When Dynamics Models Read the Wrong Time Steps: Label-Free Event Credit Re-Anchoring for Robust Global Readouts

Learned dynamics models often answer global physical questions, such as fault severity or impact stiffness, by pooling a per-step feature sequence into one readout vector. This sequence-to-global interface creates an under-studied temporal credit problem: with only trajectory-level supervision, a model can predict accurately in training conditions while reading from abundant smooth correlates rather than the brief physical events that determine the target. We call this failure temporal credit dilution. It is not exposed by the training loss and is not removed by standard physics-informed residuals, because the error lies in where the global readout assigns functional credit. We introduce Credit-in-Event, an interface-level probe for measuring how much pooled credit lands on event steps, and prove in closed form that a pooled linear reader routes credit to a spurious background channel as the event fraction shrinks. We then propose CREST, a training-free and label-free readout that estimates a transient event core from learned features and re-anchors the pooled representation through event-versus-rest contrast. Across simulated gear and impact systems, recurrent and attention encoders, and public bearing vibration data, CREST reduces out-of-distribution error while restoring event credit. Ablations show that stable-step selection and receptive-field shrinking fail, confirming that the gain comes from event-core credit re-anchoring rather than a generic locality or stability prior.

Trace-Mediated Peak Bias: Bridging Temporal Credit Assignment and Cognitive Heuristics in Deep Reinforcement Learning

Temporal credit assignment is central to both biological and artificial intelligence, yet its interaction with non-linear function approximation is poorly understood. We identify a systematic failure mode in deep reinforcement learning (RL) termed Trace-Mediated Peak Bias (TMPB). At intermediate eligibility trace depths, agents irrationally prefer trajectories with high-magnitude reward ``peaks'' over alternatives with higher cumulative returns. This provides a mechanistic account of the Peak-End Rule: a human memory bias where experiences are judged by their most intense moments rather than integrated utility. We show that TMPB emerges because traces amplify distal Temporal Difference errors into ``gradient shocks'' that fixed-step-size Stochastic Gradient Descent cannot normalize, leading to global overestimation. Conversely, adaptive optimizers mitigate this pathology via second-moment normalization. Our results suggest that human-like saliency distortions may emerge naturally from the mathematical constraints of credit assignment in distributed systems, and that adaptive optimization is a theoretical necessity for rational value estimation.