Predicting robot videos requires both precise motion reasoning and preservation of high-frequency appearance, yet monolithic pixel models entangle these objectives and often conceal their progress behind a strong last-frame baseline. We present AcrossVAM1.0, a lightweight, text-assisted video action model that factorizes future prediction into object-centric motion and dense appearance. A frozen SAM3-DLP codec decomposes four context frames into semantic particles for the robot, arm, and gripper, together with a background latent. A 0.28M-parameter spatio-temporal Transformer aligns particle identities, rolls their states forward, and is modulated by a frozen OpenCLIP instruction embedding through FiLM. A causal dual-stream decoder combines particle-rendered motion with appearance encoded exclusively from the last observed frame; a residual refiner and learned delivery mask produce five future frames without access to future appearance. On our VRS benchmark constructed from diverse real-robot trajectories, particle dynamics reduce trajectory error by 21.0\% over persistence. Across three delivery-mask seeds, AcrossVAM1.0 improves future-frame PSNR/SSIM from 19.97/0.796 to 20.573/0.8004, while raw particle generation improves motion-region PSNR from 11.89 to 13.23. The delivered model does not yet beat persistence in LPIPS, and correct-versus- shuffled language changes trajectory error by only 2.8--3.1%. We report these limitations alongside oracle, negative-control, multi-seed, and per-robot analyses. The results show that explicit particle dynamics are a promising low-dimensional interface for robot video prediction, while robust language grounding and appearance delivery remain the principal open challenges.
World models can predict video without learning dynamics that they reliably preserve. We test whether a frozen DreamerV3 trained only on pendulum video learns a scalar that its own latent transition treats as approximately conserved. A label-free search recovers the same energy-like invariant across independently trained conservative models, while the same procedure finds no comparable invariant in matched damped models. During autonomous rollouts, this quantity drifts. Projecting the latent state back toward its initial level set reduces rollout error in all three conservative models, whereas matched random constraints usually increase it. These results distinguish a dynamically meaningful invariant from a merely decodable correlate and reveal a concrete failure mode: a world model can learn a physical constraint from pixels yet violate that constraint when it imagines forward.
Object-centric world models forecast future videos by evolving a set of entity slots, but the variables receiving dynamics supervision are often unconstrained visual features. We introduce \method{}, a mask-grounded soft-Hamiltonian world model that makes its position-like state explicitly depend on slot-owned image support. A frozen video-slot encoder produces slots and masks; spatial moments of mask-owned support form a canonical state $Q$, temporal differences form $P$, and a learned energy supplies a soft directional bias to a bounded learned increment. Decoder-relevant appearance and identity are stored separately in a causal visual context. A gated composer and bounded residual then combine this context with the propagated phase state to reconstruct decoder-compatible slots. On OBJ3D, given six observed frames and evaluated over the following 30 frames, \method{} reduces LPIPS by 25.0\% and spatial MSE by 33.7\% relative to the strongest object-centric baseline. On CLEVRER, given six observed frames and evaluated over the following ten frames, the corresponding reductions are 14.5\% and 18.7\%. Horizon-resolved visual and object-state measurements show that the complete model accumulates error more slowly throughout the 30-frame closed-loop rollout. Project page:https://github.com/moshwm-anon/-moshwm-anon.github.io.
World action models (WAMs) couple visual future prediction with robot action generation, but accelerated students can lose task capabilities during distillation and later encounter states that are poorly represented by offline data. We study whether on-policy distillation (OPD) can repair such a student without requiring sparse-reward reinforcement learning. We introduce WAM-OPD, a deployment-consistent post-training recipe for a video-first WAM. The student acts in the environment and therefore determines the history distribution. A frozen teacher labels those student histories with coherent video and action targets, while the student action branch is trained under its own generated video plan, as it is at deployment. Joint video and action losses update lightweight adapters in the shared backbone, together with an action flow-matching regularizer. In preliminary RoboTwin 2.0 studies on two tasks, the released one-video/one-action-step Flash-WAM improves from 0.0% to 58.3% success on HANDOVER MIC, and from 16.7% to 33.3% on PUT OBJECT CABINET. These task-specific results are an initial capability proof rather than evidence of broad or uniform generalization. They nevertheless suggest that dense teacher supervision on student-induced histories is a promising post-training interface for video-first WAMs.
Siyuan Ma, Boshi Zhang, Yutian Zhang +4cs.AI cs.RO
Mobile manipulation requires a robot to predict how locomotion and arm motion jointly alter future observations and control. Existing world-action models, developed largely for fixed-base platforms, do not explicitly distinguish camera ego-motion from base and arm actions. Here we introduce DECOWAM, a whole-body world-action model that separates these factors through dedicated conditional interfaces. DECOWAM freezes an adapted FastWAM backbone and trains residual adapters, an action-equivalent future bottleneck distilled from privileged observations, adversarially separated base and arm latents, and base-velocity conditioning for video prediction. We further introduce ARMDOG, a real-robot dataset that synchronizes video, whole-body state and action, and language. On a fixed replay protocol, DECOWAM improved both future-video and action prediction over FastWAM, reducing action MSE by 21.7% with 25.95M trainable adaptation parameters. Across 79 closed-loop trials per method, it achieved the highest observed whole-body coordination and base-displacement robustness among the compared systems, while task completion remained comparable to the strongest baseline. These results show that embodiment-aware factorization can support parameter-efficient joint visual prediction and whole-body control under moving viewpoints.
Joint-Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs) have emerged as a principled framework for self-supervised learning of world models in compact latent spaces, yet existing methods are fragmented: some predict masked parts of a single image in latent space (I-JEPA), others learn to predict global photometric transformations (Image World Models), while video-scale JEPAs predict future temporal states and are post-trained for action-conditioned planning (V-JEPA~2, DINO-World, DINO-WM). These objectives are treated as distinct recipes with separate encoders, predictors, and anti-collapse regularizers, hindering a single model from unifying image-level and video-level world modeling. We present UniJEPA, a unified JEPA that jointly learns photometric prediction (image-level transformations) and temporal prediction (video-level next-state dynamics) in one shared latent space. A single end-to-end objective, composed of a next-embedding prediction loss and a Gaussian regularizer, yields a provably anti-collapse encoder-predictor pair trainable from raw pixels without EMA, stop-gradient, or pre-trained encoders. We show that the same latent space supports controllable abstraction: photometric prediction learns invariant structure while temporal prediction learns equivariant dynamics. After action-conditioned post-training on offline trajectories, UniJEPA enables zero-shot planning by treating goal features as prediction targets. On image, video, and control benchmarks, UniJEPA matches or surpasses task-specific JEPAs while requiring a single loss hyperparameter, and plans up to tens of times faster than generative world models at comparable accuracy.
Estimating physical pressure from vision is essential for understanding contact-rich hand-object interaction. However, prior vision-based pressure estimation methods are largely limited to planar surfaces and single image input, making them difficult to apply to dynamic hand-object interaction with diverse objects. We instead formulate pressure estimation as a hand-centric video prediction problem with monocular video as input. This formulation predicts temporally evolving per-vertex normal pressure and contact directly on the hand mesh, yielding a unified output space independent of object shape and sensor layout. Building on this formulation, we propose \textbf{HOPE}, a framework with two key components. First, we lift tactile-glove pressure, planar-sensor pressure, and distance-based hand-object contact annotations into a shared hand vertex space, allowing bare-hand contact data to regularize pressure learning where metric labels are unavailable. Second, we introduce a vertex-anchored video transformer that treats each vertex as a persistent token, aggregates visual features and hand pose over time, and uses a contact-gated pressure head to enforce that pressure vanishes without contact. Experiments on OpenTouch, PressureVisionDB, and hand-object contact benchmarks validate HOPE across object-pressure, surface-pressure, and contact-supervised HOI settings. Despite using metric pressure supervision primarily from gloved-hand videos, HOPE generalizes to bare-hand egocentric and in-the-wild videos, producing joint contact and pressure predictions beyond the scope of contact-only or planar-pressure baselines.
Predictive video models have emerged as promising world models by learning latent visual dynamics from large-scale video. Yet these models remain challenged by physical events under occlusion, where later predictions may depend on object evidence that is no longer available in the current view. Addressing this challenge requires historical evidence not only to be preserved but also to remain accessible when it becomes relevant to a subsequent prediction. Existing approaches mainly enlarge the temporal context, cache generic video features, or impose explicit object-centric states, thereby improving the capacity or structure of retained history. However, they do not directly address how relevant historical evidence can be selectively retrieved and integrated into a pretrained predictor without interfering with its native latent workspace. Accordingly, we introduce HERA (Historical Evidence Routing Adapter), a framework for routing retained historical evidence into a frozen latent predictor, and instantiate it with Register-Routed Patch Memory (RRPM), a lightweight adapter comprising a Structured Memory Bank, Memory Registers, and Workspace Registers. On the IntPhys2 Main split, HERA with RRPM improves the pairwise AvgSurprise accuracy of V-JEPA 2-G from 52.57% to 54.35%. Subgroup analysis shows particularly strong improvements on fixed-camera continuity, from 46.15% to 57.69%, and fixed-camera immutability, from 46.15% to 63.46%. These results support historical evidence routing as a practical adaptation strategy for physical prediction in latent world models.
Interactive video world models are essential for long-horizon planning and exploration, yet they suffer from compounding errors. Post-training methods such as reinforcement learning (RL) can improve these models, but they hit a verification bottleneck: for arbitrary action sequences, no ground-truth future state exists to measure long-term drift. Our key insight is that reversible action cycles make this verification possible: a sequence composed with its inverse must analytically return to the initial state, yielding annotation-free supervision on long-horizon correctness. Building on this, we introduce WorldCycle, a self-verifiable RL framework that constructs closed action cycles and their repeated executions from ordinary action sequences, and optimizes two complementary rewards: a spatial closure reward enforcing symmetry between mirrored forward and reverse segments, and a temporal consistency reward aligning states across repeated cycle executions. These rewards force the model to learn actions as consistent state operators rather than memorized temporal patterns, and extend naturally to out-of-distribution composite action cycles that the base model handles poorly. We further release CycleBench, a diagnostic benchmark for state-returning ability under complex action structures. WorldCycle reduces state returning drift by up to 44% and lifts composite-action accuracy nearly 4x over the base model, providing a vital foundation for physically grounded world models.
Visual world models typically learn future dynamics from a single observation stream, limiting their ability to model cooperative systems with multiple independently moving observers. We investigate this challenge in Mother--Child endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), where two flexible scopes provide complementary yet role-dependent views without a calibrated stereo relationship. Unlike conventional multi-view fusion that assumes symmetric information exchange, we formulate \textbf{role-asymmetric dual-scope future prediction}, where cross-view evidence is selectively transferred according to the prediction target and its underlying spatial requirements. We propose \textbf{CrossScope}, a dual-stream surgical world model that preserves view-specific experts while enabling target-specific evidence routing through geometry-guided residual interactions. CrossScope learns two complementary communication directions: geometric motion cues from the Mother view guide Child-view future dynamics, while pose-aligned Child appearance supports Mother-view prediction only when valid spatial correspondence is established. This design allows each scope to contribute task-relevant evidence without compromising its view-specific representation. To evaluate this problem, we establish a paired dual-scope benchmark comprising synchronized phantom and real-world ERCP episodes, with evaluations assessing visual fidelity, structural preservation, target localization, and motion consistency. Experiments demonstrate that CrossScope consistently outperforms strong surgical video generation baselines, validating the importance of role-aware evidence routing for multi-observer visual world modeling.
Kapil Wanaskar, Gaytri Jena, Aman Chadha +3cs.AI cs.CV cs.LG
World models have attracted significant attention for their ability to capture and predict the structure and dynamics of the physical world. In this emerging landscape, Joint Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPA) offer a particularly compelling direction. We study a largely unexplored regime: populous, crowded, and chaotic Global South urban environments, which we call DENSEWORLD. Unlike the lower-density, lane-structured settings that dominate existing evaluations, these scenes exhibit soft spatial boundaries, extreme agent heterogeneity, persistent occlusion, and rapid social negotiation under mixed traffic. We introduce the first large-scale dataset for this regime: 1,000 hours of drive-through, walk-through, and aerial video across 22 cities. Existing JEPA formulations struggle to preserve dense interaction dynamics under heterogeneity and partial observability. We introduce FactorJEPA, which makes world structure a first-class predictive primitive. Rather than encoding the future in a monolithic latent, it composes layout, entities, and interactions, using a visibility gate and separated subspaces to preserve partially observed agents and discourage cross-factor shortcuts. FactorJEPA improves (i) future-latent accuracy (Future-frame L1), (ii) intervention-sensitive prediction (Causal L1), and (iii) robustness to reduced visual evidence (Mask-ratio slope), while exposing (iv) a reproducible motion-information trade-off (Motion cosine). Method rankings replicate across 2B and 1B V-JEPA 2.1 backbones, with rho = 0.895 to 0.978. We publicly release the DENSEWORLD-115k dataset (https://huggingface.co/datasets/anonymousML123/denseworld-115k) and the surgery-trained FactorJEPA checkpoints (https://huggingface.co/datasets/anonymousML123/factorjepa-outputs/tree/main/outputs/full/vjepa_2_1_vitg_1B/train/m09c_surgery_3stage_DI_diheavy_encoder).
Byungjun Kim, Taeksoo Kim, Hyunsoo Cha +1cs.RO cs.CV
Action-conditioned video world models predict future observations from an initial observation and an action signal. In robotics, actions influence future observations through two distinct processes: they are first realized into robot motion by the robot body and controller, and the scene then responds through contact and object motion. Conditioning directly on action commands asks the world model to learn the realization process itself, while conditioning on logged future states leaks the interaction outcomes it is meant to predict. We propose robot-factored world models, which move two robot-specific factors outside the world model. First, action realization: each command is rolled through the robot's own controller and kinematics into a deployment-available nominal trajectory, a middle signal that avoids both action-realization learning and future-state leakage. Second, robot rendering: this nominal trajectory is rendered through the robot URDF, factoring the robot's geometry, kinematics, and appearance out of the model and into explicit rendered robot geometry. To resolve depth ambiguity, we pair end-effector depth with scene depth, giving geometric cues for contact and occlusion beyond image-plane overlap. Together, camera-aware static RGB/depth context and rendered robot geometry form a shared visual world-model interface that stays consistent across viewpoints and robot embodiments, so the model sees the action only as visible robot geometry and learns how objects respond to it. Our experiments show that the rendered interface outperforms vector-conditioned baselines and generalizes to unseen robot embodiments at inference. We further demonstrate that our model generates robot manipulation videos from human demonstrations by retargeting and rendering the hand motion as robot geometry.
Scene understanding requires simultaneous prediction about geometry, appearance, and semantics. However, existing task-specific annotations are fragmented across incompatible, domain-specific datasets. Current unified systems circumvent this by restricting training to fully co-annotated data, or by incurring the large computational cost of pseudo-labeling. To mitigate this, we introduce UniD, a unified video model that jointly predicts eight dense scene properties-depth, surface normals, semantic segmentation, boundaries, human parts, albedo, shading, and materials-all learned from disjoint, domain-specific datasets. We propose a simple yet effective distillation step in which per-task experts supervise a unified backbone through lightweight task projectors, eliminating the need for annotation overlap or pseudo-labeling. Our key insight is that the strong visual priors of a pretrained diffusion model are sufficient to bridge the domain gaps introduced by disjoint training sources, enabling robust generalization to scene-task combinations never seen during training. UniD achieves competitive performance against per-task specialists and multi-task baselines, with strong generalization to out-of-distribution scenarios and enhanced temporal and cross-task consistency. Code and video results are available at https://unid-video.github.io/.
Multi-horizon latent consistency is a common training knob in video predictors and world models, but practitioners rarely know what it does to transition geometry. We treat lambda, the weight on multi-step latent agreement, as a diagnostic control and measure an empirical expansion proxy L20,q95 together with horizon-20 prediction error E20. On Moving-MNIST (n=6 seeds at the critical pair), raising lambda from 0 to 0.8 cuts L20 from 4.96 +/- 2.01 to 1.01 +/- 0.06 (paired t p=0.005, Wilcoxon p=0.031) and halves E20 (0.365 to 0.177, paired t p=1.1e-13). Four of six seeds cross L<1 at lambda=0.8. The same loss does not produce population L<1 on action-conditioned Pendulum-v1 or CartPole-v1, nor on KTH Actions video, even when E20 improves. An associational mediation analysis on MMNIST gives r-hat=0.94 (95% CI [0.88, 1.00], n=27, B=2000); lambda was not randomized. Defensive checks (architectural baselines, exogenous stress, WorldTest, MPC, scaling) mostly support a narrow claim: soft consistency can push passive video toward a near-contractive band, and that band is domain-limited. A stochastic-forcing law L20 ~ 1.23 + 1.82 eta at lambda=0.8 (bootstrap slope CI [1.73, 1.92], R^2=0.96) unifies control domains on the same curve via calibrated eta_eff. Complete joint slices at lambda in {0.4, 1.2} (30/30 cells, 5 eta x 3 seeds) show comparable linear L20(eta) slopes (~1.69 and ~2.00); we do not fit a continuous (lambda, eta) surface. We do not report DreamerV3 or TD-MPC2 returns.
Hadi Alzayer, Wenlong Huang, Haonan Chen +8cs.CV cs.RO
Video models absorb rich priors over how the visual world moves, interacts, and responds to contact, making them promising substrates for robotic world modeling. The central challenge is how to communicate action to such models in a form aligned with the visual space in which they learned these interaction priors, yet still grounded in physical manipulation. We introduce Masked Visual Actions, a pixel-space control interface that expresses action as a partially revealed trajectory of an arbitrary entity in a video. Revealing robot motion makes the model act as a forward dynamics model that predicts the scene's response to low-level robot actions, while revealing desired object motion makes the same model recover robot behavior consistent with that outcome. Finetuned with only 15 hours of masked examples from real videos and simulation, a single checkpoint achieves strong visual fidelity and controllability across diverse scenes and multiple embodiments. In downstream manipulation settings, the model produces imagined rollouts whose outcomes correlate with real-world execution for policy evaluation, improves decision making by ranking candidate futures in model-based planning, and supports inverse modeling by synthesizing robot motion from desired object motion.
Nuclear fusion has made significant progress in recent years and is expected to become one of the most important pathways to addressing global energy challenges. This paper focuses on observing plasma using visible-light cameras, analyzing its spatio-temporal motion cues, and predicting the two-dimensional spatial distribution of light intensity, aiming to provide a foundational basis for future scientific experiments using deep neural networks. Specifically, we propose Delta-InvFormer, a novel backbone network centered on a differential Transformer. The key insight is that by taking consecutive video frames as input, we can better capture the dynamics of the plasma. Moreover, spatial and temporal differential self-attention effectively mitigates interference from noisy signals, ensuring high-quality feature extraction. These features are then fused into a compact and informative representation, which is fed into a decoder network to predict the distribution. Based on real experimental data collected from the Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST) large-scale scientific facility, our results demonstrate that the proposed model not only significantly accelerates traditional methods for distribution prediction but also achieves competitive reconstruction accuracy. The source code of this paper will be released on https://github.com/Event-AHU/OpenFusion
Humans can infer how objects are likely to move from passive observation: a cup may be lifted, a drawer may slide, and a lid may rotate shut. Such predictions expose the physical consequences of interaction needed to act in the real world. We study how to learn this anticipation from ordinary monocular videos of human-object interaction. Given a short observed video context, MotionForesight predicts future 3D trajectories for points on the manipulated object. This casts interaction prediction as object-centered 3D motion forecasting without any assumptions on the object properties. Our key insight is that video prediction models already encode rich priors about how objects move during human interactions. We redirect these priors from pixel prediction toward future 3D scene flow. We start from a dense 3D tracker built on a pretrained video model, generate pseudo-ground-truth tracks from complete clips, and train the forecaster using only the observed frames. We replace future RGB and geometry with learned mask latents and train a lightweight adapter to turn the retrospective tracking representation into a forward predictor, while freezing the large video and tracking components. Using just 40k human videos and no auxiliary inputs such as language, MotionForesight generalizes across diverse out-of-distribution objects, environments, viewpoints, and interactions. It also outperforms substantially larger models that use over a million training videos. These results show that we can efficiently re-purpose video priors into explicit geometric forecasts for embodied intelligence. https://motionforesight.github.io/
Sudhanshu Mittal, Arian Mousakhan, Silvio Galesso +4cs.CV cs.AI cs.LG cs.RO
Current world models operate at a single level of abstraction, with most prioritizing perceptual fidelity while lacking the spatial reasoning and semantic understanding required for real-world downstream tasks. We present a hierarchical driving world model that factorizes future prediction across two levels operating at distinct temporal and abstraction scales: a high-level predictor that forecasts coarse scene structure over extended temporal horizons, and a low-level generator that produces detailed predictions conditioned on the high-level output. This decomposition yields high perceptual fidelity while also capturing strong spatial and semantic representations. We further show that pretraining with a diffusion forcing objective yields substantially richer internal representations than the standard teacher forcing objective, while teacher forcing -- predicting only the next frame from clean context -- produces more stable autoregressive rollouts. We therefore introduce a generic two-stage training paradigm that pretrains the model with diffusion forcing and fine-tunes with teacher forcing, combining the representational benefits of the former with the rollout stability of the latter. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art results across the standard suite of driving world model evaluations on established benchmarks, including long-horizon generation fidelity, steering responsiveness evaluated on counterfactual scenarios, and internal representation quality. Project page with code, demo, checkpoints and qualitative results: https://lmb-freiburg.github.io/orbis2.github.io/
Recovering high-quality video from sparse event streams is a challenging task. Regression methods often blur textures, while existing generative models struggle with long-term stability. We propose LongE2V, a novel approach that leverages pre-trained video diffusion priors to jointly handle event-based video reconstruction, prediction, and frame interpolation. By fine-tuning a foundational video model, our approach achieves high data efficiency and superior perceptual quality. We introduce Autoregressive Unrolling and Adaptive Context Switching to mitigate temporal drift in extremely long sequences. We also propose Reencoding Alignment with Cross Residual Correction to ensure precise bidirectional consistency during frame interpolation. Furthermore, Event Voxel Density Augmentation ensures robustness across varying sensor resolutions. Extensive experiments on real-world benchmarks demonstrate that LongE2V outperforms state-of-the-art methods across all three tasks, exhibiting exceptional temporal coherence and zero-shot generalization. Project page: https://cdfan0627.github.io/LongE2V-page/
World models are typically trained to predict discrete-time physical dynamics with a fixed step size baked into the model weights, preventing prediction at variable temporal resolutions. This matters for hierarchical planning, sim-to-real transfer, and scientific or game-engine applications that must query the same dynamics at multiple timescales. Hamiltonian Generative Networks (HGN) offer a principled path forward, grounding predictions in a continuous-time energy function that is, in principle, independent of the observation frame rate. In practice, however, their temporal generalization breaks down in non-conservative settings. We show that in externally forced, dissipative environments, HGN rollouts at step sizes beyond the training regime fail due to distinct failure modes, including latent magnitude growth driven by an unconstrained action-force map, and global truncation error accumulation from an under-resolved integrator. We identify a targeted fix for each mechanism and demonstrate stable dynamics prediction at temporal resolutions well outside the training distribution. In a detailed analysis, we recommend several strategies for enabling temporal generalization in continuous-time video generation.
