Large-scale, high-dimensional tabular regression remains challenging: tree-based models are robust but lack end-to-end representation learning, while deep models enable flexible feature learning but often incur costly interaction modeling and sensitivity to noisy or redundant features. We propose TabNSM, a scalable regression framework that extends our earlier sparse-attention and mixer architectures. At its core, the Adaptive Sparse Interaction Module (ASIM) integrates foreground feature discovery, sparse local interaction encoding, and Feature-Token Mixing, providing near-linear complexity under fixed sparse configurations. For regression, TabNSM introduces three complementary components: a Multi-Stage Regression Head for progressive prediction refinement; GridLoss, an ordinal-aware soft-binning objective that incorporates target structure into representation learning; and RISE (Reweighted Instance Sampling by Error), a difficulty-aware sampling strategy based on loss-quantile bins. Across nine real-world regression benchmarks, TabNSM delivers strong predictive performance and practical scalability, with particularly consistent gains on high-dimensional and heterogeneous datasets. These results demonstrate that selective interaction modeling, structured regression supervision, and difficulty-aware sampling provide an effective and scalable approach to deep tabular regression.
Tree-based diffusion models fit flexible conditional predictive distributions for tabular regression without a neural density estimator, but they inherit their design defaults---noising path, parameterization, training distribution, features, sampler---from the neural setting. We show these defaults are the binding constraint: what a gradient-boosted ensemble actually solves is a supervised regression problem whose conditioning they determine. We present DiffGBM, which makes them explicit along two axes. First, a Gaussian-path flow-matching trainer for $p(y \mid x)$ that learns a velocity field directly and recovers the score algebraically, admitting few-step deterministic ODE sampling. Second, we expose the score-side recipe---residualization, EDM-style preconditioning, log-sigma time sampling, noise-level features, loss weighting, and histogram resolution---as jointly tunable axes over a shared LightGBM surface rather than one frozen bundle. This \emph{score-flex} space represents the published recipe as a special case; across eleven tabular benchmarks under fold-0 tuning, folds-1--5 evaluation, and a matched 40-trial budget and sampler, the selected configurations beat that baseline on \emph{every} dataset (paired Wilcoxon $11/0$, $p<10^{-3}$), with the best aggregate CRPS skill (0.725 vs.\ 0.699) of any row. The two rows are complementary: score-flex buys accuracy with a stochastic sampler and is the slowest row, while flow matching is the cheapest sampler ($5.2\times$ faster than the published baseline) and the best-calibrated DiffGBM row. Tuned non-diffusion baselines still win individual datasets, and stochastic ($\varepsilon>0$) flow samplers do not Pareto-dominate the deterministic corner.
Ieva Petrulionyte, Julien Mairal, Michael Arbelcs.LG stat.ML
When sensitive attributes are continuous and high-dimensional $-$ demographic score vectors, posteriors over attributes, age or income profiles $-$ enforcing full statistical independence is often too restrictive, and existing relaxations rely on indirect dependence penalties or adversarial schemes that do not directly target the fairness-accuracy trade-off. We instead consider mean demographic parity through DPVar, the variance of the conditional-mean prediction given the sensitive attribute, and show that optimizing it yields a functional bilevel problem. We propose two algorithms for this problem: FBO, which uses a closed-form adjoint we derive for the squared-loss case to obtain an exact hypergradient, and ITD, which differentiates through unrolled inner steps and extends beyond squared loss. On synthetic data and a new semi-synthetic benchmark built from 60 tabular regression datasets, both methods achieve the lowest or near-lowest aggregate fairness-accuracy regret, and consistently match or outperform strong HSIC, adversarial, linear-dependence, and generalized-DP baselines.
Hossein Mohebbi, Oliver Schulte, Ke Li +1cs.LG cs.AI
Data-driven modeling in real-world regression tasks often suffers from limited training samples, high collection costs, and noisy observations. Inspired by the impact of data augmentation in vision and language, we propose a novel Counterfactual Residual Data Augmentation (CRDA) technique for tabular regression. Our key insight is that once a regressor has modeled the systematic component of the data, the remaining noise can be viewed as an invariant residual that remains stable under small perturbations of carefully selected features. We exploit this residual invariance to generate new, yet realistic, training samples, effectively expanding the dataset without requiring additional real data. Our method is model-agnostic and readily applicable to various types of regressors. In experiments across datasets from a variety of benchmark repositories, on average, CRDA reduces an MLP Regressor's MSE by 22.9% and an XGBoost Regressor's MSE by 6.4%. When compared to existing state-of-the-art data generators and augmentation techniques, CRDA consistently outperforms in MSE reduction. By adding principled counterfactual variations to the training data, our method offers a simple and efficient remedy for noise-prone, small-sample regression settings.
Real estate valuation is a structured regression problem in which prices are governed by heterogeneous feature types, sparse regional effects, nonlinear interactions, and the practical logic of comparable properties. Standard multilayer perceptrons treat each row as an isolated vector and must learn locality, scale sensitivity, and categorical matching from supervision alone. Gradient-boosted decision trees provide strong tabular baselines, but their feature-centric splitting mechanism does not explicitly model the retrieval of similar historical observations. This paper presents RowNet, a retrieval-based neural architecture for real estate price-per-square-meter prediction. RowNet represents a query property through pairwise similarity features against a memory bank of labeled properties. A first retrieval layer estimates a coarse target from feature-only similarities. A second layer augments the memory comparison with target-consistency features and uses multiple learned attention heads to retrieve complementary comparable sets. A final mixture-of-experts module combines learned gating, residual correction, entropy regularization, and head-diversity regularization to produce the prediction.