Decoding EEG Signals to Explore Next-Word Predictability in the Human Brain

Humans invented reading and have passed down this complex skill across generations through language. This study provides empirical evidence of the neural mechanisms underlying bottom-up (related to high-order linguistic structure) and top-down (related to next-word predictability) processes, which interact to guide comprehension during reading. While previous studies have focused on either the N400 effects of predictability or lexical categories, research on how predictability influences N400 responses across different lexical categories is limited, mainly due to constraints in publicly available datasets. Here, we examine how predictability influences brain responses, recorded at millisecond resolution using electroencephalography (EEG), with a focus on the N400 time window (300-500 ms post-stimulus) across different lexical and grammatical categories. Our results indicate that significant differences in N400 responses between high and low cloze probability levels were more pronounced for content words than function words. Among the two primary content categories, verbs exhibited greater N400 differences than nouns, while nouns carried more distinct information about their predictability than verbs. Moreover, we demonstrate that the decoding technique is more effective than the event-related potential (ERP) traditional analysis in capturing more detailed and distinct representations of cognitive processes over time.

Contextual Semantic Relevance Tracks fMRI BOLD Responses During Naturalistic Speech Comprehension

Naturalistic language comprehension requires listeners to process both local probabilistic expectations and contextual semantic relations. This study tested whether contextual semantic relevance, measuring how strongly a target word relates to its recent semantic context, is associated with fMRI BOLD responses independently of word surprisal and lexical, timing, acoustic, and prosodic controls. We analyzed two public datasets: Alice (23 participants, one narrative) and Narratives (47 participants, 185 runs, four stories) using FIR/deconvolution and generalized additive mixed models. In Alice, semantic relevance was significant across all ROIs in FIR analyses, whereas surprisal was not. In GAMMs, both predictors showed broad significance. In Narratives, both predictors showed comparable spatial prevalence across ROIs. Semantic relevance showed robust BOLD associations across both datasets, with a particularly strong advantage over surprisal in the timing-sensitive Alice FIR analysis. The regionally heterogeneous direction of semantic relevance effects, with negative effects in posterior semantic regions and positive effects in frontal integration regions, suggests involvement of functionally distinct neural processes rather than a single uniform mechanism. These findings indicate that contextual semantic fit and local probabilistic expectation make partially distinct, dataset-dependent contributions to hemodynamic responses during naturalistic listening.

Heterogeneous Neural Predictivity from Language Models During Naturalistic Comprehension

Language-model representations provide structured, high-dimensional annotations of naturalistic language stimuli and can serve as informative neural predictors during comprehension. We analyzed locked derived data from Brain Treebank, MEG-MASC, and Podcast ECoG with eight frozen language models, blocked encoding models, and matched temporal, nuisance, and representation-capacity controls. Positive held-out prediction and gains over low-level baselines were widespread in source-level summaries. Across Brain Treebank and Podcast ECoG, 67 of 432 evaluable rows met a controlled predictive-only criterion, and model-side feature ablations changed prediction scores in most evaluable source rows. Brain-derived, timing-linked, acoustic, and implanted-signal controls confirmed component-level sensitivity of the analysis pipeline. These findings show that language-model-derived quantities can annotate neural activity during natural speech and text comprehension. Participant-level matched-control advantages were localized rather than uniform, response-profile and feature-specificity contrasts bounded representational or computational interpretations, and complete co-indexed integrated interpretation will require future jointly indexed coverage. Together, the analyses identify language-model features as useful neural predictors and separate predictive usefulness from claims about shared neural organization or language-processing computations.