divergence decaying as generated context accumulates, though the specific shape of this decay varies across prompt pairs. These findings suggest that prompt framing alone induces a production-perception distinction in LLM probability distributions, even within a decoder-only architecture.

Linguistic Distancing on Social Media: Indicators of Emotion Regulation Across Age Groups

Managing our emotional responses to events is key to emotional well-being, a process referred to as emotion regulation in psychology. Previous work has established that the degree to which we distance events is a type of emotion regulation. When we psychologically distance from events there can be markers in our language. These markers have been referred to as linguistic distancing. We build upon a previous metric to operationalize linguistic distancing, and explore how it changes across the lifespan. We explore this systematically by analyzing large amounts of social media text, a venue where people express their emotions. By investigating how distancing varies across age groups we can better understand how emotion regulation varies with age and provide initial benchmarks on social media data. We provide additional evidence further strengthening the hypothesis that linguistic distancing occurs in proportionally more instances with age. These findings align with past work in psychology which indicate improved well-being with older age. Better understanding how linguistic distancing changes with age is important because it functions as a marker of well-being and can inform effective health interventions. We provide a foundation for further exploring emotion regulation through linguistic distancing in text data.

Timesteps of Mamba Align with Human Reading Times

This study demonstrates an alignment of per-word processing time in a popular state-space language model Mamba and human readers. In Mamba, the recurrent state transition at each layer conceptually takes some duration of time, the discretization timestep $Δ_t$, determined dynamically in response to the input. Using a naturalistic reading dataset, we show that the per-word timestep from Mamba is a significant predictor of human reading times, and remains significant even when known predictors such as GPT-2 surprisal are controlled for. We further suggest, through formal analysis of Mamba's architecture and internal dynamics, that Mamba can serve as a new, valuable lens to look at human real-time language processing with ever-updated memory, because it allows us to look at how each module (layer) weighs short- and long-term information retention, and how noise may interact with dynamic, continuous memory representation. Code is available online.

Syntactic Belief Update as the Driver of Garden Path Processing Difficulty

Garden path sentences present a processing difficulty for humans -- the sentence prefix leads the listener towards one interpretation, until the listener hears a critical word that shows that the initial interpretation was wrong. Lexical surprisal, a measure that usually predicts sentence processing difficulty quite well, fails to provide good predictions for garden path sentences. We propose an alternative that actively predicts a probability distribution over syntactic trees (its syntactic belief) and updates that distribution after each new word. If a processor is led down a garden path, syntactic beliefs will be wrong and will require a large update at the critical word. The magnitude of the update is measured with a generalized Rényi divergence. Crucially, this metric is dependent on lexical items, but is fully independent of the probability of lexical items. This Syntactic Belief Update provides a better fit to the human reading time data on garden path sentences. This suggests a new research direction examining purely non-lexical alternatives to surprisal for psycholinguistics.

Energy-Based Transformers as Predictors of Reading Difficulty

Transformer language models have become established tools for modeling human sentence processing, with measures such as surprisal and attention entropy serving as effective predictors of reading difficulty that together capture complementary aspects of processing load. Here, we explore a related class of transformer models: energy-based transformers, which provide a principled formal link to associative memory models, bringing processing research into direct contact with the broader literature on Hopfield networks and dense associative memory. To our knowledge, this is the first exploration of an energy-based transformer measure in computational psycholinguistics. Across reading-time corpora (Natural Stories, UCL eye-tracking, UCL self-paced reading), the energy measure is a robust predictor of reading times, providing significant fit beyond surprisal in all three. In a controlled experiment on relative clause processing, energy at a single layer captures the well-known object/subject asymmetry. We find evidence that it subsumes effects attributable to both attention entropy and surprisal, suggesting that energy may serve as a single unified predictor where multiple complementary measures have previously been required.

When Context Misleads: Surprisal, Energy and Attention Entropy as Metrics of Coherence Illusions in LLMs

Psycholinguistics studies show that human readers fall for coherence illusions: an incoherent discourse can seem coherent simply because a distractor matches what comes next. We investigate whether Dutch language models (6 monolingual and 4 multilingual) show the same behavior on texts that link back to earlier context with words such as 'again' and 'too'. First, we find that surprisal at the critical word tracks human acceptability judgments and eye-tracking data. Models are more surprised by incoherent continuations, but a matching distractor in the prior context reduces this surprisal. Second, attention entropy at the critical position identifies heads that behave differently under coherence vs. incoherence. We find that ablating these heads shows transfer effects across experiments, suggesting a shared mechanism. Third, we introduce energy from the associative-memory literature as a metric to quantify discourse coherence. Taken together, our results show that coherence illusions arise in Dutch LLMs, with entropy and energy exposing mechanisms that operate across settings.

When AI Says "I have been in similar situations": Synthetic Lived Experience in Peer-Like Caregiver Support

Caregivers often turn to online communities for informational and emotional support. In these spaces, peer supporters frequently draw on personal narratives to respond to emotionally complex caregiving situations. As LLMs are increasingly designed as peer-like sources of support, they introduce a critical tension: AI can provide immediate, private, and nonjudgmental support, but it cannot authentically possess the lived experiences that make human peer support meaningful. Yet, when prompted to sound peer-like, LLMs may generate language that implies lived experience. This creates a synthetic lived experience paradox: the same experiential language that may make AI support feel warm, relatable, and peer-like can also falsely position the system as someone with lived experience. We examine this paradox in the context of family caregivers of people living with Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD). Drawing on caregiver support exchanges from online communities and prompted peer-like responses from three LLMs -- LLaMA, GPT-4o-mini, and MedGemma -- we analyze how human peers use personal narratives and how AI incorporates similar narrative forms. Psycholinguistic analysis shows that peer responses used significantly more first-person and past-focused language than peer-like AI responses. Qualitatively, we identify seven types of personal narratives in human peer support and show that AI often captures their emotional work, but can fabricate experiential grounding. These findings reveal a narrative authenticity gap: peer-like AI can generate synthetic lived experience without the real experience that makes peer support meaningful. We argue that caregiver-support AI systems need mechanisms to distinguish supportive peer-like framing from fabricated lived experience, ensuring that models can offer warmth and validation without falsely positioning themselves as experiential peers.

Trajectory Dynamics in Language Model Hidden States Predict Human Processing Costs Beyond Surprisal

Human language comprehension unfolds sequentially: each word is processed in the context of those that came before, and the interpretation builds incrementally over time. Surprisal, the negative log probability of a word given its context, has been the dominant predictor of incremental processing cost. But surprisal reduces rich sequential representations to a single scalar at each word, discarding information about the direction in which the interpretation has been evolving. Dynamical-systems approaches suggest that the trajectory of the evolving interpretive state, not just its position at each moment,should shape processing, and language itself may have local momentum, since speakers plan utterances a few words at a time. We introduce trajectory extrapolation error: at each word, we fit a linear trajectory to the preceding hidden states of a transformer language model and measure deviation from the extrapolated path. On the Natural Stories corpus, this measure is nearly orthogonal to surprisal (r = .044) and independently predicts self-paced reading times. The effect is especially pronounced in garden-path sentences, strengthens with model scale (GPT-2 Small to Large), and replicates across architectures with different positional encoding schemes (GPT-2 vs. Pythia/RoPE). A displacement control shows the effect is not reducible to representational change magnitude: displacement and extrapolation error predict in opposite directions. These findings reveal two dissociable components of processing cost: word-level prediction error (surprisal) and sensitivity to the local momentum of the unfolding interpretation (trajectory extrapolation error).

Noisy memory encoding explains negative polarity illusions

A sentence like "The authors that no critics recommended have ever received acknowledgment for a best-selling novel" is sometimes rated as acceptable even though, strictly speaking, it is ungrammatical because the negative polarity word "ever" is not licensed where it is. This behavioral effect is sometimes called a "negative polarity illusion". Here we propose that the lossy context surprisal theory of Hahn et al. (2022) -- whereby people have an imperfect encoding of complex sentences -- might explain this effect. We hypothesize that people have poor memory representation of the determiners in the main-clause and embedded-clause subjects and could entertain a determiner exchange that licenses ever. We propose that more similar determiners in those positions would trigger stronger illusion effects. Acceptability judgment tasks with six novel determiner pairs (e.g., "few" and "many", "few" and "most") support our proposal, showing, specifically, that a novel sentence, "Many authors that few critics recommended have ever received acknowledgment for a best-selling novel", triggered a much stronger illusion than the canonical one even without time pressure. These results offer further support for the suggestion that human language processing is imperfect and resource-rational: in face of working memory limitations, humans rationally reconstruct what is most likely from noisy linguistic input to facilitate downstream processing.

