EarthVerse: Benchmarking Scientific Agents Across Dynamic Earth Systems and Natural Hazards

Earth-system analysis reconstructs changing physical processes from observations that differ in source, scale, timing, and modality. Natural hazards make this work consequential because incomplete evidence can change estimates of severity, exposure, and mechanism. We introduce EarthVerse, a benchmark that evaluates scientific agents through package-scoped investigations. Its 405 reproducible tasks are grounded in 199 documented events and 19 hazard families. Agents inspect heterogeneous event packages, choose compatible evidence, execute transparent calculations, reconcile source differences, and preserve provenance in the final answer. We provide executable ground truth that decomposes each task into fine-grained answer units, together with task-specific rubrics that assess the supporting research process while allowing multiple valid paths. We evaluate 25 model and agent systems under a controlled tool-using protocol, then use controlled studies to locate failures in evidence access, tool selection, memory, reasoning, interaction, and scientific execution. Across systems, the best mean answer-unit accuracy is 84.65%, while the highest Strict@95 is only 34.81%. The gap shows that current agents often complete individual steps without maintaining a consistent chain across evidence, scales, units, calculations, and physical interpretation. EarthVerse provides a reproducible basis for measuring end-to-end scientific reliability in dynamic Earth systems.

K-Bench: measuring model performance on real scientific agent requests

Benchmarks for scientific artificial intelligence are mostly written to be scored: multiple-choice questions, curated agent tasks with reference solutions, or simulators with a known generative structure. Real scientific requests arrive differently. They are underspecified, they carry attachments, and they lack ground truth. We report K-Bench 01, an evaluation built from first-turn requests sampled from live user traffic on K-Dense Web and run end to end by nine frontier models in identical sandboxes, yielding 1,602 completed agent runs. Three blinded language-model judges scored every run against an eight-dimension rubric. On a rubric whose 8-anchor is defined as work a domain scientist would accept with minor edits, no model clears the line under all three judges. gpt-5.6-sol has the highest pooled mean, 8.04, but its 95% interval [7.80, 8.23] spans the threshold, and two of the three judges rank claude-opus-5 first instead. We therefore report the ordering of systems as the reproducible quantity, the absolute level as an attribute of the instrument, and the top of the table as unresolved. Across all 39,934 scored judgments -- the eight dimension scores plus a holistic overall for each assessment, excluding not-applicable cells -- 47.6% fall below the 8-point threshold. Difficulty is not uniform across the rubric: scientific accuracy averages 6.22 against 7.33 for communication, on identical denominators and in the same direction within every one of the nine models. The single leading failure tag is overclaiming, on 31.4% of assessments. We argue that the informative quantity for scientific agents is not a leaderboard position but the joint distribution of what was delivered, what was claimed, and what artifacts were produced.

Artifact-centered Claim-aware Observability for Autonomous Scientific Agents

Autonomous scientific agents now increasingly propose ideas, write code, run experiments, analyze results, and even draft papers. Observe and audit those agents are necessary but logging every model call is not enough, scientists also need to inspect the artifacts and claims that the systems produced and their relations. This is driven by the fact that failures in scientific agent systems are often distributed across several objects. A manuscript claim may cite the wrong evidence, a search process may select a degenerate candidate, a laboratory novelty claim may depend on an unstated rule, or a multi-agent plan may change without a visible trigger. Existing tracing, experiment tracking, and archival provenance tools are valuable, but their native objects do not make these scientific audit relations first-class. We argue that autonomous scientific systems should emit portable, claim-aware artifact lineage as a minimum audit layer. We propose a compact observability profile organized around individuals, operators, fitness records, lineage, archives, runs, streams, and steering commands. In this profile, scientific claims are ordinary individuals with explicit evidence bindings and verification records. The profile is intended as a semantic layer that complements current telemetry and provenance standards. Execution details can remain in OpenTelemetry. Final packages can export to PROV-O or RO-Crate standards.

Tracing the Cascade: A Topology-Aware Evaluation Framework for Scientific Agent Hallucinations

Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly deployed in scientific research, where reliability is critical and the underlying knowledge is densely interconnected. In such settings, hallucinations are particularly damaging: a single erroneous claim on a foundational concept can propagate through multi-step reasoning and corrupt entire trajectories. Existing hallucination benchmarks largely operate at the surface level, treating facts in isolation and relying on uniform accuracy metrics that ignore this topological structure. We address this gap with SCHEMA, the first evidence-grounded, topology-aware evaluation framework for hallucinations in scientific agents. SCHEMA automatically constructs scientific concept graphs from benchmark seeds and literature evidence, synthesizes graph-grounded tasks spanning claim verification, multi-hop reasoning, open-ended explanation, and experimental code generation, and evaluates agents with two complementary diagnostics. A trajectory hallucination pipeline audits intermediate reasoning at scale via a topology-weighted severity score, while a multi-agent counterfactual attribution module pinpoints the causal mechanism behind selected failures. SCHEMA reveals that hallucinations concentrate at a small set of highly connected knowledge hubs, and that final-answer accuracy decouples from trajectory honesty; models often reach correct conclusions through structurally flawed reasoning. These results indicate that for high-stakes scientific applications, terminal accuracy alone is an insufficient signal of agent reliability, motivating mechanism-level evaluation grounded in knowledge topology. Code is available at https://github.com/circles-post/SCHEMA.

