Real-world time-series classification tasks often exhibit class imbalance, which can be extremely severe in some applications. To avoid training biased classifiers on imbalanced data, sampling is one of the most popular data pre-processing techniques because of its classifier-agnostic nature. However, due to the complex temporal dependencies in original time-series data and the scarcity of minority-class samples, existing sampling methods, including interpolation-based oversampling methods and deep learning-based generative models, usually suffer from limited generalization and poor diversity when generating new time-series samples. This paper proposes a Frequency-domain representation-guided Multi-tree Genetic Programming-based oversampling approach (FreMGP) to imbalanced time-series classification, where each individual represents a set of synthetic samples for the minority class. A frequency-domain class-discriminative representation module based on contrastive learning is also developed, guiding the evolutionary search toward high-quality synthetic time-series samples. Experiments on imbalanced time-series datasets demonstrate that FreMGP outperforms existing oversampling methods and consistently improves the performance of different classifiers, including both general machine learning and deep learning models.
Antonia Holzapfel, Andres Felipe Posada Moreno, Sebastian Trimpecs.LG cs.AI
Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are widely used for time-series classification, but their deployment in critical domains requires understanding the temporal and spectral patterns that drive their predictions. Concept extraction (CE) methods identify such patterns by analyzing representations within the models' latent space. However, existing time-series CE methods have three limitations: they operate only in the time domain and overlook frequency features, predefine the number of concepts, and produce localizations misaligned with the regions the model uses. We address these limitations by proposing CENDRe, a concept extraction method for CNNs. It first discovers concepts by clustering per-timestep latent representations in two stages, where silhouette-guided aggregation selects the number of concepts automatically. Then, it localizes each concept through gradients of a presence score that contrasts the latent representations with their prototypes, producing masks that concentrate on the regions driving the concept. These gradients, propagated through a differentiable invertible mapping of the input such as a Fourier transform, yield localizations for the same concepts in the frequency domain. Finally, each concept receives a relevance score that quantifies its contribution to each class. On synthetic benchmarks, CENDRe achieves representation correctness comparable to state-of-the-art CE methods and significantly higher importance correctness. On real bearing-fault data, CENDRe extracts the frequency bands driving the model's predictions, located in regions commonly inspected for fault diagnosis, producing evidence to assess the model that time-domain CE methods cannot.
Finite-horizon optimal stopping is a central problem in early time-series classification, where a system must decide at each sequence prefix whether the expected benefit of another observation justifies its acquisition cost. Existing data-driven backward-induction methods typically solve each cost-horizon operating point separately, so changing operating conditions requires repeated optimization and separate model stacks, making continuous cost adaptation and multi-horizon deployment inefficient. We propose CC-AOS (Cost- and Horizon-Conditioned Amortized Optimal Stopping), a structured amortized solver for a family of finite-horizon stopping problems with continuous costs and multiple horizons. CC-AOS learns a shared continuation-value model conditioned on the current state, absolute time, remaining horizon, and acquisition cost through joint amortized fitted backward induction. We establish that the exact value and continuation functions are nondecreasing, concave, and horizon-dependently Lipschitz in cost, encode these properties in the model architecture, and derive residual-based bounds on value and policy errors. Experiments on controlled Gaussian and time-varying non-Gaussian processes and the FordA engine-noise time-series benchmark compare CC-AOS with representative per-operating-point backward-induction solvers and tuned static stopping rules. At six unseen FordA cost-horizon pairs, one CC-AOS checkpoint achieved a lower terminal-risk-plus-sampling-cost objective than independently fitted Convex Function Learning at all six pairs, with an average reduction of 15.75 percent, while matching the tuned static thresholds on average.
Rendering time series as chart images for CNN-based classification has become increasingly common in time-series classification (TSC). However, it remains unclear whether models learn underlying temporal patterns or rely on encoding-specific visual cues introduced by chart design. We present VEIL: a systematic study examining how chart encodings influence learned representations through complementary analyses of similarity, transferability, and attribution. Attention-guided training appears to mitigate this effect when encoding sensitivity is consistently identified across diagnostics, but provides limited or negative benefit when such signals are absent. These findings position VEIL within the broader question of how machines perceive visualizations -- extending graphical perception from human readers to vision models -- and show that visualization design choices shape learned representations in ways that warrant treating chart-based TSC as a representation and measurement problem rather than a simple modeling decision.
