Vision-Language-Action (VLA) policies offer strong general-purpose manipulation priors, but often fail on tight-tolerance, contact-rich assembly due to long-horizon credit assignment and subtask coupling: a state that is geometrically successful for the current skill can be brittle for downstream skills. We show this failure mode in residual reinforcement learning (RL) over a frozen VLA base policy: constant sparse success rewards improve each subtask in isolation yet yield little or no gain when skills are chained, because terminal state quality is uncontrolled. We propose Foresight Residual RL, which optimizes handoff quality by augmenting each subtask's sparse success reward with an offline-estimated foresight value -- the probability of future subtask success conditioned on the terminal state of the current subtask. Concretely, we (i) train a visual foresight predictor from images of terminal states of the base policy, labeled using downstream rollout statistics, and (ii) train residual policies via backward foresight induction, using the predictor output as a reward multiplier. On a three-phase wrench-based nut-tightening assembly task in Isaac Gym (grasp, move-insert, rotate), our method achieves 85.6% full-task success, outperforming standard subtask residual RL (54.5%) and VLA baselines, while leaving per-subtask success unchanged. These results highlight that improving long-horizon performance requires shaping which successful states are produced at each sub-task, not only whether success occurs.
Residual reinforcement learning adapts a pretrained robot policy by learning an additive correction to its actions. While effective when adaptation amounts to shifting the base policy's action distribution, additive corrections cannot change the distribution's shape, scale, or state-dependent geometry -- limitations we formalize as wrong variance, miscalibrated confidence, and non-uniform correction. We show that these matter under dynamics shift: when the base distribution is geometrically mismatched to the shifted system, residual correction can underperform even the unadapted policy. We propose \textbf{Warp RL}, a policy adaptation method that replaces additive residuals with an invertible, state-conditioned transformation of the base policy's action distribution. Instantiated with monotonic rational-quadratic spline flows [arXiv:0706.1234v1], Warp RL preserves identity initialization, strictly generalizes additive residual correction, and exposes a structured adaptation space suitable for both policy-gradient and gradient-free optimization. Across a variety of ManiSkill3 manipulation tasks with controlled dynamics shifts, Warp RL matches residual correction when translation is sufficient and substantially outperforms it when adaptation requires distributional reshaping. We further demonstrate that warping can replace additive correction in an off-policy sim-to-real pipeline, achieving comparable success rate with 30% faster task completion on a real-robot peg-insertion task.