Topic models are widely used for content analysis, where users often analyze corpora around predefined labels rather than unordered latent topics. Existing label-aware topic models mainly follow a labels-for-topics perspective, using labels to guide topic learning, while the learned topics are not directly usable for label-centered analysis. We explore the reverse topics-for-labels perspective and instantiate it as Label Semantic Expansion (LSE), which enriches sparse label representations with corpus-grounded descriptive topic words. To exploit topics in LSE effectively, we propose a Label-Guided Neural Topic Model (LGNTM), which learns dedicated label-aligned topics, grounds them in lexical and document semantic spaces, and preserves consistency between topic structures and label structures. Experiments on label-topic alignment, label expansion, topic quality, and downstream classification demonstrate strong overall performance across complementary evaluation dimensions.
Identifying white space --- the unexplored but potentially valuable regions of a patent landscape --- is essential for strategic R&D planning, yet existing methods rely on manual patent mapping or apply single-view clustering without quantitative gap detection. We propose BLANC (Blank Landscape Analysis through NPMI Conditioning), a three-phase pipeline combining (1) multi-view neural topic modeling along three semantic dimensions (application/use, novelty, inventive step); (2) Normalized Pointwise Mutual Information (NPMI) to quantify cross-dimensional cluster association; and (3) conditional detection that flags combinations whose NPMI drops when the corpus is filtered by a user-specified keyword. The drop is captured by a new metric, $Δ$NPMI, which identifies combinations "established globally, unexplored locally." Because white space has no ground truth, we evaluate BLANC on two public USPTO corpora --- machine learning/AI (5,417 patents, CPC G06N) and glass compositions (1,982 patents, CPC C03C) --- by artificially depleting known technology combinations and testing recovery. When three-quarters of a target pair's documents are removed, BLANC recovers 34.1% (ML/AI) and 27.3% (glass) of the depleted combinations, whereas size-matched removals not aimed at them (random documents, or those of a different established combination) essentially never do: the target is never recovered in 191 decoy trials. Collapsing the three semantic views into one recovers nothing, while prior co-occurrence measures also flag the target under random removal, offering no specificity. In a proprietary case (302 float glass / glass-ceramics patents), the keyword "fluorine" reveals a fluorine surface treatment $\times$ warpage suppression candidate ($Δ$NPMI up to 0.48) that experts had independently identified.
Natural Language Processing (NLP) has grown rapidly over the past decade, driven by digital transformation in the Arab world, social media, and large language models (LLMs). Despite this growth, a comprehensive quantitative meta-analysis of the field remains absent. This study presents a large-scale bibliometric and topic-based analysis of 7,120 Arabic NLP papers published between 1960 and 2026, sourced from six collections. We employ BERTopic for topic modeling, regression analysis to identify citation predictors, social network analysis for co-authorship structures, and geographic mapping. Our findings show a significant publication surge after 2020, driven by transformer models and LLMs. Topic modeling identifies 19 substantive themes, the largest centered on text, speech, translation, and recognition. Citation analysis reveals a positive correlation between paper age and citations (r = 0.245, p < 0.001); regression shows that indexing in OpenAlex or Semantic Scholar and institutional affiliation are associated with higher citation counts. Saudi Arabia, the United States, and Egypt lead in research output. A task-dialect gap matrix identifies critical understudied areas, including summarization for Maghrebi, Iraqi, and Sudanese dialects. The largest topic has the highest H-index (87), followed by sentiment analysis (54). Our quantitative approach complements existing qualitative surveys and offers recommendations to prioritize under-resourced dialects and develop culturally aligned benchmarks for Arabic NLP.
Dynamic Embedded Topic Models (D-ETM) provide an interpretable framework for modeling temporal semantic evolution, but cross-corpus comparison remains difficult because topics are often learned independently and aligned only after training, a process that does not guarantee stable topic correspondence across corpora and time. To address this problem, we propose a D-ETM framework that first learns a common dynamic topic space over a merged multi-corpus collection, which we call the shared backbone, then introduces corpus-specific residual adaptation around the frozen backbone without creating separate latent topic spaces. This design preserves a shared topic index for cross-corpus comparison while allowing each corpus to specialize lexically. We evaluate the framework on three temporally structured corpora spanning 97 years: the Corpus of Historical American English, Harvard Business Review, and International Labour Review. Residual adaptation improves corpus-specific fit relative to the shared backbone while preserving the same-index cross-corpus topic trajectories, achieving substantially stronger alignment than full fine-tuning from the same backbone, with $97.5 \pm 0.7\%$ versus $17.9 \pm 1.1\%$ trajectory Retrieval@1, as well as stronger alignment than independent training with post-hoc Hungarian matching. These results suggest that incorporating topic alignment into the model can support more stable over-time cross-corpus comparisons while retaining corpus-specific lexical variation.
