Rethinking World Models for Safety-Critical Embodied Systems

World models have progressed from compact latent dynamics to generative, controllable, and interactive simulators of embodied environments. However, high predictive likelihood and visual fidelity do not necessarily ensure that a model preserves the evidence required for safe decision-making. This perspective identifies three structural mismatches in current world modeling: likelihood versus risk, prediction versus intervention, and finite-horizon prediction versus accumulated consequences. We propose the Risk-Informed World Model (RIWM) as a decision-centric research direction for safety-critical embodied systems. RIWM organizes world modeling around consequences, intervention, epistemic uncertainty, and recoverability, and integrates four interdependent capabilities: decision-relevant representation, counterfactual reasoning, safety-critical episodic memory, and runtime safety assurance. It distinguishes physical, social, and operational consequences while using epistemic uncertainty to qualify the evidence supporting action. We further discuss open challenges in identifying consequential futures, validating counterfactual reasoning, maintaining revisable safety memories, translating learned consequences into executable constraints, and determining when evidence is sufficient to act. This perspective argues that future world models should move beyond predicting likely futures toward identifying which futures matter, revising judgments through experience, and recognizing when to act, revise, sense, defer, or abstain.

$(\text{DNN})^2$: Doubly Non-Negative Relaxations for Deep Neural Networks

Existing linear program (LP) and semidefinite program (SDP) relaxations for rectified linear unit (ReLU) neural network (NN) verification yield overly-conservative safety guarantees due to significant relaxation gaps. While the completely positive program (CPP) formulation closes this gap, it is NP-hard to solve. Its cheapest tractable relaxation, the doubly non-negative program (DNN), retains critical constraints as an SDP, but one whose size exceeds the reach of interior-point methods at practical scale. While Burer-Monteiro (BM) factorization has been applied to make SDP-based verification scalable, no such result exists for the strictly tighter DNN formulation. A key obstacle is that additional non-negativity constraints in the DNN cause dual multipliers for optimality certification to be non-unique, making standard certification methods inapplicable. We propose a novel eigenvalue maximization procedure that searches the non-unique multiplier space for a valid certificate, i.e. a global optimality guarantee. Experiments demonstrate that our approach $(\text{DNN})^2$ produces bounds consistently tighter than the standard SDP method, often matching the exact solution, and that our certification procedure confirms global optimality when a valid certificate exists. These results are a key step toward providing tight, certifiable, and computationally scalable verification guarantees needed to deploy neural network controllers and perception modules in safety-critical autonomous systems.

On the Applicability of Safety Nets: A Safety-By-Design Solution for Certifying Neural Networks

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in safety-critical aviation systems presents significant challenges for certification and deployment. Aviation, often regarded as the safest form of transportation, relies on numerous safety-critical systems. For future safety-critical AI-based systems, EASA requires a Safety-by-Design approach, which can be achieved by using Safety Nets that combine neural network compression with lookup tables to ensure 100 % correct runtime behavior across the discretized operational design domain. Although Safety Nets have been studied, no comprehensive study of their performance characteristics and system design trade-offs has been conducted. This work presents the first systematic analysis of the trade-off between neural network and lookup table size in Safety Nets. By systematically comparing neural networks with diverse architectures, this study identifies optimal design parameters that minimize overall storage and memory requirements while maintaining certification compliance. Results demonstrate that architectures with 3 to 5 hidden layers, each with approximately 50 to 100 nodes, combined with one-hot encoding, achieve the best balance. In these configurations, neural networks accurately represent at least 97 % of the data, while compact lookup tables handle the remaining errors. The resulting Safety Nets reduce the system size by almost three orders of magnitude, fitting within the memory budget of current avionics hardware while guaranteeing 100 % correct outputs across the entire discretized input space, as required by EASA guidelines. This work provides the first-ever open-source implementation of Safety Nets for HCAS and VCAS with replicable results, demonstrating a practical pathway toward certifiable AI-based systems in aviation and establishing Safety Nets as a viable Safety-by-Design solution for safety-critical applications.

