CardioMeta: Calibrated Multi-Task Prediction of Diabetes, Hypertension, and Cardiovascular Disease Across Population and EHR Data

Cardiometabolic diseases remain among the most persistent drivers of preventable morbidity because diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease frequently co-occur and share metabolic, vascular, demographic, and behavioral determinants. Existing machine learning studies for chronic disease prediction often emphasize discrimination on a single dataset, while underreporting label leakage, calibration, temporal robustness, external transportability, and subgroup reliability. This paper presents CardioMeta, a calibrated multi-task framework for joint prediction of diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease across population survey and electronic health record (EHR) data. The study uses NHANES for population-level model development and temporal validation, and MIMIC-IV for EHR-domain evaluation under substantial distribution shift. To reduce circular label reconstruction, the primary analysis excludes disease-defining variables from the corresponding prediction heads, while a full-clinical feature setting is retained only as sensitivity analysis. CardioMeta combines a shared cardiometabolic encoder with disease-specific gated heads and post-hoc probability calibration. In the leakage-reduced temporal validation setting, the model achieved a macro-AUROC of 0.839, macro-AUPRC of 0.536, macro-F1 of 0.614, and expected calibration error of 0.024, with modest but consistent improvements over strong gradient-boosting and neural tabular baselines. External evaluation on MIMIC-IV showed clear degradation under domain shift, while limited fine-tuning partially recovered performance. The findings indicate that the principal value of multi-task cardiometabolic modeling lies not in inflated accuracy, but in reproducible leakage control, calibrated probabilities, and transparent reliability reporting across heterogeneous healthcare data sources.

A Multi-Task Deep Learning Framework for Real-Time Intelligent Video Surveillance with Temporal Event Validation

Modern video surveillance systems generate far more video streams than human operators can effectively monitor, making automated analysis essential for timely detection of security events. This paper presents a unified multi-task deep learning framework that simultaneously performs face recognition with zone-based authorization, automatic license plate recognition, weapon detection, fire and smoke detection, and human action recognition on a shared GPU platform. Among the integrated modules, two task-specific deep-learning models are proposed in this work to address scenarios that are insufficiently represented in publicly available datasets: a single-class weapon detector fine-tuned on a merged and relabeled dataset, achieving a mean average precision (mAP@0.5) of 0.947, and a SlowFast-R50 action recognition model trained on a purpose-built vandalism dataset comprising 614 video clips, achieving 94.33% classification accuracy. To improve robustness in continuous video, all detection modules are integrated into a temporal event-validation architecture based on multi-frame confirmation, confidence-weighted voting, and cascaded filtering, transforming frame-level predictions into reliable security events. Each module is evaluated independently on established public datasets (LFW, D-Fire, FIRESENSE, and UCF-Crime), followed by integrated end-to-end system evaluation. The proposed temporal validation strategy reduces the fire and smoke false-alarm rate from 52% to 4% and improves video license plate exact-match accuracy from 66.7% to 81.8%, while the complete framework maintains real-time operation with a per-frame latency below 100 ms on commodity hardware. These results demonstrate that combining specialized deep-learning models with temporal event validation provides an effective and practical solution for reliable real-time intelligent video surveillance.

MalTree: Tracing Malware Evolution from Embeddings at Scale

Malware detection remains largely reactive: machine learning models trained on known samples degrade as threats evolve. Understanding evolutionary relationships among malware families can inform proactive defense, but traditional reverse engineering can take months to years to uncover such lineage relationships. We propose MalTree, a framework that applies bioinformatics inspired phylogenetic techniques (UPGMA and Neighbor-Joining) at scale to model malware evolution automatically using structural, behavioral, and image-based features. We introduce temporal validation using VirusTotal timestamps to assess whether inferred trees reflect actual evolutionary order. MalTree achieves 87% temporal consistency, indicating that inferred evolutionary relationships closely align with real-world emergence timelines. Our analysis shows that some families mutate over 10 times faster than others, suggesting that detection strategies should be tailored to family-specific evolutionary tempos. Case studies, including the Mirai botnet, confirm that inferred relationships from our phylogenetic tree align with documented threat intelligence. Our framework provides a foundation for shifting malware analysis from sample-by-sample classification toward lineage-aware evolutionary modeling.