Steven Morse, Daniel Runfola, Trenton W. Fordcs.CL
We present a novel application of embedding-based dynamic topic modeling techniques to detect and quantify topic drift at the comment level in a massive corpus. By leveraging pretrained language models to generate contextualized semantic embeddings for short text, we analyzed 12.7 billion Reddit comments spanning 2006 to 2022. Using unsupervised methods on these embeddings, we identify dynamically evolving topic clusters over time. Our primary contribution is a methodology for analysis of semantic drift and discourse evolution in the embedding space itself. We also demonstrate modifications to existing methods that enable this analysis at scale, and we propose and demonstrate a null model comparison test to filter spurious dynamics. Key findings suggest that politically and socially contentious topics exhibit significant directional drift in embedding space, with inter-topic distances changing systematically over time beyond what the null model can explain, whereas domains such as music and sports remain comparatively stable.
Recent advances in neural topic models with pre-trained language models (PLMs) have achieved strong performance by leveraging general-domain pre-training, yet their topic interpretability often degrades on specialized corpora. This limitation primarily stems from the geometry of the embedding space, where domain-specific terms unseen during pre-training collapse into an indistinguishable region, and neither domain-specific re-training, word-level graph enrichment, nor parameter-efficient fine-tuning can restructure this space without inheriting the capacity ceiling of the underlying encoder. Our key insight is that a learnable graph layer operating on token-level PLM embeddings can acquire corpus-specific semantic structure that the frozen encoder lacks, because token-level graphs preserve document-local context that word-level representations discard and joint optimization with the topic objective reshapes embedding geometry directly from target-domain evidence. We instantiate this insight as DARTopic, a domain-agnostic framework that constructs token-level semantic graphs from frozen PLM embeddings and jointly trains a GNN encoder with topic inference. Across three benchmarks spanning general, biomedical, and legal domains, DARTopic consistently outperforms strong baselines in topic coherence and document clus- tering without any encoder fine-tuning, while demonstrating robustness to PLM choice and favorable runtime efficiency over fine-tuning based alternatives.
Mkululi Sikosana, Sean Maudsley-Barton, Oluwaseun Ajaocs.CL cs.LG cs.SI
Health misinformation circulating during pandemics can gain traction rapidly, creating harmful narratives that compete with public health guidance. Most topic-modelling pipelines treat engagement as an external outcome, limiting their ability to prioritise semantically coherent topics that are also rapidly diffusing. We introduce BERTopic-VP, a virality-prioritised topic-modelling framework that combines contextual embedding-based clustering (BERTopic) with a post hoc Virality Prioritisation (VP) layer. The pipeline is complemented by a two-stage hybrid misinformation detection module that fuses a supervised content-based classifier with an external verification signal derived from public-health knowledge bases. Applied to three benchmark datasets, COVID-19_FNIR, Monkeypox, and Constraint, the framework achieves strong classification performance, with F1 up to 0.950 and ROC-AUC up to 0.989, while identifying high-impact clusters under top 1%, 5%, and 10% VP thresholds. For datasets without native engagement metadata, prioritisation is based on a logistic propensity-to-spread score, used as an ordinal proxy for diffusion potential rather than a direct measure of engagement. The results show that integrating semantic structure, virality-aware ranking, and affective-linguistic profiling enables scalable and interpretable comparative analysis of misinformation across pandemics. The proposed framework supports monitoring-oriented early warning by surfacing low-volume but high-risk narratives for analyst review.