World Action Models (WAMs) have shown strong potential for improving action generalization in autonomous driving by using future video prediction as dense supervision for scene dynamics and temporal causality. However, it remains unclear which architecture better transfers video-modeling benefits to trajectory generation. Existing cascaded or dual-DiT designs separate video imagination from action prediction, weakening the transfer of video-learned world dynamics to the trajectory branch: the action model may still overfit dataset-specific driving priors, while the video model only indirectly regularizes planning. We propose UNIVERSE, a unified video-action model built upon a single mask-modulated Diffusion Transformer. By co-training future video latents and ego-trajectory tokens within shared generative parameters, UNIVERSE allows dense video supervision to directly shape trajectory denoising, leading to stronger cross-domain action generalization. To ensure causal validity and efficient deployment, we introduce a Modality-Decoupling Visibility Mask, which shares historical context across modalities while blocking mutual attention between future video and trajectory tokens. This prevents future-target leakage and enables trajectory-only inference by removing future-video denoising at test time, achieving a $4.3\times$ speedup over joint video-action rollout while maintaining comparable planning accuracy. The same model also supports video-only and joint video-action rollouts. Experiments show that UNIVERSE achieves 91.0 PDMS on NAVSIM (vs. 89.6 for the Two-DiT variant), and demonstrates strong zero-shot transfer to nuScenes and Bench2Drive without fine-tuning, while ablations confirm the importance of single-DiT unification, video co-training, and mask-based modality decoupling.
Hierarchical state-space models (HSSMs) offer a promising approach to long-horizon prediction by segmenting sequences into temporal chunks. However, their performance hinges on how chunk boundaries are determined. While prior HSSMs typically rely on fixed-length chunking or similarity-based boundary detection, these methods often misalign with the intrinsic temporal structure of the data. We argue that chunking should instead be driven by prediction errors, which more directly indicate when longer-range context becomes necessary. Nevertheless, integrating surprise-based chunking into HSSMs introduces critical challenges, including hierarchical collapse during end-to-end training and the absence of surprise signals during open-loop prediction. To address these issues, we propose Surprise-based Nested Temporal Abstraction (SUNTA), a method that employs a decoupled training strategy to preserve surprise signals and uses internal inconsistency as a top-down surprise metric to determine chunk boundaries within imagined rollouts. Experiments on video prediction tasks in 2D and 3D environments demonstrate that SUNTA outperforms baselines, uniquely maintaining accurate predictions over 250 timesteps, whereas all baselines degrade within the first 10 timesteps.
Video predictive models are emerging as a powerful paradigm in robotics, offering a promising path toward task generalization, long-horizon planning, and flexible decision-making. However, prevailing approaches often operate on 2D video sequences, inherently lacking the 3D geometric understanding necessary for precise spatial reasoning and physical consistency. We introduce a Structured 4D Latent Predictive Model, which predicts the evolution of a scene's 3D structure in a structured latent space conditioned on observations and textual instructions. Our representation encodes the scene holistically and can be decoded into diverse 3D formats, enabling a more complete and 3D consistent scene understanding. This structured 4D latent predictive model serves as a planner, generating future scenes that are translated into executable actions by a goal-conditioned inverse dynamics module. Experiments demonstrate that our model generates futures with strong visual quality, substantially better 3D consistency and multi-view coherence compared to state-of-the-art video-based planners. Consequently, our full planning pipeline achieves superior performance on complex manipulation tasks, exhibits robust generalization to novel visual conditions, and proves effective on real-world robotic platforms. Our website is available at https://structured-4d-model.github.io/.