Eyettention II: A Dual-Sequence Architecture for Modeling Fixation Location, Within-Word Landing Position, and Fixation Duration in Reading

The way our eyes move while reading provides valuable insights into both the reader's cognitive processes and the properties of the text. In particular, eye-tracking-while-reading data has shown to be highly beneficial in various technological applications, such as enhancing and interpreting language models and inferring a reader's characteristics. However, these applications often rely on large-scale, data-driven models, which demand extensive eye-tracking datasets that are challenging to obtain due to the resource-intensive nature of data collection. To address the challenge of data scarcity, we develop Eyettention II, an end-to-end trained deep-learning model capable of generating realistic scanpaths consisting of a complete set of fixation attributes in chronological order, including fixation location, within-word landing position, and fixation duration. Our model is lightweight, efficiently trainable on limited GPU resources, and closely aligned with cognitive theories. We demonstrate that Eyettention II surpasses state-of-the-art models in scanpath prediction and mirrors human-like gaze behavior by capturing key psycholinguistic phenomena. With its robust performance, Eyettention II holds the potential to drive advancements in natural language processing, facilitate piloting the materials of psycholinguistic experiments, and uncover new insights beyond what is explicitly encoded in theoretical cognitive models.

On the Proper Treatment of Units in Surprisal Theory

Surprisal theory links human processing effort to the predictability of an upcoming linguistic unit, but empirical work often leaves the notion of a unit underspecified. In practice, experimental stimuli are segmented into linguistically motivated units (e.g., words), while pretrained language models assign probability mass to a fixed token alphabet that typically does not align with those units. As a result, surprisal-based predictors depend implicitly on ad hoc procedures that conflate two distinct modeling choices: the definition of the unit of analysis and the choice of regions of interest over which predictions are evaluated. In this paper, we disentangle these choices and give a unified framework for reasoning about surprisal over arbitrary unit inventories. We argue that surprisal-based analyses should make these choices explicit and treat tokenization as an implementation detail rather than a scientific primitive.

Syntactically-guided Information Maintenance in Sentence Comprehension

Maintaining information in context is essential in successful real-time language comprehension, but maintenance is cognitively costly and can slow processing. We hypothesize that rational language users selectively maintain information that is crucial for future prediction, guided by syntactic structure. Under this view, two factors affect maintenance cost: the number of predicted heads and the number of incomplete dependencies. Although these factors have been treated as competing hypotheses in the literature, our account predicts that they are not reducible to one another. We show this is the case, using a naturalistic reading time dataset in Japanese, a language in which the two factors contrast particularly clearly. We further show that there is a tradeoff such that readers that slow down for maintenance tend to benefit more from predictability, providing additional support for the proposed account.

Benchmarking Source-Sensitive Reasoning in Turkish: Humans and LLMs under Evidential Trust Manipulation

This paper investigates whether source trustworthiness shapes Turkish evidential morphology and whether large language models (LLMs) track this sensitivity. We study the past-domain contrast between -DI and -mIs in controlled cloze contexts where the information source is overtly external, while only its perceived reliability is manipulated (High-Trust vs. Low-Trust). In a human production experiment, native speakers of Turkish show a robust trust effect: High-Trust contexts yield relatively more -DI, whereas Low-Trust contexts yield relatively more -mIs, with the pattern remaining stable across sensitivity analyses. We then evaluate 10 LLMs in three prompting paradigms (open gap-fill, explicit past-tense gap-fill, and forced-choice A/B selection). LLM behavior is highly model- and prompt-dependent: some models show weak or local trust-consistent shifts, but effects are generally unstable, often reversed, and frequently overshadowed by output-compliance problems and strong base-rate suffix preferences. The results provide new evidence for a trust-/commitment-based account of Turkish evidentiality and reveal a clear human-LLM gap in source-sensitive evidential reasoning.