The aviation industry characterized by its stringent safety standards has seen a growing need for innovative approaches to enhance safety measures. Despite the vast accumulation of aviation safety data over time, its full potential in predicting and preventing incidents has not been fully realized. This research addresses this gap by applying machine learning (ML) and natural language processing (NLP) techniques to analyze aviation safety data from Socrata, the Australian Transport Safety Bureau (ATSB), the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB), and the Aviation Safety Network (ASN). By leveraging existing ML models, including deep learning and transformer-based architectures alongside NLP methods for mining aviation incident narratives, this study uncovers patterns contributing to safety related incidents such as accidents and near-misses. Additionally, it employs various topic modelling techniques to extract meaningful themes from unstructured safety reports, enhancing the interpretability of incident analysis. Causal inference techniques and interpretable AI frameworks are further explored to improve model transparency and trustworthiness. A key contribution of this work is the deployment of advanced ML methodologies in a structured aviation safety context, assessing their effectiveness and providing insights into their practical implementation. The findings offer valuable insights for aviation stakeholders, including regulators, airlines, and policymakers, by providing data-driven solutions that enhance incident analysis and decision making. Ultimately, this research supports the industry s ongoing efforts to minimize risks, improve passenger and crew security, and integrate AI driven methodologies into aviation safety management.
Dynamic topic models capture evolving word distributions, but traditional coherence metrics may fail when vocabulary changes while semantic meaning persists. We evaluate 120 topics from CoNTM and DLDA across NYT, DBLP, and arXiv, using three human annotators and Low, Medium, and High lexical-change categories. Traditional temporal coherence shows highly variable agreement with human judgments ($ρ$=-0.256 to 0.614). In contrast, LLM-based semantic similarity agrees strongly with human semantic judgments for CoNTM on NYT ($ρ$=0.609), DBLP ($ρ$=0.721), and arXiv ($ρ$=0.502), but is less consistent for DLDA. Lexical-change stratification reveals variation hidden by aggregate evaluation. We therefore advocate lexical-change-aware evaluation, jointly reporting traditional coherence and LLM-based semantic measures as complementary rather than interchangeable signals.
Ekkehardt Bauer, Dirk Holländer, David Scholz +4q-fin.CP cs.LG q-fin.ST
This study focuses on developing an AI-supported prototype for multiperspective interest rate forecasting that combines classical econometric models with modern artificial intel-ligence methods. Tested in a major European bank, the system enables more precise and flexible prediction of interest rate developments, supporting strategic decision-making in Asset-Liability Management (ALM). It integrates topic modeling, sentiment analysis, econometric forecasting, and market-based analyses within an interactive platform. Leveraging AI to analyze large volumes of financial documents and market data enables the identification of monetary policy trends and sentiment signals at an early stage. The core econometric model is a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) that enables simulation-based scenario analyses to evaluate economic developments from multiple perspectives. The system's innovation lies in its integration of several forecasting approaches that consolidate previously separate information sources and present them transparently and interpretably. Financial analysts and risk managers thus gain a better basis for making decisions, allowing them to assess interest rate risks more accurately and manage market movements more proactively. While the prototype demonstrates how AI can transform interest rate management in banking, further development is required to optimize real-time data integration and regulatory compliance. Even at this stage, the study shows that multi-perspective, AI-driven forecasting provides substantial added value for banks by increasing transparency, strengthening evidence-based decision-making, and improving risk management.
Statistical reasoning is multidimensional, yet evaluations of large language models (LLMs) typically emphasize response accuracy while overlooking how models construct and communicate statistical explanations. This study demonstrates the value of a multidimensional evaluation by combining response accuracy, response behavior, structural topic modeling, and lexical similarity analysis. The framework is applied to explanations generated by 15 current-generation LLMs responding to 90 questions drawn from four statistics examinations spanning high school, undergraduate, and graduate levels. Accuracy varied substantially across models, ranging from 55\% to 78\%. In contrast, structural topic modeling revealed a common conceptual organization of statistical reasoning across all models, while lexical similarity analysis identified modest but consistent vendor-specific differences in explanatory style. Models developed by the same vendor (e.g. Anthropic, OpenAI) produced explanations that were slightly more similar than models from different vendors. These findings demonstrate that statistical reasoning in contemporary LLMs cannot be characterized by accuracy alone and illustrate how complementary analyses of response behavior and model-generated explanations provide a more comprehensive evaluation of statistical reasoning in generative AI.