How to accurately predict a high-fidelity future world? While the visual world is inherently continuous, existing deterministic video prediction models operate in discrete pixel space and are mainly optimized with pixel-wise mean squared error (MSE), which often leads to over-smoothed predictions and a lack of fine-grained visual details. To address these limitations, we propose Predictive Differentiable Rendering (PDR), a novel end-to-end video prediction paradigm that bridges the gap between discrete and continuous representations. Inspired by recent progress in 3D reconstruction with 3D Gaussian Splatting, we introduce PredGS, a lightweight and plug-and-play adapter based on 2D Gaussian representation, which could be seamlessly integrated with existing pixel space predictors, significantly improving spatial detail preservation with negligible computational overhead. Furthermore, we develop predgsplat, a CUDA-accelerated differentiable 2D Gaussian renderer supporting arbitrary channels. Each Gaussian is defined by 5 + C learnable parameters (position, scale, rotation, and C channel amplitudes) and achieves up to 10x faster rendering than the baseline. Optimized by a combined L1 and SSIM loss, PDR overcomes the inherent blurring tendencies of MSE Loss, significantly enhancing the prediction performance. Extensive experiments on diverse real-world benchmarks, including TaxiBJ, WeatherBench, KTH, and Human3.6M, demonstrate that PDR consistently surpasses existing methods, delivering superior detail preservation, visual fidelity, and predictive accuracy.
Francois Porcher, Nicolas Carion, Karteek Alahari +1cs.CV cs.AI
World modeling requires forecasting uncertain futures while preserving information useful for downstream perception. Existing visual world models often struggle to satisfy both goals: VAE-based stochastic models operate in low-dimensional reconstruction latents, which can limit perception performance, while deterministic predictors using strong pretrained features collapse multimodal futures into a single blurry mean. In this work, we propose FlowWM, a stochastic world model that performs flow matching directly within pretrained feature space (e.g., DINOv3). This is challenging because pretrained features are substantially high-dimensional, making standard diffusion recipes suboptimal. To address this, we investigate the design choices needed for feature-space flow matching and introduce a differentiable one-step projection mechanism that enables efficient training with temporal consistency and task-driven objectives. We evaluate FlowWM on two benchmarks: a synthetic benchmark for systematic evaluation of accuracy and diversity, and a real-world benchmark FuturePerception. FlowWM improves perception performance, mode coverage, and horizon robustness, validating our proposed design for stochastic world modeling in high-dimensional feature spaces.
We present a self-supervised framework for learning implicit 3D physical dynamics directly from video-derived supervisory signals. While current generative video models achieve high visual fidelity, they lack a 3D geometric foundation, often resulting in physical inconsistencies and a failure to maintain object permanence. We address this by shifting the predictive bottleneck from 2D image space to a `lifted' 3D Volumetric Latent Space. Our method unprojects semantic features from a Video Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (V-JEPA) into a voxelized grid, grounded by monocular depth priors. This lifting enables a Volumetric Feature Advection to learn an action-conditioned transition operator that treats physics as a spatio-temporal state advection problem, i.e., learn implicit 3D physics. Unlike state-of-the-art hybrid models that rely on explicit classical simulators for training and/or inference, our architecture tracks material states implicitly within high-dimensional V-JEPA features. This allows for the emergent simulation of heterogeneous phenomena (e.g., rigid body motion in fluid flow) within a single, unified pipeline. Supervised solely via end-to-end video-derived signal plus action conditions, without access to physics engine internal states, labels, or surrogate models, our model demonstrates good long-term structural stability and physical plausibility on multiple benchmarks (CLEVERER, PhysInOne, PhysGaia). We believe that this work opens a scalable pathway toward general-purpose dynamic world models that internalize the 3D invariants of the physical world solely through passive observation of monocular videos.
