TrajMind: Chaining Role-Specialized LoRAs for Fast-and-Slow Collective Trajectory Anomaly Diagnosis

Diagnosing collective anomalies from urban trajectories is increasingly important for traffic governance, as it reveals what happened, who was involved, and where and when the event occurred. Existing detectors efficiently produce scores or labels, whereas vision--language pipelines provide richer semantics; neither couples verifiable diagnosis with low-latency monitoring. The central challenge is to recognize collective patterns and recover exact event details from the source trajectories without running the full diagnostic pipeline for every monitored window. We therefore separate always-on screening from on-demand diagnosis: screening raises alerts, while diagnosis releases only source-verified what--who--where--when records. We present TrajMind, a fast-and-slow framework that switches three role-specialized LoRA adapters over one frozen vision--language backbone. Its slow path, \textit{TrajMind$_{\text{slow}}$}, chains canvas-based typing, type-conditioned localization over serialized trajectories, and executable verification, yielding structured, evidence-backed diagnoses. Additionally, the fast path, \textit{TrajMind$_{\text{fast}}$}, screens each window in a single text-only pass, delivering efficient structured alerts. Extensive experiments show that, TrajMind$_{\mathrm{slow}}$ outperforms the strongest baselines by at least $15.3$ percentage points in anomaly typing and $13.8$ percentage points in localization. These gains persist under cross-city transfer, and TrajMind$_{\mathrm{fast}}$ reduces latency by $41.1\%$ and maintains binary balanced accuracy of at least $93.5\%$. Together, TrajMind delivers accurate, evidence-backed diagnoses across cities and efficient front-line monitoring.

Do LLMs Know Your Neighborhood? Auditing LLM Priors for Neighborhood-Level Mobility Prediction and Structural Alignment

Human mobility is central to urban planning, transportation, public health, and emergency response, yet fine-grained trajectory data are often proprietary, restricted, and privacy-sensitive. Large language models (LLMs) offer a potential alternative by generating plausible mobility traces and predicting individual movement, but their ability to infer aggregate neighborhood-level mobility remains unclear. We evaluate zero-shot LLMs on Census Block Group-level mobility prediction across four U.S. metropolitan areas using anonymized Cuebiq data to construct point-level, trajectory-level, and temporal mobility outcomes, paired with sociodemographic and built-environment predictors. We compare LLM predictions with supervised baselines and introduce a directional alignment analysis to test whether LLM-implied predictor effects agree with empirical OLS and Jonckheere-Terpstra trends. Supervised models achieve 0.580 average accuracy, compared with 0.435 for the best LLM, with spatial extent outcomes showing the strongest predictability but also the largest LLM-baseline gaps. Directional analysis shows that LLMs often rely on coarse, stable predictor-level priors that remain similar across outcomes and cities, including asymmetric treatment of protected-group predictors. Overall, LLMs can partially recover aggregate mobility patterns from urban context, but their predictions should not be treated as structurally grounded without auditing empirical alignment and potential bias.

RTSKG: Building a Rail Transit Station Knowledge Graph Dataset

Rail transit systems play a vital role in urban mobility and economic development. As key components of such systems, rail transit stations function as critical transport hubs that enhance urban accessibility and stimulate development in surrounding areas. City-level rail transit station related tasks (e.g., ridership prediction) require large-scale urban data, but current studies often neglect complex interactions among various urban entities in terms of data organization. In this paper, to address the above issue, we build a Rail Transit Station Knowledge Graph (RTSKG) dataset which explicitly models the spatial and semantic interactions among different kinds of urban entities, to benefit city-level rail transit station related tasks. RTSKG integrates heterogeneous urban entities, such as rail transit stations, road segments, and points of interest, with a specially designed unified schema, and is accessible as Linked Data at https://w3id.org/rtskg/. Evaluations on station-area store recommendation and knowledge-enhanced ridership prediction demonstrate the effectiveness of RTSKG, highlighting its potential to support city-level rail transit station analysis.

UrbanDS: A Graph-Guided LLM Multi-Agent System for Data-Intensive Urban Tasks

Large language model (LLM) agents have been widely applied in automating data science tasks. However, existing methods typically rely on a limited set of provided datasets, and they face challenges in data-intensive scenarios that require discovering and leveraging relevant information from large-scale and heterogeneous data repositories. Urban tasks are representative examples of such scenarios, as urban data are not only large-scale and multi-sourced, but also exhibit complex spatial, temporal, and semantic relationships. To address these challenges, we propose UrbanDS, a graph-guided LLM multi-agent system for data-intensive urban tasks. We first construct a unified dataset graph to organize reusable dataset skills and the relationships among datasets. Specifically, we develop a Data Profiling Agent that constructs a skill for each dataset. Moreover, a Relation Agent identifies relationships among datasets and integrates these relationships into the dataset graph. At runtime, a Planner Agent retrieves task-relevant datasets from the graph and generates execution plans. Multiple Execution Agents then perform data processing and analysis, while their execution progress and intermediate results are shared through a common memory. Finally, a Report Agent synthesizes the experimental logs into a report, which can be further refined based on user feedback. To systematically evaluate the capability of agents in handling data-intensive urban scenarios, we further construct UrbanDS-Bench, an urban data science benchmark covering representative data analysis and modeling tasks. Experiments on both general and urban benchmarks demonstrate that UrbanDS consistently outperforms existing data science agents on data-intensive tasks. Furthermore, UrbanDS has been deployed on the urban operations platform of Dongxihu District, Wuhan, demonstrating its effectiveness in real-world urban applications.

Capacity-Aware Deep Learning for Generalizable Traffic Volume Estimation Across Links and Cities

Network-wide traffic volume estimation typically relies on propagating measurements from fixed sensors, making performance highly dependent on sensor density and limiting deployment in sparsely instrumented networks. We propose a link-level learning framework that estimates hourly traffic volumes from widely available territorial data only, including probe speed profiles, road and topological descriptors, along with weather observations. A supervised local mapping is learned from sparse sensor measurements and evaluated under two generalization settings: intra-network (unseen links within the training network) and inter-network (unseen city). This formulation frames traffic volume estimation as a spatial out-of-distribution generalization problem under sparse supervision. To enhance spatial robustness, we introduce a capacity-aware formulation that models volume as the product of a link-specific structural capacity and an hourly regime-aware utilization ratio, embedding traffic-theoretic constraints directly into the learning process. Extensive experiments in both generalization settings demonstrate that the proposed structural constraints consistently outperform a state-of-the-art baseline under spatial distribution shift.

MambaLSTM: A Spatio-Temporal Framework for Enhanced Traffic Accident Risk Prediction

In traffic accident risk prediction, most studies overlook the extra noise that could be incorporated when fusing temporal features into spatial features, and some models struggle to capture global correlations among spatial regions. To address these challenges, we propose a novel traffic accident risk prediction framework named MambaLSTM. First, we develop a squeeze-and-excitation temporal feature fusion module to integrate temporal information without compromising spatio-temporal integrity. Second, we introduce a new patch embedding module for effectively capturing semantic relationships among spatially adjacent regions. Additionally, we introduce a Mamba block based on state-space models to model global spatial semantics in urban regions. Finally, we propose a MambaLSTM unit to efficiently capture long- and short-term temporal dependencies for identifying dynamic risk patterns. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate the proposed model's superiority over state-of-the-art methods. The code is released at https://github.com/Zhenzovo/MambaLSTM.

Multi-Agent Collaborative Reasoning with Tool-Augmented Evidence for Urban Region Profiling

Urban region profiling constitutes a core problem in urban computing, supporting applications such as population estimation, economic assessment, and environmental monitoring. Existing methods typically formulate this task as multimodal representation learning, fusing heterogeneous urban data, e.g., satellite imagery, points of interest, textual descriptions, and 3D building information, into latent embeddings for prediction. However, these approaches are largely correlation-driven, assume cross-modal consistency, and rely on static pipelines, which limit their robustness in heterogeneous or unseen urban regions. We propose UrbanAgent, an agentic framework that reframes urban region profiling as a reasoning-driven inference problem. UrbanAgent instantiates an independent agent for each data modality and performs structured multi-agent collaborative reasoning to explicitly address cross-modal inconsistencies rather than absorbing them into a single representation. In addition, UrbanAgent extends indicator prediction as a closed-loop process of active evidence acquisition and iterative reasoning, enabling agents to verify uncertain inferences through tool-augmented retrieval of external knowledge optimized via reinforcement learning. Extensive experiments on global urban datasets for Carbon emissions, GDP, and Population estimation show that UrbanAgent consistently outperforms existing baselines, achieving an average improvement of 8.1% in R2, and exhibiting strong generalization performance in unseen-city settings.

CausalPOI: Spatio-Temporal Graph-Based Causal Modeling for Cold-Start POI Check-in Forecasting

As urban environments continue to evolve rapidly, accurately modeling the dynamic behaviour of Points of Interest is essential for supporting data-driven urban planning and commercial decision-making. While recent advancements in spatio-temporal graph learning have improved POI forecasting, most methods rely on proximity-based graphs and correlation-driven modeling, which overlook the functional dependencies between POIs and fail to capture the causal effects of urban interventions. In this paper, we introduce a novel research problem -- cold-start POI check-in forecasting, which aims to predict the future check-in pattern of a newly introduced POI, by modeling its temporal evolution and functional interactions with nearby POIs in a structured urban spatial context. To address these challenges, we propose CausalPOI, a spatio-temporal graph-based causal representation learning framework. CausalPOI leverages Spatio-Temporal Functional Interaction Graph to model semantic and spatial relationships between POIs, and constructs structurally aligned treatment and control graphs to simulate factual and counterfactual scenarios. Extensive experiments on real-world SafeGraph datasets demonstrate that CausalPOI significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across the board, validating its effectiveness in spatio-temporal forecasting, semantic interaction modeling, and causal effect estimation, providing a more interpretable and actionable foundation for urban intervention analysis. Source code is available at Github.

Towards Efficient and Evidence-grounded Mobility Prediction with LLM-Driven Agent

Individual-level mobility prediction is central to urban simulation, transportation planning, and policy analysis. Supervised sequence models achieve strong accuracy but require task-specific training and offer limited decision-level transparency. Recent LLM-based methods improve interpretability, yet mostly rely on static prompts and single-pass inference, limiting their ability to seek additional evidence when mobility signals are weak or conflicting. We propose \method{}, a training-free LLM-driven agent framework that formulates next-location prediction as adaptive evidence-controlled decision making. \method{} resolves routine cases through a fast path based on historical regularity, while ambiguous cases trigger iterative tool use over recent trajectories, historical behavior, stay-move likelihood, and geographical evidence. Across three mobility datasets, AgentMob achieves the strongest overall performance among training-free LLM-based methods, with GPT-5.4 reaching 71.42\% Acc@1 on BW, 33.14\% on YJMob100K, and 33.50\% on Shanghai ISP. On BW non-fast-path cases, the LLM controller improves Acc@1 from 30.65\% to 48.62\% over a same-tool statistical baseline, showing that its main benefit lies in resolving ambiguous predictions through adaptive evidence gathering. Our code is available at https://github.com/Unknown-zoo/AgentMob.