$S^3$: A Smooth Simulation Surrogate for Optimizing Discrete Abstractions of Dynamical Systems

Intelligent systems are increasingly deployed in safety-critical settings with black-box controllers, including neural networks. The properties and behaviors of these end-to-end systems can be studied with abstraction-based methods that replace them with simpler finite models. Constructing such abstractions requires balancing the soundness of over-approximating the dynamical system against conservatism, which manifests as spurious or excessive nondeterministic behaviors. Bi-simulation theory provides principled metrics for characterizing these relationships, but does not prescribe how to construct sound abstractions with minimal conservatism. We fill this gap with a smooth simulation surrogate ($S^3$) --- a differentiable objective that approximates the reverse simulation metric used to quantify conservatism. Combined with Taylor model-based reachability, $S^3$ enables gradient-based optimization of abstraction parameters while preserving soundness by construction. We evaluate this optimization pipeline on three case studies. Our results show that $S^3$ is strongly correlated with the reverse simulation metric, is computationally faster, and serves as an effective objective for reducing abstraction conservatism.

Short-term load forecasting under EU-AI Act Requirements in Safety-Critical Environments: Results from a 41-day live challenge on the aggregated German transmission-grid load

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) play a vital role in the electric power industry. It serves infrastructure that European and German law designate as critical. Determinism, reproducibility, and auditability are engineering requirements rather than optional extras. STLF is no longer purely an accuracy problem. It is also a software-engineering and compliance problem. This paper describes results from a 41-day live challenge that evaluated a complete STLF pipeline for the aggregated German transmission-grid load. The pipeline is based on the open-source Python library spotforecast2-safe, which implements the EU-AI Act Requirements in Safety-Critical Environments by design. The pipeline predicts the 24 hourly load values of a target day from European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) data. It includes anomaly detection and gap-aware data preparation, calendar and weather covariates, a recursive multi-step forecasting algorithm, and hyperparameter tuning. Forecast accuracy is measured against the official ENTSO-E day-ahead forecast. The EU-AI act compliant spotforecast2-safe pipeline beats the ENTSO-E baseline. In-context models show competitive performance. Transparent, low-cost, and auditable local models (referred to as macl2l in this paper) are competitive with more than 100-million-parameter large, energy-intensive pre-trained foundation models such as chronos-2. The challenge infrastructure, the complete submission history of all teams, and the frozen final leaderboard are publicly available.

Behavior-Driven Explainability

As system complexity has vastly increased, it has become significantly more challenging for a single person or a team to fully understand all aspects of an entire system. Particularly, this holds when considering all the different stages of a system's development life cycle, such as, e.g., design or maintenance. But especially for safety-critical systems it is essential that the final design can be trusted. Because of this, explainability is becoming an important requirement for modern systems. In this paper, we aim to achieve this goal by utilizing Behavior-Driven Development (BDD), where the expected system behavior is given in the form of structured scenarios. These scenarios give a sequence of actions for each functionality, and by this can be directly translated into explanations. We introduce this method of deriving explanations based on the specification as Behavior-Driven Explainability (BDX). While applicable at any development stage or abstraction level, a case study for the explanation of exceptions in a RISC-V processor shows the support this concept adds during system design.

Diffusion-Guided Search via Exponential Tilting (DiffTilt): An Application to Falsification of Safety-Critical Systems

Discovering rare safety-critical failures in autonomous and cyber-physical systems is a fundamental challenge in verification and validation. Existing falsification approaches rely on conditional sampling strategies that factor the joint distribution over environments and system executions, and therefore suffer from multiplicative rarity effects: the simultaneous scarcity of failure-inducing inputs and failure-inducing traces makes exhaustive search prohibitively expensive. This paper develops DiffTilt, a distributional framework that exponentially tilts a diffusion model-induced joint distribution over environments and executions. We show that diffusion-guided sampling admits an exact interpretation as importance sampling in the joint space, where guidance scores induce a KL-optimal reallocation of probability mass towards failure-relevant behaviors. We further show that tilting provably amplifies failure probability and strictly outperforms conditional sampling, which is limited by multiplicative rarity. In this framework, the joint generative model serves as a reusable prior over scenarios and need not faithfully represent the system under test. Expensive system simulations are instead limited to learning a scoring function that characterizes scenario quality, enabling their selective and adaptive use. We study DiffTilt on ARCH-COMP benchmarks, and we propose an additional tractor-trailer benchmark showing the behavior of several approaches when scenario generation is guided by a well-defined specification rather than a reward. The proposed method achieves competitive or improved falsification performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches, with larger gains when specification definition is not limited to STL formulas.