Gregorio de la Fuente, Jesse Thalerhep-ph cs.LG hep-ex
Providing a practical and hadron-level definition of multiple jet flavors has been a long-standing challenge in collider physics. Previous work has introduced a data-driven, operational definition of quark and gluon jets, but no robust generalization beyond two jet categories presently exists. To address this, we introduce a machine-learning framework called "simplex demixing'' to extract $T$ jet flavors (or topics in the statistics literature) from $M$ data samples (or mixtures) with minimal constraints. Intuitively, our procedure identifies the maximally separable categories in the data, translating a multi-category classifier on the $M$ mixtures into a bounded geometric object with $T$ vertices. We first demonstrate our procedure on a toy problem to infer the truth-level fractions of down-quark, up-quark, and gluon jets from synthetic mixtures of the three pure samples. We then propose a tag-and-probe strategy to extract multiple light-flavor categories in a more realistic collider setting involving dijet production. As expected, the identifiability of jet flavors depends on their relative abundance in the samples and the hadron-level information available to the classifier architecture. Our work opens the door to data-driven extractions of multiple jet flavor properties at the Large Hadron Collider.
Akriti Bagale, Nafisa Mehjabin, Ali Ünlü +1cs.CY cs.AI
The rapid integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and generative AI (GenAI) into education presents significant opportunities to enhance teaching and learning, while raising ethical concerns about the responsible use of these technologies in educational settings. Understanding how the public perceives and debates these issues is increasingly important for educators, institutions, and policymakers seeking to integrate AI responsibly and equitably. Social media platforms, where such debates unfold frequently and at scale, offer a valuable lens for capturing large-scale, real-time public reactions to key developments as they emerge. In this study, we analyse five years (2019-2024) of discourse on Twitter (now X) to trace the evolving public conversation around AI ethics in education, paying particular attention to the release of ChatGPT as a pivotal moment that reshaped the nature and tone of that discourse. Using BERT-based topic modelling and SetFit sentiment analysis to identify dominant themes and track sentiment over time, we find that the discourse has been predominantly positive across the observation period, with negative sentiment concentrated around specific ethical controversies. More recently, anxieties about academic integrity and the broader implications of generative AI have come to dominate the conversation. Rather than reflecting a polarized debate, public discourse appears pragmatic and largely receptive to AI integration, though accompanied by growing calls for ethical oversight and institutional accountability. By providing a longitudinal account of public sentiment surrounding AI ethics in education, this study informs educators, institutions, and policymakers an empirically grounded understanding of public expectations, informing the development of responsible, transparent, and equitable approaches to AI integration across educational contexts.
M. S. Rajeevan, B. Mini Devi, V. S. Anoop +1cs.CL cs.AI cs.IR
Ancient Indian medical texts like Sushruta Samhita have extensive information on diseases, treatments, and surgical techniques. Yet, their ancient format and use of intricate vocabulary pose difficulties in accessibility and systematic ordering. The research here utilizes Natural Language Processing (NLP) methods like Named Entity Recognition (NER), BERTopic modeling, and Knowledge Graph development in Neo4j to extract, categorize, and visualize important concepts based on translated versions. Thematic classification with BERTopic allows for the identification of the underlying medical topics, whereas NER supports the structured entity recognition of diseases, treatments, researchers, and medicinal plants. Graphbased network analysis with Neo4j also allows for the semantic representation of relationship among extracted entities, supporting knowledge retrieval and digital preservation. The findings illustrate how graph databases, topic modeling, and entity recognition facilitate the computational organization of Ayurveda's historical medical wisdom, closing the gap between the conventional texts and contemporary data-driven inquiry. The suggested method promotes historical text analysis, medical informatics, and digital humanities to make ancient Indian medical wisdom more accessible and understandable.
Modern data-driven marketing relies on large amounts of consumer data, yet collecting such data can be costly, time-consuming, and difficult to scale. This research examines whether large language models (LLMs) can be used to generate synthetic consumer data for projective techniques, a set of methods designed to elicit consumer associations, emotions, wants, and needs. We test LLM-generated responses across multiple projective tasks, LLMs, prompting strategies, and temperature settings, and compare them with human responses from a primary research study on perceptions of city tourism destinations. Human and LLM responses were analyzed using linguistic measures, diversity and concentration metrics, topic models, and top-term analyses. The results show substantial overlap between human and LLM responses in broad topics and associations, but also important differences in style, linguistic structure, and the way diversity is generated. Recommendations are given on how to best utilize LLMs for generating synthetic consumer data, how model and prompt choices shape response quality, and on recognizing the limitations of LLM synthetic consumer data generation.
Adolescence is a critical developmental period marked by heightened emotional sensitivity, social stress, and vulnerability to substance use. However, traditional research methods provide limited access to adolescents' authentic experiences, hindering efforts to develop evidence-based prevention and intervention strategies. Social media provides a unique opportunity to observe adolescents' naturally occurring discussions about substance use, offering valuable insights into their opinions, emotions, and lived experiences that can inform early prevention and intervention strategies. In this study, we analyze large-scale Reddit discussions related to substance use among adolescents between 2018 and 2023. Leveraging hour-by-day temporal analysis, sentiment and emotion classification, and transformer-based topic modeling (BERTopic), we examine the interaction between time, emotion, and semantic content in adolescent substance use discourse. Our findings reveal pronounced weekend and late-night peaks in substance-related discussions, a dominance of negative emotions such as sadness and fear, and distinct semantic topics centered on peer relationships, family conflict, emotional distress, and substance-specific experiences. These findings advance our understanding of adolescent substance use in naturalistic online settings and provide empirical evidence to support the development of more timely, targeted, and evidence-based prevention and intervention strategies.
Utkarsh Tiwari, Spoorthi M, Anirudh S +1cs.CR cs.AI cs.SE
The increasing complexity and frequency of software vulnerabilities demand efficient methods to analyze and prioritize threats. Traditional approaches often fail to process the vast amount of unstructured textual data effectively, highlighting the need for advanced solutions. This study leverages state-of-the-art topic modeling techniques powered by large language models (LLMs) to extract meaningful insights from the 'Threat' feature of a software vulnerability dataset. Models such as BERTopic, Top2Vec, CombinedTM, Llama2 with BERTopic, and Mixtral are utilized, along with dimensionality reduction and clustering methods like UMAP, PCA, HDBSCAN, and DBSCAN. By uncovering latent patterns and generating interpretable clusters, this research enhances threat prioritization and decision-making in cybersecurity. The findings support scalable and automated solutions for vulnerability management, contributing to improved security practices.
Masculinity in nineteenth-century fiction is not a single ideal but a field of competing scripts. Drawing on 150 British and American canonical novels from the txtLAB Novel450 corpus, published between 1771 and 1930, this paper examines the changing relative prominence of competing models of masculine authority. To focus the analysis on masculine characterisation, the study extracts male-character-centred text windows by using coreference resolution to group names, nominal mentions, and pronouns into character-specific reference chains. It then fits an unsupervised structural topic model with publication year and author gender as topic-prevalence covariates. The model identifies six distinct masculine formations: aristocratic-chivalric, Christian manhood, gentlemanly respectability, country squire, professional-commercial, and imperial/adventure. Across the corpus, formations tied to inherited rank and sacred authority decline, while those organised around paid work and adventure rise. The largest increase occurs not in professional-commercial breadwinning but in imperial/adventure masculinity, particularly the frontier-wilderness register. The trajectory points to a reallocation from inherited and sacred status towards achieved, commercial, and expansionary forms of masculine authority. Adventurous and commercial formations are also more prevalent in novels by authors recorded as male. Because these formations emerge without a seeded vocabulary yet align with categories established in independent scholarship, the article offers a reproducible method for measuring the reorganisation of gendered authority across the long nineteenth century.
This study analyzes the novelty distribution of scholarly papers in the field of Library and Information Science (LIS) in China, with a focus on differences across journals, research topics, and time periods. Articles published in Chinese LIS journals indexed by the Chinese Social Sciences Citation Index (CSSCI) from 2000 to 2022 were collected as the research sample. BERTopic was applied to paper abstracts to identify research topics, and novelty scores were calculated based on the combinatorial innovation theory of reference pairs cited by focal papers. The study then examined the novelty of papers under different topics and further analyzed author collaboration patterns to explain how collaboration may be associated with paper novelty. The results show that archival research topics generally have lower novelty, whereas topics related to journal evaluation and patent technology display higher novelty in Chinese LIS research. Overall, the novelty of papers in this field has gradually increased over time. Papers with different topics and novelty levels also show distinct collaboration patterns: low-novelty topics are more often associated with solo authorship, while high-novelty topics tend to involve a higher proportion of inter-institutional collaboration. This study reveals the topic-level characteristics and temporal trends of novelty in Chinese LIS research and provides a new perspective for understanding how research topics and collaboration patterns influence scholarly innovation.
Graph-based narrative extraction relies on a coherence function to score transitions between events, but the coherence metrics in current use are defined operationally and lack an information-theoretic foundation. We study the composite metric $C=\sqrt{A\cdot T}$, where $A$ is the angular similarity of document embeddings and $T=1-d_{\mathrm{JS}}$ is a topic proximity from the Jensen-Shannon distance of soft memberships, and give it an information-geometric reading together with an axiomatic characterization of the geometric-mean combinator. On the product manifold $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}\timesΔ^{K-1}$, the negative log-coherence decomposes additively into an angular and a topic cost. Because the Riemannian metric tensor induced by the Jensen-Shannon distance on the simplex is proportional to the Fisher information matrix, the topic component is locally consistent with the Fisher-Rao metric singled out by Chentsov's theorem. Within the compensability spectrum of combinators, the geometric mean is the unique one consistent with four natural axioms (a boundary/veto condition, symmetry, log-additivity, normalization), and the construction motivates a proper product metric $d_\times$. Experiments on four corpora, three embedding families, and three topic models are consistent with the framework: the Fisher identity holds ($R\ge0.99$), the geometric mean tracks $d_\times$ closely ($ρ=0.999$), and a downstream LLM-as-judge check finds it is not dominated by any alternative combinator or single-channel baseline. Sweeping the spectrum, the bottleneck-coherence gap between extracted and random storylines splits into a symmetric component, maximized at the geometric mean across five corpora, and a displacement term; a cross-modal image-narrative case study reproduces the effect. These results justify the composite coherence metric and articulate when the geometric mean is the natural choice.
As AI agent protocols proliferate, the governance structures shaping their interoperability standards remain empirically underexamined. We introduce an LLM-powered comparative pipeline for large-scale governance discourse analysis, integrating automated annotation, neural topic modeling, and multi-layer network analysis to study socio-technical power structures at scale. We validate it on two contrasting standards for agent interoperability: ERC-8004 (permissionless, on-chain) and Google A2A (corporate-led). Analyzing 4,323 governance participation records, we combine LLM-assisted coding, topic modeling, and multi-layer network analysis to examine how institutional design shapes thematic priorities and community structure. We find that while governance form influences substantive focus, both regimes exhibit comparable levels of participation inequality and community fragmentation. Discourse alignment is denser in the permissionless setting, suggesting that open governance may foster greater thematic convergence despite decentralized participation. These findings illustrate how LLM-assisted methods can advance the empirical study of technology governance, with implications for designing more equitable agentic AI standards. All data and code are openly available.
Ahmed Abolfadl, Marwa Mahmoud Abla, Mervat Abu-Elkheir +1cs.DL cs.AI cs.LG
Predicting emerging trends is vital for businesses, researchers, and policymakers; yet traditional approaches often lack scalability and adaptability. This paper presents a trend prediction framework based on Automated Machine Learning (AutoML), designed to extract insights from textual datasets with temporal attributes. The system ingests subject-specific textual entries accompanied by a date field. The pipeline begins with preprocessing and embedding, followed by AutoClustering, which uses meta-learning to select the optimal clustering algorithm. AutoTopicModeling then applies successive halving to identify the best topic modeling method: Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA), BERTopic, or Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) based on the coherence score for each cluster. For trend forecasting, AutoTrendAnalysis evaluates multiple models: Facebook Prophet, AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Loess (STL), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) selecting the most accurate based on Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), either through successive halving or exhaustive comparison. Topics are classified as strong signals, weak signals, or noise based on forecasting outcomes, enabling the identification of emerging trends. By automating clustering, topic modeling, and time series forecasting, this research enhances trend prediction accuracy while reducing manual effort. The proposed system offers a scalable and user-friendly solution suitable for real-time applications and stakeholders with limited machine learning expertise. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed system's best trial achieves a final RMSE of 7.099, indicating high predictive accuracy.
Ahmed Abolfadl, Marwa Mahmoud, Basma Afifi +2cs.DL cs.LG
The exponential increase in scientific publications has driven the emergence of new trends. Accurate forecasting of these developments is essential for researchers and professionals to stay updated with advancements in the field. This study presents an automated pipeline for trend prediction in the wireless networks and mobile computing domain by integrating clustering, topic modeling, and time series analysis. The process begins with the collection of 127,820 abstracts from high-impact journals and conferences, followed by extensive preprocessing and semantic embedding using the SPECTER model. AutoCluster applies meta-learning to select the most suitable clustering algorithm based on the dataset meta-features, ensuring semantically coherent groupings. AutoTopicModeling then employs a successive halving strategy to identify the best-performing topic model per cluster, followed by LLM-assisted topic labeling and optional label generalization. Finally, AutoTrendAnalysis transforms topic-labeled data into time series and applies forecasting models -ARIMA, STL, Prophet, or LSTM - to predict future topic popularity. Topics are classified as strong, weak, or noise signals based on forecast trajectories, offering interpretable insights into emerging and declining research themes. The framework is scalable, adaptive, and designed for robust trend analysis across scientific domains. Experimental results demonstrated high predictive accuracy, achieving a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 36.76.
This study explores gender differences in research topic choice and methodology among collaborating scholars. Previous studies have often focused on gender differences in research topics or methods at the individual level of scholars, without considering collaborating groups, lacking depth and practical guidance. This study takes Library and Information Science (LIS) as an example, employing the Top2Vec method for topic identification and the CogFT model for research method classification. It systematically analyzes 25,204 papers published between 1990 and 2022 to investigate gender differences in the convergence of research topics and method choices among collaborating scholars in this field. The results of the study found that female scholars showed lower convergence in their research methods and topic choices compared to male scholars. This study uses a relatively systematic methodology to address the difficulty of studying gender differences in academic publishing, and is expected to serve as a reference for other disciplines and research questions. This study also emphasizes the manifestation of gender differences in collaborative research and provides insights into the convergence and diversity of research topics and methods chosen by scholars.
Chengzhi Zhang, Jiayi Hao, Yi Maocs.DL cs.CL cs.IR
Academic age critically shapes career development, influencing research behavior, output volume, and methodological choices. Analyzing method variation across academic ages offers a new theoretical lens on scholarly evolution and provides early-career researchers with practical guidance for method selection. A corpus of 26,677 articles published 1990-2023 in 14 authoritative Library and Information Science journals was compiled. The CogFT model automatically classified the research methods embedded in these articles, and Top2Vec generated the topic model. This process resulted in a comprehensive dataset linking research methods with topics. Author-name disambiguation enabled calculation of each scholar's academic age. Popularity and Shannon diversity indices for methods, together with topic diversity, were compared across academic age groups. Results reveal dynamic methodological trends: the share of theoretical approaches declined gradually, whereas experimental and bibliometric methods gained ground. Method popularity differs significantly among cohorts. Mid-career scholars exhibit the highest method diversity; late-career scholars the lowest.
T. D. Oliveira, L. A. Attilio, M. J. Davila-Fernandezcs.CL
How do large-scale economic transformations shape cultural production? We address this question by combining computational linguistics, econometrics, and formal modelling, using French drama as a well-documented empirical laboratory. Applying latent Dirichlet allocation to a corpus of 1,215 theatrical texts published between 1700 and 1900, we show that aristocratic discourse centred on sovereignty and political authority was gradually displaced by bourgeois and household economic themes as French capitalism developed. Bayesian vector autoregressive models with max-share shock identification suggest a temporal shift in the literary response to economic shocks: bourgeois everyday-life themes reacted to GDP shocks in the eighteenth century, whereas household-economic concerns became responsive only after 1820, amid accelerating industrialisation. A discrete-choice model shows that peer effects among authors and sensitivity to prevailing economic conditions can jointly account for these dynamics. Monte Carlo simulations reproduce the observed historical trajectory with reasonable fidelity. These findings offer a quantitative framework for understanding how economic transformations propagate into cultural production through identifiable social mechanisms, contributing to the study of cultural evolution and the long-run relationship between institutions and literary discourse.
