Financial prediction typically relies on task-specific regression, ranking, or policy heads, separating the language model from the numerical object ultimately evaluated. We investigate whether a causal language model can instead represent forecasts and decisions directly through constrained token generation. FinATOM introduces a unified, head-free interface for three-step stock-return forecasting and dynamic five-ETF allocation. The forecasting model autoregressively emits volatility-standardized return tokens and is trained with ordinal and ranking supervision followed by a one-epoch token-level policy stage. The allocation model generates normalized long-only weights; supervised fine-tuning imitates a causal mean--variance anchor, and DAPO-augmented GRPO optimizes realized 21-day Sharpe subject to anchor consistency. In 2023--2025 ETF tests, the allocation policy improves pooled gross Sharpe from 1.428 to 1.529 and net Sharpe under a 5-bp transaction-cost model from 1.394 to 1.494. The multimodal allocation input attains the highest three-period mean Sharpe of 1.540, with its clearest advantage in 2025. On FinTexTS, the SFT and policy strategies achieve 73.52\%/2.68 and 73.72\%/2.69 cumulative-return/Sharpe, respectively. These results support the feasibility of direct language-model token generation for financial numerical prediction and decision-making, while motivating broader tests across assets, regimes, and random seeds.
Francois Crespin, Fabian M. Suchanek, Nils Holzenbergercs.AI cs.CL
We propose a new method that allows an LLM to automatically pull in factual knowledge from a knowledge base during token generation. This means that (1)~factual knowledge in the LLM output can be updated without retraining the LLM, (2)~facts in the LLM output can be traced to the knowledge base for transparency and explainability, and (3)~smaller models can achieve the same factual accuracy as larger models. Our core idea is to train the model to produce special tokens that trigger a query to the knowledge base. Our experiments show that our method improves factual grounding in both short and long-form generation, and allows factual revisions to take effect through KB edits rather than parameter updates.
Masked diffusion language models (dLLMs) have recently emerged as a competitive alternative to autoregressive language models, with the promise of faster inference via parallel token generation. A notable limitation of the masked formulation, however, is that once a token has been unmasked it can no longer be revised, leaving dLLMs vulnerable to early sampling mistakes. To address this, a growing body of work has sought to extend masked dLLMs with self-correcting (remasking) capabilities. One appealing subset of these methods does so in a training-free, post-hoc manner based on token confidences, with encouraging early reported results. In this work, we revisit the empirical evaluation of a representative post-hoc remasking method, WINO [Hong et al., 2026], and find that under standard decoding settings (shorter block lengths) it brings little-to-no benefit over confidence-based unmasking alone [Wu et al., 2025]. Extending the evaluation to non-greedy decoding, we find that while confidence-based remasking can mitigate errors introduced by increased stochasticity to some extent, it also exacerbates the diversity collapse previously reported for confidence-based unmasking. Overall, our results show that the benefits of post-hoc confidence-based remasking are highly setting-dependent, underscoring the need for a more comprehensive evaluation framework.
Haotian Zheng, Zhanwei Wang, Mingyao Cui +3cs.DC cs.AI cs.NI
Speculative inference (SPIN) was originally developed as an efficient architecture to accelerate Large Language Models (LLMs). In this work, we propose its distributed deployment to enable cooperative token generation in a multiuser edge system; its advantage is to effectively balance computational loads between resource-constrained devices and servers. The resulting architecture, termed Multi-access SPIN (Multi-SPIN), utilizes on-device small language models to generate and upload candidate token drafts, while an edge server operates the LLM to verify them in parallel batches. Given the severe heterogeneity in users' computation and communication capabilities, the draft length emerges as a critical control variable that influences node-level computation loads and multi-access latency, thereby governing the sum token goodput. Consequently, considering frequency-division multiple access, we investigate the problem of multi-access draft control, a joint optimization of draft-length control and bandwidth allocation to maximize sum token goodput. We examine two cases: (1) homogeneous draft lengths across users to facilitate server-side batching, and (2) heterogeneous draft lengths to introduce a new dimension for goodput enhancement. By developing decomposition methods, we reduce these complex optimizations into tractable sub-problems, which allow efficient draft control algorithms to be derived in closed form. Our analysis shows that the optimal bandwidth allocation compensates users with weaker computation-and-communication capabilities in the homogeneous case due to the batching synchronization requirements, whereas its heterogeneous-case counterpart rewards users with higher acceptance rates by relaxing such requirements. Experiments using Llama-2 and Qwen3.5 model pairs across diverse tasks demonstrate that Multi-SPIN improves goodput by up to 88% over heterogeneity-agnostic baselines.