NeuDonatello: Uncertainty-Aware Framework for Accurate Neural SDF Learning

Neural surface reconstruction has emerged as a powerful paradigm for recovering high-quality 3D surfaces from multi-view images. However, recovering accurate geometry solely from RGB images remains challenging due to uncertainties arising from textureless regions, occlusions, and inherent scene ambiguities. Existing methods often overlook such uncertainties, leading to inaccurate estimates of the signed distance function (SDF). We introduce NeuDonatello, a novel framework that models and leverages SDF uncertainty to improve surface reconstruction. Central to our approach is to model spatially varying uncertainty using a Monte Carlo sampling strategy. Using this uncertainty, we develop an adaptive regularization that selectively strengthens geometric constraints where RGB supervision is unreliable, avoiding incorrect surface reconstruction. We further introduce an uncertainty-aware scale parameter for the SDF-to-density conversion. Conditioned on uncertainty, this design enables more accurate modeling of spatially varying densities. Extensive experiments demonstrate that NeuDonatello achieves state-of-the-art reconstruction accuracy, with robust performance across diverse scenes using only posed RGB images.

DistMedVL: Distributional Vision-Language Alignment for Uncertainty-Aware Medical Image Segmentation

Cross-modal alignment of visual and textual representations is fundamental to multimodal medical image understanding, yet remains hindered by uncertainty in both modalities under real-world clinical conditions. Existing vision-language segmentation methods rely on deterministic cross-modal matching, which overlooks aleatoric uncertainty from ambiguous boundaries and epistemic uncertainty from limited training data, leading to fragile performance under domain shift. To address this issue, we propose DistMedVL, a probabilistic vision-language framework that introduces a lightweight Probabilistic Cross-Modal Adapter (PCM-Adapter) upon frozen encoders to explicitly model representational uncertainty. Specifically, the PCM-Adapter comprises two sequential modules for progressive probabilistic alignment. We first devise a Mahalanobis Alignment Module (MAM) that models textual tokens as Gaussian distributions and computes patch-text compatibility via Mahalanobis distance, yielding variance-conditioned matching that downweights unreliable feature dimensions. Moreover, we devise a Distribution Flow Module (DFM) that estimates modality-wise confidence parameters and performs vision-guided refinement of textual distributions, accommodating distributional variation across imaging modalities. Extensive experiments across eight medical segmentation benchmarks demonstrate that DistMedVL outperforms state-of-the-art methods with only 6.3M trainable parameters, exhibiting superior data efficiency, perturbation robustness and cross-dataset generalization.

UG-UMRE: Uncertainty-Guided Modality Augmentation and Distributional Calibration for Unified Multimodal Relation Extraction

Unified Multimodal Relation Extraction (UMRE) aims to identify intra-modal and cross-modal relations between textual entities and visual objects. However, existing UMRE studies still encounter two critical issues: ignoring inherent aleatoric uncertainty causes noise propagation, and deep-seated heterogeneity between distinct modal distributions hinders alignment. To address these issues, we propose the Uncertainty-Guided UMRE Network (UG-UMRE). Specifically, we design an Uncertainty-Driven Unimodal Augmentation (UDUA) module, which models features as Gaussian distributions based on the Variational Information Bottleneck. By incorporating an uncertainty-aware self-supervised contrastive learning mechanism, UDUA effectively filters out noise while maintaining semantic consistency. Furthermore, we introduce the Joint Aleatoric Uncertainty Alignment (JAUA) module as a global semantic pre-calibration mechanism. JAUA leverages probabilistic distribution consistency to construct a shared latent space, eliminating the distributional gap by synchronizing cross-modal statistical properties, thereby laying a robust foundation for fine-grained interaction. Experiments on three benchmark datasets (UMRE, MORE, and MNRE) demonstrate that UG-UMRE achieves state-of-the-art performance. Further analysis validates the pluggable and effective performance of the proposed UDUA and JAUA modules.

