TRACE (Math & Lienhart, arXiv:2602.01135) reads causal graphs over event types out of a pretrained autoregressive sequence model by thresholding a per-position conditional-mutual-information estimate at a fixed tau. We independently replicate its headline synthetic result: with tau selected on a validation split, mean per-sequence F1 against exact interventional truth reaches 0.90-0.91 at vocabulary size 1000 (paper: 0.91) and 0.86-0.91 from 100 to 2000. First, the optimal threshold is pinned to the truth margin, not to any constant: at every size the errors at tau* straddle the delta = 0.05 margin defining ground truth (missed true edges lie just above it, accepted false ones just below), and the blind optimum lands near delta/2 times the estimator's calibration, confirmed out of sample at 5000. Second, at a single global threshold TRACE mostly recovers a direct, adjacent-influence graph: lag-1 true edges are recalled at 0.97-0.99, while true edges at lag 2 or more read orders of magnitude lower---the reading-scale price of randomizing mediating positions, which an exact test of direct causal effect requires when the truth is unknown. A per-lag threshold family recovers a third to a half of lag-2 truth; on lag-uniform data one validated threshold recalls every lag at 0.40-0.87, 8-26 pp below an atomic-intervention control at lags 3-6. Third, the default lag decay of the paper's synthetic benchmark concentrates about 85% of interventional truth at lag 1 and pushes the rest below the estimator's noise floor, so headline F1 there certifies lag-1 recovery only and conflates the benchmark's skew with the algorithm's own limit; a flatter decay separates the two. Fourth, F1 saturates from N = 2 particles at the selected threshold---a property of the threshold's margin over the noise floor, not of the estimator, which converges as N^(-1/2). We distill five practitioner rules.
Prior work on human label variation (HLV) in natural language inference (NLI) has often relied on re-annotation resources that select items by disagreement level. An earlier study (arXiv:2607.15870) found that hypotheses containing non-upward monotonicity operators showed lower label agreement in ChaosNLI (Cliff's delta = -0.284), which is restricted to items whose majority label carries exactly three of five votes. We preregistered a replication of this boundary in the unselected populations that ChaosNLI was drawn from: the SNLI and MultiNLI development sets, using the same operator tagger and a four-level ordinal agreement outcome. The registered prediction fails. All seven contrasts return a positive Cliff's delta (non-upward items agree slightly more, not less), the only significant confirmatory contrast has the opposite sign to the registration, and every effect is far below our smallest effect size of interest (0.10). Robustness checks support the measurement: simulated tagger misclassification shrinks the effects rather than manufacturing them, and a manual re-tagging audit reaches four-class agreement of 0.875 on a fresh 200-item sample. We conclude that the earlier negative boundary is plausibly a structure conditional on low-agreement selection rather than a population-level property, and that HLV structure claims built on selected re-annotation resources should state their selection conditional explicitly.
Alexander Somma, Isabelle Plante, Fred Premjics.CL cs.AI
This study independently replicates and extends the Natural Language Tools (NLT) framework of Johnson et al.~(2025), which questions the use of structured tool calling in large language model (LLM) agentic systems. We evaluated NLT across 14 models and 8,560 trials, adding newer frontier, reasoning, and open-weight models to the original set. The results confirm the core findings and add detail. NLT improves tool-calling accuracy by 14.9 percentage points overall (62.3\% versus 47.4\% structured) and reduces critical errors by 93\% (51 versus 755 errors). The gains depend on model capability: models without native tool calling, reasoning models, and smaller models gain substantially (+24.0pp to +43.1pp), while heavily optimized frontier models (GPT-5, Gemini 2.5 Pro) show smaller or reversed advantages. This matches recent analyses of reinforcement-learning-optimized tool use (Martinez, 2025). NLT also cuts token usage by 25.2\%. The reliability and efficiency advantages compound in recursive agentic workflows, where agents chain many tool calls across sub-agents: a structured failure triggers retries, fallback routing, and coordination overhead, while NLT avoids most of that cost at the source. This work makes three contributions: (1) the first independent validation of NLT using open-source tooling, (2) evidence that model capability moderates NLT's advantages (Chen et al., 2025; Zhang et al., 2025), and (3) a measurement of NLT's reliability benefit (93\% fewer errors), its most deployment-relevant property given the known fragility of structured tool calling. NLT is a practical alternative to structured tool calling, especially for production systems that value reliability over parseability.