Improving Wind and Solar Power Prediction with Efficient Wrapper-based Feature Selection: An Empirical Study

With rising global energy demand and growing awareness of climate change and its impacts, the share of renewable energies in the global energy mix continues to grow. Unlike conventional power generation, the output of renewable energy sources cannot be controlled as consistently due to their dependence on environmental conditions. Therefore, reliable prediction of current and future energy production is essential. In this paper, we report findings from two structured literature reviews on real-world renewable energy prediction tasks: wind turbine power curve modeling and photovoltaic power prediction. For the former, we conducted a comprehensive literature review ourselves, while for the latter, we synthesize the key findings regarding frequently selected input features based on an existing survey. Across both domains, our analysis reveals that despite the large number of available monitoring and environmental variables, only limited or unsystematic methods for feature selection exist. To address this gap, we propose Cluster-based Sequential Feature Selection (CSFS), a novel, model-agnostic, clustering-based wrapper method for automatic, efficient, and reliable feature selection in renewable energy prediction pipelines. To support reproducibility and reuse, we provide an open-source implementation of CSFS on GitHub. We empirically evaluate the proposed approach on both use cases and compare it with established feature selection techniques such as wrapper-based sequential feature selection (SFS), filter-based methods, and Random Forest's embedded feature importance. The results show that the wrapper-based methods overall provide better-performing selections of features. CSFS achieves a predictive performance comparable to SFS while reducing computational cost by an average of 21%.

MMAO-Cls: Metabolic Multi-Agent Optimization for Joint Feature Selection and Classifier Tuning

This paper studies whether the Metabolic Multi-Agent Optimizer (MMAO) can act as a credible outer-loop optimizer for classification model selection. We propose MMAO-Cls, a mixed-space realization in which each agent jointly encodes a binary feature mask and classifier hyperparameters, while private energy, communal budget, role drift, and lifecycle turnover are mapped to the accuracy-complexity tradeoff of wrapper learning. The implementation is strengthened by deriving feature-budget adaptation from feature-information priors and by regularizing validation reward with both subset compactness and train-validation overfitting gap. We evaluate MMAO-Cls on seven standard tabular benchmarks with three seeds each and compare it against RandomSearch, GA-lite, PSO-lite, and an endogenous no-sharing ablation. On the aggregate validation objective, MMAO-Cls ranks second ($0.9433$) behind GA-lite ($0.9446$). On held-out test performance, it reaches mean score $0.8882$, improving over RandomSearch ($0.8808$) and GA-lite ($0.8857$), remaining close to PSO-lite ($0.8874$) and the no-sharing ablation ($0.8900$), while using the most compact mean held-out feature subset among all compared methods (feature ratio $0.4881$). Pairwise tests show that these margins are not yet statistically significant. The resulting claim is therefore conservative: MMAO-Cls supports classification applicability and compact mixed-space search more clearly than it isolates communal sharing as a decisive standalone advantage.