Siddhesh A. Dhinge, Shubham G. Sukum, Harsh S. Ranjane +2cs.AI cs.LG
Modern video games are becoming more complex day by day. Most of these modern games are multiplayer first-person shooter (FPS) games. The rising popularity of FPS games emphasizes the need to combat cheating for fair and enjoyable gaming. As the number of players using cheating techniques like aimbots, wallhacks, and speed hacks is also increasing, we need a way to detect players who are using cheating tools to gain an unfair advantage over regular players. In this system, we focus exclusively on detecting aimbot cheats. Players who use aimbot cheats generally do not prioritize other aspects of the game. To distinguish between regular and cheating players, we identify specific features encompassing time-series data such as aim velocity, number of shots, distance to target, and more, along with behavioral data such as utility usage, player movement, and other gameplay patterns. Utilizing these features, we construct a server-side aimbot detection classifier named 'YAACS'. YAACS comprises a parser, a deep learning model, and intermediary connection utilities designed for integration with the game server. The proposed system achieves a classification accuracy of 88.6% with a false positive rate of 0.97% using a Stacked LSTM with Dense layers trained on sequences of 128 ticks (Tick Delta Negative=56, Tick Delta Positive=24), outperforming the Decision Tree baseline which achieves a higher accuracy of 96.2% but at a false positive rate of 2.68%, 2.76x worse than the best LSTM configuration. These results demonstrate that incorporating temporal context through sequence modelling is critical for minimising false accusations in FPS cheat detection.
Post-hoc calibration for time-series classification usually remaps output scores, but deployment decisions such as trust, abstention, and review depend on whether a confident prediction is supported by the current temporal signal. We address three time-series reliability gaps: identical confidence values can hide different temporal support, average calibration can miss false high-confidence errors, and output-space recalibration offers limited input-linked auditability. We introduce a validation-gated fixed-label reliability policy that keeps the backbone prediction unchanged while estimating whether it should be trusted. The method combines output-side cues with whole-sample spectral descriptors, including band energy, entropy, peak dominance, period support, and phase stability, to form a scalar reliability estimate and diagnostic band-level evidence. A validation gate enables spectral conditioning only when correctness ranking improves without breaching FalseConf@0.9 or AURC tolerances; otherwise it reverts to the safer output-space baseline. Across eight heterogeneous UCR/UEA datasets, eight time-series backbone families, and standard recalibrators, the unconstrained method improves fixed-label selective-reliability metrics on the matched evaluation subset, raising Corr-AURC from 0.693 to 0.779. The validation-gated policy further improves Corr-AURC to 0.786 and reduces FalseConf@0.9 to 0.094. These results suggest that reliability estimation for time-series classifiers benefits from bundling output confidence with spectral evidence, while validation gating prevents unsupported spectral conditioning.
Franco Martino O'Rourke, Ana Trisovic, Dimitris Bertsimascs.LG
A Prior-data fitted Network learns the posterior predictive induced by its training prior; bringing this paradigm to multivariate time-series classification therefore calls for a synthetic generator that produces complete labelled datasets with temporal structure. We introduce a causal prior that synthesizes each dataset from a randomly sampled DAG over typed nodes across two modalities (tabular attributes and time series), natively producing multivariate, multi-class TSC datasets with cross-modal causal structure across channels, timesteps and labels, a regime not addressed by existing synthetic priors. To validate the prior, we finetune TabPFN v2.5 with minimal adaptations and evaluate on 75 UCR/UEA datasets within TabPFN's operating regime. Finetuning on our generator significantly outperforms both the unmodified upstream model and a tabular-only ablation of the same prior (Wilcoxon signed-rank $p=3.0\times 10^{-8}$ on ROC-AUC), isolating the contribution of the cross-modal temporal structure.