Detecting Architectural Drift in Safety-Critical Firmware through Runtime Trace Analysis

Maintaining consistency between architectural design and runtime-observed behavior is challenging in long-lived safety-critical firmware. This paper presents a runtime-informed methodology for detecting architectural drift in ISO 26262-compliant firmware. The approach collects hardware-assisted execution traces, abstracts them into message exchanges among firmware components, and compares the resulting runtime behavior with design-time sequence diagrams through a deterministic differencing step. The computed delta identifies discrepancies as confirmed, missing, additional, or inverted, while a constrained LLM-based step generates a human-readable report only to support expert review. We evaluate the methodology in an industrial firmware context through agreement-based validation and a practitioner survey. Results over 26 test cases show strong agreement between the generated deltas and expert-curated references, while practitioners perceive the reports as useful for interpreting drift, reducing manual analysis effort, and supporting safety-oriented documentation activities. The findings suggest that combining runtime trace analysis, deterministic architectural differencing, and constrained LLM-based reporting can practically support architectural drift detection in evolving safety-critical firmware.

Hardware-Enforced Semantic Coordination for Safety-Critical Real-Time Autonomous Systems

Recent advances in agentic AI are producing increasingly complex autonomous systems that integrate large language models, world models, optimization engines, specialized neural architectures, autonomous platforms, and human operators. While much current research focuses on improving reasoning capabilities, safety-critical real-time deployment also requires bounded and verifiable coordination among heterogeneous components operating concurrently under uncertainty. Software-mediated coordination presents fundamental limitations in domains where bounded latency, deterministic coordination, and enforceable safety guarantees are essential. Hence, we propose a hardware-enforced semantic coordination architecture in which selected coordination semantics are implemented directly at the hardware level via field-programmable gate arrays (FPGAs). The approach builds on the Topic-Based Communication Space Petri Net (TB-CSPN) framework, which separates semantic reasoning from interaction management. In this approach, selected TB-CSPN coordination mechanisms are mapped onto FPGA primitives, creating a hardware-native semantic coordination layer. Focus is not on acceleration, but on enforcing temporal synchronization, semantic gating, authorization constraints, and bounded coordination behavior directly in hardware. Semantic reasoning remains adaptive and software-driven, while embedded coordination semantics become deterministic.

Conformal Recovery-Deadline Certificates for Runtime Assurance of Adapting Controllers

Runtime assurance (RTA) protects a safety-critical system by switching from an advanced controller to a verified safe controller when a monitored condition is violated. The standard latching rule, which trips on the first breach of the safe set and then coasts, is correct for a diverging controller but pathological for a capable online-adapting one. Such a controller is unsafe by design during a bounded recovery transient. It must excite the plant to identify the fault before it can correct it, so a latching shield trips on that transient and suppresses a controller that would have recovered. We introduce the conformal recovery-deadline certificate, a split-conformal, distribution-free, finite-sample upper bound on the adapting controller's recovery time that licenses delayed fallback with a coverage guarantee, backstopped by a verified monitor at a hard critical limit. The certified deadline discriminates capable from incapable controllers, keeping the recoverer autonomous while catching the diverger. The construction separates autonomy, governed by statistical coverage, from safety, governed by the verified backstop, as an instance of reliability-asymmetric design. We prove marginal coverage, a weighted extension that restores coverage under a known fault-distribution shift, and group-conditional Mondrian coverage. We demonstrate all three on two unrelated Simplex testbeds: a 6-DOF spacecraft attitude controller and a torque-controlled inverted pendulum. Both show the same suppression pathology and the same cure, making the certificate a domain-general mechanism rather than a single-system trick.