Distribution-Alignment Bridge for Uncertainty-Aware Text-to-Video Retrieval

This paper proposes the Distribution-Alignment Bridge (DAB), a framework that reconceptualizes text-to-video retrieval as a distribution alignment task rather than traditional deterministic point matching. By modeling both text and video embeddings as Gaussian distributions defined by mean and variance, DAB explicitly accounts for modality-specific uncertainty. We employ a deterministic, diffusion-inspired bridge to iteratively refine text distributions toward their target video distributions through a truncated refinement process. This approach unifies probabilistic embedding and distributional transformation into a cohesive, end-to-end trainable system. To optimize cross-modal similarity, we introduce a distribution-aware contrastive loss based on Kullback-Leibler divergence. Extensive evaluations on MSR-VTT, MSVD, and VATEX benchmarks confirm that DAB significantly outperforms existing probabilistic and diffusion-based baselines, while providing calibrated uncertainty-aware ranking through bridge-induced distributional margins.

DAUPNet: Domain-Aware Uncertainty Modeling for Reliable Prototype Discrimination in Cross-Domain Few-Shot Semantic Segmentation

Cross-domain few-shot semantic segmentation (CD-FSS) has predominantly been formulated as learning domain-invariant representations or improving support-query correspondence. Nevertheless, large domain shifts still make prototype matching unreliable: inconsistent hierarchical responses corrupt the support representation, deterministic prototypes cannot express boundary and appearance ambiguity, and treating prototypes with different reliability equally during optimization weakens foreground-background separation. We therefore propose DAUPNet, a unified framework that reformulates cross-domain prototype matching as uncertainty-aware prototype discrimination. DAUPNet first harmonizes hierarchical support-query features to provide stable evidence, then represents foreground and background prototypes probabilistically, and finally uses their estimated uncertainty to regulate contrastive optimization. On four standard target domains, DAUPNet achieves 72.6% and 76.7% average mIoU in the 1-shot and 5-shot settings, respectively, including substantial gains on the two medical domains. These results demonstrate that modeling prototype uncertainty and incorporating it into optimization provides a robust and interpretable approach to CD-FSS under severe domain shift. The code is available at https://github.com/madness-Lei/DAUPNet

Set-Inclusive Uncertainty Modeling for Robust Brain Tumor Segmentation

Multimodal MRI is essential for accurate brain tumor segmentation. However, acquiring all modalities at inference is often challenging in practice, which causes intrinsic uncertainty due to unavoidable information loss. Without modeling this uncertainty, existing methods encode incomplete evidence into deterministic representations that appear plausible but lack reliability. In this regime, we propose a probabilistic representation framework that models representations as Gaussian distributions, where their mean captures task information and their variance measures uncertainty from missing evidence. To make variance reflect information deficiency, we regularize the mean from each partial configuration toward its full-modality counterpart, while scaling the variance with the discrepancy between their aligned means. We further introduce a set-inclusive strategy that exploits the hierarchical structure of modality subsets and enforces an ordering constraint to maintain their consistent uncertainty relationships. Extensive experiments on BraTS 2018 and 2020 demonstrate that our approach offers superior performance over baselines across diverse missing-modality scenarios. Code and model checkpoint are available at https://github.com/atlas-sky/SIUM.

Dirichlet-Guided Group Forecasting for Alleviating Over-smoothing in Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting often suffers from over-smoothing, especially when future dynamics are multi-modal. Forecasts may follow the coarse trend of the observed future, but fail to preserve sharp changes, oscillations, turning points, and regime transitions that define plausible dynamic evolution. In this work, we revisit over-smoothing from the perspective of latent dynamical mode compression: under partial observation and single-realization supervision, multiple plausible future modes can be weakened, merged, or averaged during forecasting. Based on this view, we propose Dirichlet-Guided Group Forecasting (DGF), a mode-preserving forecasting framework that explicitly models multiple mode-conditioned predictive distributions and uncertainty over their selection probabilities. DGF uses a Dirichlet-guided hierarchical sampling mechanism and reward-based optimization to encourage forecasts that are accurate, dynamically consistent, and mode-distinct. Extensive experiments on real-world forecasting benchmarks show that DGF reduces over-smoothing while improving forecasting accuracy, diversity, and dynamical consistency.