The 2025--2026 AI market has seen a wave of stealth releases: frontier models launched anonymously on developer platforms under codenames. For their users, identity determines data-handling terms, supply-chain risk, and capability expectations. No validated methodology exists for black-box identity verification of anonymous models: practitioner checklists lack accuracy evidence, and self-identification is untrustworthy by design. We propose a four-stage forensic audit protocol for API-served models. Stage 0 reconstructs launch-time configuration from archived platform snapshots (Internet Archive), exposing preview--production drift. Stage 1 fingerprints configuration (context, output ceiling, reasoning, modality) against the platform catalog. Stage 2 tests tokenizer identity with a cross-length differential that rejects short-prompt collisions. Stage 3 corroborates with behavioral probes. We test declaration consistency on 10 known-identity releases (7 exact, 2 precision-differences, 1 partial, 0 counter-directional), not end-to-end identification under anonymity. Identification is validated prospectively on a flagship case whose 2026-08-23 analysis pointed to the GLM-5.3 version line and whose official reveal confirmed those family and version-line inferences (deployment variant was not pre-asserted; Flash was consistent post-reveal), and on three Stage-0-only cases where the protocol produced a graded hypothesis or declined rather than guessed. A standard-library-only implementation is provided as supplementary material.
Pretraining corpus composition shapes LLM capabilities, but it often remains hidden even when model weights are released. Prior work has inferred corpus mixtures or traced specific token groups from released tokenizer vocabularies; in contrast, we estimate corpus ratios for arbitrary target tokens. We first show that BPE tokenizers trained on different corpora share stable token ID--ratio distributions, motivating distribution transfer from known corpora to a target tokenizer trained on hidden corpora. We then propose Quantile-Guided Density Estimation (QGDE), which approximates this distribution with multiple quantile trends and uses local density weighting to produce token-level estimates. In controlled settings and a realistic setting using the released SmolLM tokenizer, QGDE achieves mean relative errors as low as 3.00% for token-level estimation and 3.08% after aggregation into category-level mixtures. These results suggest that released tokenizer vocabularies provide a useful signal for fine-grained corpus estimation beyond coarse composition inference.
Santhosh Parampottupadam, Andres Martinez, Dimitrios Bounias +3cs.LG cs.CL cs.CR
Federated learning (FL) enables multi-institutional training on clinical text without sharing raw data, but gradient inversion can reconstruct sensitive information from shared model updates. The extent of this leakage for radiology reports, and the role of tokenizer design, remains unclear. We quantify gradient-based text reconstruction in FL and compare privacy risk across three tokenizers with the model architecture held fixed. Six FL clients trained a GPT-2-style transformer (sequence length 32) on public radiology corpora (368,751 diagnostic reports, 98,206 discharge summaries, 1,500 MIMIC-CXR free-text reports) using the GPT-2, RadBERT, and LLaMA-2 tokenizers at batch sizes of 64, 128, and 256. Assuming an active malicious server that modifies the shared architecture before distribution, we applied analytic gradient inversion and measured reconstruction fidelity over five runs. Exact sentence reconstruction ranged from 31% to 44% across tokenizers (30.6-43.5% across the 27 tokenizer x dataset x batch-size cells). At batch size 64 on the Discharge dataset, accuracy was 42.1% (GPT-2), 42.3% (RadBERT), and 39.4% (LLaMA-2), decreasing to 37.3%, 37.2%, and 34.3% at batch size 256. S-BLEU declined as batch size grew (GPT-2: 0.44 to 0.33; RadBERT: 0.48 to 0.35). RadBERT yielded the highest reconstruction fidelity and recovered the most clinical terms (18.1% of a 1,440-term reference vocabulary, vs 12.5% for GPT-2 and 9.4% for LLaMA-2), yet no tokenizer prevented leakage. Substantial portions of report text are therefore recoverable from FL gradients even at larger batch sizes and with domain-specific tokenizers. Tokenizer design influences leakage severity and is a privacy-relevant decision, not only a utility one; safeguards such as secure aggregation and differential privacy are likely necessary to meet HIPAA and GDPR requirements for FL in radiology NLP.