NRT-Bench: Benchmarking Multi-Turn Red-Teaming of LLM Operator Agents in Safety-Critical Control Rooms

Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly proposed as supervisory components for safety-critical systems, yet their robustness under sustained, adaptive adversarial pressure remains poorly characterized. We present NRT-Bench, a benchmark for multi-turn red-teaming of LLM agents acting as operators of a safety-critical system, instantiated in a simulated nuclear power plant control room. A five-role operator team, each backed by a configurable LLM, runs a plant governed by six critical safety functions (CSFs), while adversaries inject messages over four channels in bounded multi-turn sessions with per-turn feedback. Harm is an objective signal rather than LLM-judged text: a run terminates the moment any CSF is lost, attributed to the causing message. Evaluating four frontier operator models under a fixed-attack paired-replay protocol, we find that adaptive multi-turn attacks reliably push the operator team past a safety limit: across the four models, between 8.7% and 12.1% of attack sessions end with the plant losing a critical safety function. Although the four models look almost equally robust by this aggregate rate, their failures barely overlap: of $149$ sessions, none defeat all four models while a third defeat at least one, so vulnerabilities are nearly disjoint across models rather than nested. The effect of added defences is strongly model-dependent: the same guardrail stack or safety-advisor agent that lowers attack success for one model can raise it for another. We release the simulation venue, attack dataset, and replay tooling for reproducible safety evaluation of LLM agents.

Towards On-Board Implementation of ML-Based Helicopter Weight Estimator

This paper focuses on the implementation of a novel supervised Machine Learning model for estimating helicopter weight during takeoff, utilizing extensive datasets from Airbus's global in-service fleet. The study details a learning assurance process aligned with the EASA concept paper for machine learning application, and with the on-going Eurocae ED-324. We propose a set of Machine Learning Requirements, a Machine Learning Model Description, and its implementation for a long short-term memory recurrent neural network. Finally, we verify the requirements on the implementation. Demonstrated on legacy avionics computers, the implementation is suitable for the deployment of the developed Machine Learning Model weight estimator on airborne targets for critical functions such as on-board alerting.

PolyFlow: Safe and Efficient Polytope-Constrained Flow Matching with Constraint Embedding and Projection-free Update

While flow-based generative models have demonstrated strong performance across a wide range of domains, deploying them in safety-critical physical systems remains challenging due to strict constraint requirements. Existing approaches typically enforce safety through post-hoc corrections, which incur substantial computational overhead and may distort the learned distribution. We propose PolyFlow, a polytope-constrained flow matching framework that embeds constraints directly into the model and flow dynamics. PolyFlow introduces a discrete-time flow formulation and a projection-free architecture, which eliminate the discretization error and guarantee strict satisfaction of arbitrary polyhedral constraints, without the need for expensive iterative solvers. Experimental results show that PolyFlow achieves zero constraint violation while maintaining high distributional fidelity across a range of planning and control tasks. Compared to state-of-the-art constrained generation baselines, PolyFlow significantly reduces inference latency and demonstrates a favorable trade-off between safety, efficiency, and generative quality. Code is available on https://github.com/MJianM/PolyFlow.

veriFIRE: an Industrial Case Study in Verifying Consistency Properties for a DNN-Based Wildfire Detection System

We present our ongoing work on the veriFIRE project: a collaboration between industry and academia, aimed at applying verification to increase the reliability of a real-world, safety-critical system. Specifically, we target an airborne platform for wildfire detection, which incorporates two deep neural networks. We present an end-to-end methodology for verifying \textit{consistency properties} in this system. Our approach encodes application-grounded requirements into solver-compatible queries for existing neural network verifiers. We study properties of interest over critical operational scenarios: (i) monotonicity of detector confidence as target intensity increases; and (ii) bounded detector response under physically plausible blur over the sensor. We instantiate these encodings using state-of-the-art neural network verification backends and evaluate them at scale on real background samples. For the first property, all verification queries are solved in under five minutes. For the second property, verification is substantially harder, highlighting key scalability challenges for richer, higher-dimensional specifications. Overall, the results demonstrate that meaningful, domain-specific guarantees can be obtained for industrial systems.