Maitrey Gramopadhye, Prakash Baskaran, Xiao Liu +2cs.RO cs.AI
Effective human-robot collaboration in industrial settings requires robots to understand human intentions and assist with task planning, reducing workload. Recent works have explored the use of Multi-modal Large Language Models (MM-LLMs) for task planning in such data-scarce scenarios, leveraging in-context learning to interpret user actions and generate long-horizon action plans in natural language. However, MM-LLMs inherently lack an understanding of system states and do not track state transitions, often leading to hallucinated actions that deviate from the intended goal. Additionally, generating action plans in natural language tends to limit the generated plans to a high level, introducing ambiguity in action execution. To address these limitations, we propose the State-aware Task Estimator and Planner (STEP), which prompts a MM-LLM to explicitly estimate the state of the system and predict the state transitions resulting from executed actions. By forecasting future states alongside actions, STEP ensures task-convergent planning while also providing additional assistance parameters necessary for executing the predicted actions. We evaluate STEP in a simulated environment using a robot assembly task. Our approach outperforms the state-of-the-art by 32.8% in action executability and 14.8% in final-state error.
Daniel Grønhaug, Sofie Markeset, Mathias Kolbergcs.RO cs.CV
We present a vision-only state estimation system for X-configuration quadcopters equipped with a canonical stereo camera pair and no inertial sensors. The system operates entirely in the body frame, requiring only synchronised stereo images and motor thrust commands. A continuous-discrete extended Kalman filter on a composite manifold state $\langle SE(3), \mathbb{R}^3, \ldots \rangle$ maintains estimates of body-frame pose, velocity, angular velocity, gravity, and disturbances, using stationary scene points as implicit inertial references. Feature points are detected (FAST, Shi-Tomasi), tracked temporally (SSD, Lucas-Kanade) and matched across cameras (NCC), with search regions predicted from filter-derived pose and point uncertainty. Chi-squared gating on the normalised innovation admits only stationary points to the filter. The system also produces a sparse 3D point cloud carrying per-point position, velocity and joint covariance. These come from a 4-view (two stereo pairs at two timestamps) full bundle adjustment that jointly estimates position and velocity from stereo disparity and temporal parallax, with the filter-derived relative pose as a prior. Feature points in the EKF do not enter the solver; their information is reflected through the pose prior. Point cloud density is spatially adaptive: an external focus point directs allocation, producing dense coverage in the region of attention and sparse coverage elsewhere. The output is a body-frame state estimate, a calibrated pose change, and a sparse scene flow. It is intended as a measurement source for a downstream world model anchored in the current body frame, without dependence on GPS, IMU, or any world-frame infrastructure, though the architecture accommodates their future integration.
Everest Yang, Skye Thompson, George D. Konidariscs.RO cs.LG
Surgical tissue retraction requires effective manipulation planning under partial and noisy perception. We study state estimation for deformable tissue retraction, where only sparse observations of the tissue surface are available at decision time. We propose a learned state estimator that reconstructs the full deformable mesh state from 40 noisy vertex observations. The estimator combines a multilayer perceptron with a low-dimensional PCA latent representation and is trained using geometry-aware regularization that encourages smooth and physically plausible deformations. We evaluate the approach in a 2D deformable sheet simulation using single-step and multi-step retraction planning. Results show that the learned estimator achieves 98.1% of oracle performance in multi-step retraction while supporting efficient inference. These results demonstrate that learned, geometry-regularized state estimation can support effective deformable manipulation under realistic perception constraints.
Seyed Farzad Bahreinian, Maziar Palhang, Mohammad Reza Taban +1cs.RO cs.AI
Nowadays mobile robots have wide engineering applications. Simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) is an important task of these robots. The major and common algorithms used for this task are based on extended Kalman filter (EKF). One of the main problems in EKF-based SLAM is its divergence. The nonlinearity of motion and observation models and linearization error are the main reasons for the divergence. There have been some efforts to address this problem with limited success. In this paper, by applying a simple compass and using an effective transformation, we transform the non-linear state space model into a linear model. Then, by applying the original KF to this model, we reach a new method, which is called LMKF SLAM. We show that the LMKF SLAM is significantly superior to the state-of-the-art methods, especially EKF-based SLAMs, both in accuracy, convergence, and computational complexity. The proposed method is also more stable with respect to the uncertainty of sensors values and changes in system parameters. Experimental results verify these points.
Andres Enriquez Fernandez, John J. Birdcs.LG eess.SY
Physical or operational constraints often impose communications limitations on autonomous agents. Such limitations complicate monitoring or multiagent coordination. Even when strong communications are absent, some information may still be available. The remainder of the relevant agent state may be reconstructed via estimation. The actions taken by an agent are a potential source of information -- as the agent interacts with the environment, these actions may be observed even in the absence of explicit communication. We investigate using actions to estimate the state of an agent, using reinforcement learning to develop policies which make the estimation problem more tractable. Policy observability is encouraged through the training reward and is analyzed using simulation of the trained agent. In an aircraft tracking problem a policy with enhanced observability is found that has minimal impact on nominal task performance.
Jiho Lee, Nisar R. Ahmed, Rebecca Russellcs.RO cs.LG
Kalman filtering performance is highly sensitive to model mismatch and noise covariance tuning. Learning-based approaches address these limitations but typically rely on supervised training with large datasets and do not produce consistent uncertainty estimates. In this paper, we propose a self-supervised Hybrid Adaptive Kalman Filter that learns structured corrections to system dynamics and process noise covariance from measurements alone while preserving the probabilistic structure of the filter. This allows the innovation likelihood to be computed and subsequently used for model classification via generalized Bayesian inference. Experimental results on real-world and simulated datasets demonstrate improved estimation accuracy and statistical consistency as well as robust classification performance across both low-data and large-data scenarios.
Adnan Harun Dogan, Berken Utku Demirel, Christian Holzcs.RO cs.AI eess.SP
Robust state estimation is central to robotic autonomy, yet classical Kalman filters struggle with frequency-dependent disturbances and model mismatch such as sensor vibrations, electromagnetic interference, and periodic noise. Although Deep Kalman Filter (DKF) variants extend the Extended Kalman Filtering (EKF) framework by learning latent transitions, they lack explicit mechanisms to suppress band-limited noise components that typically corrupt sensor measurements in real-world scenarios. We introduce the Frequency-Weighted Neural Kalman Filter (FW-NKF), a unified hybrid approach that embeds a causal spectral-shaping operator into the Kalman measurement residual and jointly learns observation, and transition networks. By adapting both the filter spectrum and the latent state representation, FW-NKF attenuates the noise-dominated frequency bands while capturing complex residual structures. We conduct extensive experiments on four heterogeneous benchmarks, including chaotic systems such as multi-dimensional Lorenz systems and full-body inertial pose estimation, and find a reduction in localization error of up to 10% as well as marked improvements in orientation accuracy. Our ablation studies confirm that frequency weighting and deep latent-state modeling contribute to overall performance.
Accurate state estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is fundamental to modern aerospace operations across air, sea, and space domains. Online tracking of adversarial unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is especially challenging due to agile nonlinear motion, noisy and sparse sensor measurements, and unknown control inputs; conditions that violate key assumptions of classical Kalman filter variants and degrade estimation performance. Neural networks (NNs) can learn complex nonlinear relationships from data, but lack principled uncertainty quantification, which is critical for state estimation tasks where confidence bounds drive downstream decisions. We address this with Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), which model uncertainty through distributions over network weights and produce predictive means and uncertainties via Monte Carlo sampling. Building on this, we propose the Bayesian Neural Kalman Filter (BNKF): a hybrid framework coupling a trained BNN with a Kalman correction step for robust online UAV state estimation. Unlike related neural Kalman approaches, BNKF produces full state predictions and incorporates Bayesian uncertainty directly into covariance propagation, improving robustness under high noise conditions. We evaluate BNKF under varying radar noise levels and sampling rates using synthetic nonlinear UAV flight data. Five fold cross validation demonstrates that BNKF outperforms Extended and Unscented Kalman Filters in accuracy, precision, and truth containment under degraded sensing. An ensemble variant (BNKFe) further improves precision in high-noise edge cases at a slight accuracy tradeoff. Runtime analysis confirms minimal inference overhead, supporting real-time deployment feasibility.