Stochastic Estimation of Transduced Language Models

Transduced language models (TLMs) compose a pretrained \emph{source} language model with a functional finite-state transducer to induce a language model over \emph{target} strings. Computing the probability of a target prefix under a TLM amounts to summing the source-model probabilities of all source strings that the transducer maps to target strings beginning with that prefix. This set can be exponentially large or infinite. Prior work uses a computational shortcut based on source prefix probabilities, then approximates the resulting sum with threshold-pruned beam summing. This produces a lower bound with unknown error. Instead, we resample source prefixes without replacement and reweight each selected prefix by the inverse of its inclusion probability. We show that applying this correction recursively gives an unbiased estimator of the target prefix probability and lets us estimate the mass lost by threshold pruning. Our beam-summing algorithm extends the retained source prefixes and samples which prefixes to keep, reducing their number as more probability mass is added to the running estimate. This can save computation and guarantees that the run halts with probability one. We evaluate the method on encyclopedic text and DNA against sequential Monte Carlo baselines that resample with replacement. It achieves a better compute--variance tradeoff on text and lower error at the same maximum number of particles on DNA. On a DNA-to-amino-acid transduction, it reduces runtime by several orders of magnitude relative to threshold-pruned beam summing and makes estimating prefix probabilities for long target strings feasible. Replacing threshold pruning with unbiased sampling in a published reading-time analysis substantially lowers the estimated corpus surprisal but leaves the published conclusions unchanged.

K-ABENA: K-Adaptive Backpropagation with Error-based N-exclusion Algorithm : (Compensated Loss-Based Sample Exclusion with Unbiased Gradient Estimation)

We present K-ABENA (K-Adaptive Backpropagation with Error-based N-exclusion Algorithm), a selective gradient computation framework that reduces per-iteration training cost by excluding a fraction of low-loss ("minor") observations from the backward pass. Its canonical form (v3) combines a defensive-mixture sampling design over the minor set with Horvitz-Thompson inverse-probability reweighting, yielding a design-unbiased Horvitz-Thompson gradient estimator (Lemma 2) and whose self-normalized practical variant carries a bias of order O(1/m) with an explicit constant (Lemma 3). We prove an O(1/sqrt(T)) non-convex convergence guarantee for SGD under the estimator, with an additive term that quantifies the residual bias (Theorem 1). We further prove that uncompensated loss-based selection - a family that includes OHEM, SBP, and the two earlier K-ABENA variants - admits no stationary point at any minimizer where its selection bias is bounded away from zero (Proposition 2), and we quantify this failure empirically: at 0.17% class imbalance, uncompensated variants reach test AUC 0.53-0.62 versus 0.9998 for full-batch SGD, while the compensated estimator attains 0.9991 at identical 28.4% compute savings. On real datasets (Breast Cancer, Digits, Wine, Diabetes) the compensated estimator is statistically indistinguishable from full-batch SGD (paired permutation tests, p >= 0.5; Section 7) while saving 28-54% of per-epoch gradient computation. A biased "regularized mode" (the earlier half-domain variant) is retained as an option with a proven exact bias decomposition (Lemma 5) and quantified contraindications: it collapses to 0.386 accuracy under 40% label noise (baseline: 0.832) and to 0.53 AUC under extreme imbalance. Every advantage and every limitation reported in this paper is either proved or measured; all experiments are CPU-scale (NumPy/scikit-learn) and their scope is stated explicitly.

Unbiased Derivative Estimation for Stationary Mean of Parameterized Markov chains

We propose a new approach to unbiased estimation of the gradients of the stationary means associated with parametrized families of Markov chains. Our estimators are particularly efficient when the Markov chains have slow mixing rate. Our approach does not require a specific parametrization except for an oracle to evaluate the transition density and its gradient at a given data point without any additional knowledge about the density function itself. It makes our estimator suitable for parametrizations associated with neural networks. The estimator can potentially achieve large improvement in terms of efficiency. Numerical experiments confirm the good performance predicted by the theory.

Generalized Distributional Alignment Games for Unbiased Answer-Level Fine-Tuning

The Distributional Alignment Game framework provides a powerful variational perspective on Answer-Level Fine-Tuning (ALFT). However, standard algorithms for these games rely on estimating logarithmic rewards from small batches, introducing a systematic bias due to Jensen's inequality that can destabilize training. In this paper, we systematically resolve this structural estimation bias. First, we generalize the alignment game to arbitrary Bregman divergences, showing that for a family of geometries inducing polynomial rewards, we can construct provably exact and unbiased estimators using U-statistics. Second, for the canonical KL divergence game where an exact solution is impossible, we derive a globally robust minimax polynomial estimator that is provably optimal, achieving the fundamental statistical error limit of $Θ(1/K^2)$, which we establish via the Ditzian-Totik theorem. Finally, we synthesize these two approaches to propose a novel Variance-Optimal Augmented Polynomial Optimization Program (AQP) Estimator, proving that by systematically reducing variance, our method achieves not only optimal bias but also provably accelerated game convergence, leading to more efficient and stable training with zero online computational overhead.