Diego A. de Aguiar, Cassio M. Oishiphysics.flu-dyn cs.LG
Droplet impact on solid surfaces is a complex fluid dynamics problem with applications in spray cooling, inkjet printing, and pharmaceutical processing. Although numerical simulations are widely used to investigate these dynamics, their computational cost becomes significant when multiple parametric variations are considered. In this work, we investigate the use of a Video Vision Transformer (ViViT) architecture to predict the temporal evolution of viscoelastic droplets impacting solid surfaces using volume fraction fields obtained from the Volume of Fluid (VOF) method. In Newtonian fluids, impact dynamics are mainly characterized by the Reynolds number $Re$, representing the ratio of inertial to viscous forces, and the Weber number $We$, representing the ratio of inertial to surface tension forces. For viscoelastic fluids, additional parameters are required to account for elastic effects, namely the solvent viscosity ratio $β$ and the Weissenberg number $Wi$, increasing simulation complexity and cost. Instead of simulating the entire droplet dynamics, the proposed approach uses only the initial 10% to 20% of the simulation to predict the remaining evolution. Depending on the prediction configuration, this strategy reduces computational cost by approximately 80% to 90% compared to full numerical simulations. The ViViT produces physically consistent predictions across different parameters and prediction horizons, successfully capturing both spreading and bouncing regimes while preserving geometric features and structural similarity. Since volume fraction fields can also be extracted from experimental videos, the proposed framework could be extended to incorporate experimental data during training, potentially improving the physical fidelity of the predicted dynamics.
Scaling robot policy learning for autonomous surgery is challenging, as expert demonstrations are expensive and in vivo exploration poses substantial safety risks. Surgical world models address this by generating realistic, action-conditioned future frames from an initial observation, but existing methods exhibit two persistent failure modes: spatial interaction incoherence, where visible instrument contact fails to induce spatially consistent tissue deformation, and temporal fidelity collapse, where prediction errors compound across autoregressive rollouts and progressively corrupt visual quality. We present SurgVista, a surgical world model that mitigates both failures through two training recipes. Deformation Consistency Regularization extracts scene-point trajectories from training videos and enforces cross-frame coherence through latent contrastive learning, strengthening physically consistent instrument-tissue dynamics. Drift Adaptation Training mitigates long-horizon drift by perturbing conditioning frames with online prediction residuals and photometric augmentations calibrated to long-horizon drift statistics, sustaining visual fidelity over extended rollouts. To enable rigorous evaluation, we further introduce SurgWorld-Bench, featuring diverse procedure types, long-range rollouts, and decoupled metrics for instrument-motion accuracy and tissue-response fidelity. Extensive experiments show that SurgVista consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods across visual quality, temporal consistency, and interaction fidelity, with gains widening as the prediction horizon grows.
Action-conditioned world models have emerged as a promising paradigm for robot learning, offering a scalable alternative to costly real-world experimentation by generating action-consistent video rollouts. However, persistent world modeling remains challenging in manipulation: frequent end-effector occlusions and rapid wrist-camera motion make the current observation insufficient for predicting future views, causing models to forget or hallucinate scene details seen in earlier frames. Existing memory retrieval strategies often fail to identify informative history in dynamic manipulation scenarios. To address this limitation, we propose Mem-World, a memory-augmented multi-view action-conditioned world model. At its core, we present W-VMem, a 4D wrist-view-centered surfel-indexed memory that anchors historical observations to temporally evolving surface elements. By explicitly modeling when and where scene elements are observed, W-VMem enables geometry-aware retrieval of relevant history frames conditioned on future actions. During generation, relevant history frames are selected via surfel-based rendering and scoring, providing informative and non-redundant context for prediction. Extensive experiments show that Mem-World generates persistent rollouts in complex manipulation scenarios, enables more reliable policy evaluation than Ctrl-World, improving the Pearson correlation with real-world performance by 14.5\%, and supports effective policy improvement through synthetic data generation, increasing success rates from 58\% to 72\% on long-horizon tasks.
Nils Morbitzer, Jonathan Evers, Artem Savkin +4cs.CV
Forecasting the evolution of dynamic environments is crucial for autonomous agents. While generative world models have recently achieved high photorealism in 2D video synthesis by mixing ego-motion and environmental dynamics within the image plane, they exhibit physical inconsistencies, such as morphing or vanishing objects, especially over long time horizons. In this paper, we propose FR3D, a world model that predicts a persistent 3D latent representation for future dynamic 3D reconstruction. Unlike prior works that treat the world as a sequence of image-based features, FR3D explicitly decouples the 3D evolution of the scene from the agent's trajectory, treating the inferred ego-motion as a latent proxy for action. This disentanglement resolves the ambiguities between self-motion and world-motion, ensuring geometric consistency into the future. Furthermore, we introduce a teacher-student distillation strategy that leverages the spatial "common sense" of off-the-shelf foundation models, leading to robust zero-shot generalization. Extensive experiments demonstrate FR3D's strong performance for future dynamic 3D reconstruction from monocular observations across multiple datasets, even 2 seconds into the future. Project page: https://fr3d-wm.github.io.