Geospatial foundation models such as the AlphaEarth Foundation produce compact and globally consistent representations of the Earth's surface that transfer effectively to a wide range of downstream tasks. However, because these models are trained primarily on Earth-observation imagery, their embeddings mainly capture physical and spectral characteristics while encoding human activity and urban function only weakly. To address this limitation, we propose BEACON, a tri-modal contrastive learning framework that aligns three complementary views of urban space: physical representations from AE embeddings, semantic representations from point-of-interest (POI) text, and human behavioral representations from hourly POI visitation, while keeping the deployed representation image-only. Using the Houston Metropolitan Area as a case study area, we evaluated the performance of the BEACON framework on nine downstream tasks, including seven regression and two classification tasks against six baselines (raw coordinates, Space2Vec, SatCLIP, TESSERA, Clay and AlphaEarth), using frozen linear and MLP probes over five seeds. Under a linear probe, BEACON improves relative R^2 over AlphaEarth by up to 43% for obesity prevalence, 34% for poor mental health, and 22% for median household income, while remaining competitive in the prediction of physical and environmental variables. These findings highlight the value of augmenting geospatial foundation models with semantic and behavioral signals, extending their applicability from physical Earth observation to human-centered urban analytics.
Guilherme Iablonovski, Pierre-Louis Frison, Tatiana Silva da Silvaphysics.soc-ph cs.LG stat.ML
Accurate building height information at the individual footprint scale is essential for material stock accounting and post-disaster damage assessments yet remains difficult to obtain at city scale in the Global South where airborne LiDAR coverage is rare and commercial very high-resolution imagery is cost-prohibitive or unavailable. While recent works have demonstrated building height estimation using freely available Sentinel imagery, the resolution ceiling of resulting products is still coarse for material stock analysis. This study incorporates products derived from data freely accessible under scientific research licenses, TerraSAR-X StripMap and PlanetScope, alongside Sentinel-1 to predict building heights in a large city in Brazil. To account for the spatial autocorrelation in the training set, features from all sources are integrated in a geographically weighted random forest model, returning an RMSE of 5.34 m and R2 of 0.756 against a LiDAR reference dataset. Local feature importance showed predictor dominance to vary consistently across intra-urban contexts, with footprint geometry dominating for low-rise buildings, shadow-derived height for taller and more isolated structures, and spectral reflectance for the tallest buildings in the set. Sentinel-1 backscatter and InSAR occupy complementary spatial niches, with no single sensor uniformly preferable across the set. Results provide optioneering guidance and insight over satellite-derived products predictive relevance in distinct contexts, which global machine learning or neural network models cannot offer.
Changjian Liu, Yong Gao, Yuqing Wang +5cs.LG stat.ML
Origin-destination (OD) flow prediction is central to urban analytics, yet deep models trained on raw counts remain vulnerable to distribution shift. The core problem is that raw count supervision cannot distinguish transferable choice mechanisms from environment-specific shortcuts. Raw OD count mixes two objects: how much demand an origin produces and how that demand is allocated across destinations. We argue that the transferable object is the exposure-to-choice law that maps spatial conditions to relative destination preferences. We propose OpFlow, a mechanism-constrained framework that learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining the induced allocation with a separately calibrated origin scale. Under distribution shift, spatial exposures and the induced allocations are allowed to vary; what transfers is the conditional map from exposure states to relative choice potentials. Theoretically, we characterize the identifiable row-centered potential and show that classical spatial interaction laws are restricted log-potential cases. Controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment show OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts.