Time series data are ubiquitous in practical applications, where classification (TSC) and extrinsic regression (TSER) have emerged as essential tasks for obtaining value from temporal sequences. While the literature has seen significant progress through feature-based and deep learning models, existing methods often focus either on the quality of feature extraction or on the intrinsic predictive power of complex architectures applied to raw data. This division creates a gap between the control offered by feature engineering and the automated performance of end-to-end models. This paper proposes TS2TabPFN, a framework that bridges this gap by integrating explicit feature extraction with TabPFN 2.5, a cutting-edge foundation model for tabular data, to leverage its predictive capabilities. Our extensive experimental evaluation demonstrates that TS2TabPFN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art models in TSER tasks with statistical significance, providing a robust and efficient alternative for TSC and surpassing most of the currently best-performing algorithms. These results suggest that combining foundation models with structured features overcomes single-paradigm limitations, establishing a new time series state-of-the-art.
Raman spectroscopy enables non-destructive, label-free molecular characterization across materials science, biomedicine and process monitoring. Predictive Raman datasets often contain few labelled spectra and thousands of ordered wavenumbers, with informative variation within bands and across distant spectral regions. Latent-variable chemometrics accommodates collinear small-sample data but can obscure fine peak morphology, whereas deep spectral networks resolve this structure only after task-specific training. TabPFN avoids task-specific parameter fitting through pretrained in-context inference, but processes very wide inputs as feature-subsampled views that do not preserve joint visibility of related bands. We present RamanPFN, a spectral representation framework that encodes these dependencies before TabPFN inference. Global Compositional Unmixing constructs non-negative coordinates over the complete spectrum so that distant bands with shared latent variation occupy a common predictive axis. Local Vibrational Subspace Encoding represents contiguous wavenumber regions with multiple orthogonal modes that retain independent changes in peak shape, intensity and position. The representations are evaluated separately and combined at the prediction level. Evaluation covered 150 tasks from 74 public Raman datasets. RamanPFN reduced root-mean-square error by 19.6% on average across 129 regression targets relative to direct TabPFN inference and further reduced the remaining classification error by 9.0% across 21 classification tasks. These results establish explicit spectral representation as an effective interface between high-dimensional Raman measurements and reusable tabular inference.
Time series classification is central to domains like medical signal analysis, industrial monitoring, and sensor-based activity recognition, where class information manifests as localized shapes, specific frequencies, temporal shifts, or complex cross-channel interactions. Random convolutional transforms efficiently map these sequences to fixed-dimensional tabular features but are traditionally paired with simple linear classifiers. We investigate whether a pretrained tabular foundation model can more effectively harness these rich representations. We propose MASHT, a pipeline that marries MultiRocket and Hydra features with the power of in-context tabular foundation models. By leveraging a pretrained tabular foundation model, our approach completely bypasses task-specific model training, requiring only feature extraction and direct inference. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MASHT matches state-of-the-art time series classification baselines on univariate tasks, achieving a lower average rank than HIVE-COTE 2.0. On multivariate datasets, MASHT remains highly competitive with the strongest reference methods.
Franco Martino O'Rourke, Ana Trisovic, Dimitris Bertsimascs.LG
We introduce RocketPFN, a training-free pipeline for time series classification that combines random convolutional feature extraction (Rocket) with in-context classification via a pretrained tabular foundation model (TabPFN v2.5). On 92 UCR datasets (30-resample protocol), RocketPFN matches HC2, the strongest published method on the archive, in mean accuracy (both 0.900, Wilcoxon p=0.50), with no training on the target data and a median inference time of 30 seconds per fold. It also significantly outperforms every individual classifier in the HC2 ensemble. On UEA (20 datasets) the difference is likewise not statistically significant. A separate comparison concerns TSC foundation models: when paired with the same downstream classifier, MOMENT, Mantis, and MantisV2 are all significantly outperformed by RocketPFN using fewer extracted features and no learned parameters (p<0.001 in each case). This holds even when the encoders were pretrained on corpora that include the UCR training samples. We propose this two-stage pipeline as a reference point for evaluating zero-shot TSC foundation models.
We present a single classification pipeline that combines an Equiangular Tight Frame (ETF) preprocessing stage with a tabular foundation model for in-context inference, applied identically across modalities once data is mapped to fixed vector representations. We evaluate it on 95 datasets spanning seven signal modalities -- vision, audio, speech, text, molecular, time-series, and tabular. The main methodological contribution is to fix the comparison object: throughout the paper, performance is judged against the strongest lightweight tuned baseline on the same frozen features, while oracle selection, deployed selection, and specialized fine-tuning are reported separately. The pipeline is broadly competitive with strong lightweight tuned baselines on the same frozen features. It does not match the very best specialized models or heavily tuned pipelines on every task, but it stays close, and it runs much faster -- typically 4 to 200 times faster than full backbone fine-tuning, often at comparable quality. We describe how to deploy the pipeline in practice: when to apply ETF preprocessing, how to stop its training without a validation split, how to set up the in-context classifier, and how to calibrate the resulting probabilities. The calibration step is non-cosmetic: TabICL produces well-calibrated probabilities by construction, ETF preprocessing initially disrupts that calibration, and the post-hoc rescaling restores it -- yielding a per-prediction confidence signal that practitioners can use as a trust threshold for confidence-gated deployment. We also report where the pipeline should not be expected to help, and how to identify those cases in advance.
Policy optimization in high-dimensional continuous control for robotics remains a challenging problem. Predominant methods are inherently local and often require extensive tuning and carefully chosen initial guesses for good performance, whereas more global and less initialization-sensitive search methods typically incur high rollout costs. We propose TFM-S3, a tabular hybrid local-global method for improving global exploration in robot policy learning with limited rollout cost. We interleave high-frequency local updates with intermittent rounds of global search. In each search round, we construct a dynamically updated low-dimensional policy subspace via SVD and perform iterative surrogate-guided refinement within this space. A pretrained tabular foundation model predicts candidate returns from a small context set, enabling large-scale screening with limited rollout cost. Experiments on continuous control benchmarks show that TFM-S3 consistently accelerates early-stage convergence and improves final performance compared to TD3 and population-based baselines under an identical rollout budget. These results demonstrate that foundation models are a powerful new tool for creating sample-efficient policy learning methods for continuous control in robotics.