CogEEGAgent: Toward Autonomous Cognitive EEG Analysis with Grounded Execution and Selection-Aware Verification

Electroencephalography (EEG) analysis in cognitive studies requires specialized expertise and involves many defensible choices over contrasts, channels, time windows, and statistical tests. LLM agents can translate varied natural-language questions into analysis choices, offering a flexible interface for automation. Yet fluent reports alone cannot establish that an agent selected the requested analysis or evaluated a confirmatory claim independently of adaptive search. We present CogEEGAgent, a cognitive-EEG analysis agent grounded in MNE-Python. Its EEG-specific scientific harness separates semantic from scientific authority. The LLM interprets intent and proposes registered analyses, while deterministic components validate typed contracts, control confirmation access, and authorize evidence-bound release. On a prespecified routing benchmark, CogEEGAgent maps language to registered analyses more accurately than a matched deterministic router, while matched preflight makes both systems abstain whenever required. In an externally model-authored, outcome-blind campaign, the complete system releases supported analyses with participant-disjoint confirmation and blocks prespecified capability hazards and lifecycle-reuse requests. Policy stress testing shows that held-out confirmation curbs false positives from uncorrected adaptive search. Together, these studies establish bounded autonomy and an auditable automation framework for cognitive-EEG workflows. More broadly, they show how scientific agents can combine flexible language understanding with fail-closed control over inference and release.

Fantastic Scientific Agents and How to Build Them: AgentBuild for Rietveld Refinement

As scientific workflows shift from deterministic executables to LLM-based agents, the development practices on offer, such as fine-tuning, reinforcement learning, and prompt-and-go, bury the scientist's judgment. We propose treating agent construction as a workflow stage and introduce AgentBuild, which builds a scientific agent from a contract the scientist authors. The contract is a version-controlled rubric, a difficulty-graded curriculum, and a curated external knowledge base. A rubric-driven judge gates a meta-optimizer coding agent that edits the agent within a declared boundary, so the build compiles the agent, not the scientist's judgment. We instantiate this for Rietveld refinement of X-ray diffraction data through GSAS-II behind MCP and A2A, where a blank-harness construction run progresses through a lithium lanthanum zirconium oxide (LLZO) signal-to-noise ladder, reaches the 4 hour scan as a frontier case, and exposes the workflow-scope limits that remain. The same rubric that rewards credible fits also scores trajectory scope, making the frontier a contract failure rather than a pattern-fitting failure. As base models evolve, re-running AgentBuild is a re-tune, not a rebuild, and the scientist's authored contract remains the durable asset.

Notes2Skills: From Lab Notebooks to Certainty-Aware Scientific Agent Skills

Scientific discovery workflows usually contain and rely heavily on lab notes, where researchers record observations, interpret uncertain results, and plan follow-up experiments. Such informative lab notes preserve evolving scientific reasoning and author uncertainty, rather than polished final results exhibited in publications, providing a valuable opportunity for AI to engage in scientific exploration at a more comprehensive and deeper level. However, most prior work on scientific text focuses on papers, protocols, or structured databases, leaving informal laboratory notes underexplored as inputs to AI agents for science. This gap matters because lab notes often intermingle validated observations, tentative judgments, and possible experimental next steps within the same passage. If these signals are conflated, an AI agent may mistake uncertain scientific judgments for confirmed conclusions or executable actions. To this end, we present Notes2Skills, a two-stage framework for turning lab notebooks into verifiable skills for scientific AI agents while preserving the author's certainty. Across seven conditions and three wet-lab sessions, Notes2Skills is the only configuration that neither mistakes uncertain notes for firm instructions nor discards firm ones. We show that certainty preservation is the missing piece between lab notebooks and reliable agent skills, opening a path toward safer AI co-scientist systems.

SciTrace: Trajectory-Aware Safety Reasoning for Scientific Discovery Agents

LLM-based scientific agents have shown strong capacity for autonomous research, yet their safety layers remain structurally divorced from core reasoning: they inspect pipeline outputs rather than shaping the deliberation that produces them. This separation opens two failure modes: safety signals accumulated at one stage are discarded before the next, and sequences of individually benign tool calls can compose into harmful outcomes that no single-step filter detects. To address these challenges, we introduce \textbf{SciTrace}, a framework that weaves safety reasoning into every stage of the scientific agent pipeline. SciTrace couples two complementary mechanisms: a \textit{Safety-Intrinsic Reasoning Loop} (SIR) that maintains a cumulative risk state across the Thinker, Experimenter, Writer, and Reviewer stages through joint task-and-safety deliberation, and a \textit{Compositional Tool-Chain Verifier} (CTV) that performs trajectory-aware safety checks before execution, catching risks that surface only across multi-step tool sequences. Evaluated on 240 high-risk research tasks and 120 tool-related risk tasks spanning six scientific domains, SciTrace achieves state-of-the-art (\textbf{SOTA}) safety among compared frameworks across four backbone models: it consistently improves tool call safety and adversarial robustness while preserving scientific output quality, and it uncovers \textbf{78.8\%} of the compositional tool-chain escapes that single-step monitors miss. The project website is available at https://opensciagent.github.io/SciTrace/.