Himath Dhanapala, Haren Daishika, Himandhi Kuruppu +6cs.CL cs.AI
Sri Lankan parliamentary debates (Hansards) constitute a trilingual corpus of speeches in Sinhala, Tamil, and English, including code-mixed content, yet remain inaccessible to standard NLP pipelines due to layout-complex PDFs, multilingual scripts, and agglutinative morphology. We present an end-to-end framework that addresses these challenges through LLM-based text extraction followed by a multilingual embedding and density-based clustering pipeline for topic modeling. A hybrid semantic-lexical extension, BiTopic, is further explored to improve interpretability and recover speeches otherwise discarded as noise. Applied to 19,553 speeches spanning 2017-2026, the pipeline recovers 30 macro-topics achieving a cluster purity (BCP) of 0.673, whose temporal trajectories align unsupervised with major national events including the 2019 Easter Sunday attacks and the 2022 economic crisis. Traditional LDA fails on this corpus due to cross-lingual fragmentation, whereas the proposed approach successfully identifies thematic structure across all three languages without supervision.
Esrat Farhana Dulia, Amina Dhaher, Raiful Hasan +1cs.CL
Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) is an emerging low-altitude transportation system whose successful deployment depends on both technological progress and public acceptance. Public acceptance can influence government support, regulations, noise standards, willingness to fly, and the commercial viability of AAM. Understanding public sentiment is therefore essential for identifying societal barriers and developing effective adoption strategies. This study analyzes 306,009 human-generated texts collected from Reddit and Quora to examine AAM-related public discourse using artificial intelligence models. Seven sentiment-analysis approaches, including lexicon-based, machine-learning, deep-learning, and transformer models, are evaluated to identify the most reliable method for AAM-specific sentiment classification. ModernBERT achieves the highest performance and is used to label the full dataset. Latent Dirichlet Allocation is then applied within each sentiment class to identify underlying topics and examine their temporal evolution from 2008 to 2025. The analysis identifies 20 topics and six major cross-sentiment clusters: workforce and skill development, regulation and compliance, drone technical performance, military and geopolitical applications, safety and operational risks, and noise and disturbance. These findings can help policymakers, industry stakeholders, researchers, and operators develop targeted regulations, safety measures, workforce programs, noise-reduction strategies, and public communication efforts to address concerns and support the responsible deployment of AAM.
Yangjun Zhang, Mirko Bottarelli, Mark Hooper +1cs.CL cs.CE cs.CY
Online scam behavior is inherently multi-stage, and the lifecycle includes temporally ordered rails and events rather than isolated signals. Existing works analyze characteristics of scam types and rails, but they do not track scam trends across years. Moreover, the work on the relations between rails is hampered due to the lack of open-source datasets with annotations and coverage of different scam types. To address these gaps, we build a dataset to analyze the yearly trend of scam characteristics and rail paths using Reddit self-disclosure narratives from 2023 to 2025. We collect 21,304 posts from scam-related subreddits with at least one rail among identity, communication, platform, and payment for trend analysis by heuristic annotation. Then, we label 1,800 posts containing explicit or recoverable scam chains by an LLM-assisted method for scam path analysis. The method is evaluated with human annotation. Lastly, we run a topic model on the comments of the posts to analyze the community support behavior. The results reveal that scam processes are predominantly multi-rail. Across years, different scam types and rail components dominate. Different scam types vary systematically in path complexity. Reddit support behaviors have become more detailed over time. This work supports synthetic scam chain data simulation and AI-related scam risk assessment, though findings may not generalise to other platforms.
Neural topic models enable scalable semantic discovery, but their integration with quantum hardware remains largely unexplored. We present a proof-of-concept hybrid classical-quantum variational autoencoder (VAE) for topic modeling, embedding parameterized quantum circuits within the VAE inference network while retaining a classical topic-word decoder. To address the resource constraints of quantum hardware, we propose a modified Gaussian Softmax posterior that decouples latent space dimensionality from the number of topics to be extracted, enabling the model to operate with a low-resource 10-qubit quantum device. On the AgNews dataset, the hybrid VAE outperforms state-of-the-art neural topic models (NTMs), reaching a $C_v$ coherence score of 0.71 and an NPMI score of 0.20 while preserving high topic diversity. For comparison, we also construct a fully classical variant, which also outperforms state-of-the-art models on AgNews and exhibits clear class separation in the latent space. These results demonstrate that hybrid VAEs are computationally viable even on NISQ-era devices and represent a promising direction for quantum-enhanced topic modeling.