For embodied systems, predictive agreement alone does not determine whether evidence warrants action; evidential origin matters. Repeated inference over one observation can multiply agreement without adding evidence, while source-local values do not reveal whether outputs have separately countable origins. PACT treats evidence countability as a relational variable for provenance-conserving fusion and typed action admission. A supplied provenance partition defines countable units. PACT retains coordinatewise support shared within each unit, accumulates only across units, and maps unmet release conditions to hold, confirm, or fallback. Under the stated assumptions, source-local values cannot identify countability; the coordinatewise meet is the greatest budget satisfying singleton fidelity and insertion non-amplification, with coarsening monotonicity and fixed-partition stability. Across 31,200 evaluations in 48 scene clusters, PACT attains a common-support normalized risk-coverage area (ncsAURC) of 0.0861. Excluding the constructed adversarial-consensus arm, provenance-partition aggregation reduces ncsAURC by 0.0557 relative to singleton aggregation, while the corroboration contrast vanishes. On complete-source records, native scores favor PACT, but a common posterior-peak score narrows its difference from nested Dirichlet and favors product fusion. Reassigning provenance over unchanged predictions moves evidence budgets as predicted. In offline human-robot collaboration, eightfold within-camera duplication leaves 720 typed responses per checkpoint unchanged; camera-grouped PACT admits 47 of 57 Qwen3-VL-32B reference-consistent candidates with no observed reference-inconsistent admission in 60 episodes. PACT separates computational from evidential multiplicity: agreement constitutes corroboration only when provenance permits separate accumulation.
In recent years, there has been growing interest in robust robotic systems for precise bin-picking applications. To achieve reliable performance, such systems must address errors arising from both the object pose estimation and the grasping process. Although various approaches have been proposed, they typically target specific challenges and do not offer general solutions. In this paper, we present a modular framework that jointly handles both error types. The framework incorporates object pose distribution estimation to account for pose uncertainty, which frequently arises in situations with ambiguous observations where a single correct pose cannot be determined. To further reduce uncertainty, we introduce a second-viewpoint module that computes complementary pose distributions, which are subsequently fused. This fusion decreases overall uncertainty and improves system efficiency. Additionally, two independent modules are included to compensate for grasping errors. The modular design allows the components to be combined for optimal performance or used individually, depending on the physical setup. The proposed method is evaluated in a real-world setup with three different objects, with no errors, and all modules are shown to improve efficiency. These results suggest that incorporating pose distributions with grasping pose errors is a promising direction for developing more flexible and reliable robotic production systems. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first framework that jointly addresses both grasping and object pose uncertainties using interchangeable modules. We believe there is ample opportunity to integrate additional modules, resulting in improved performance and flexibility. The current framework is limited to pose uncertainties in SO(2), but it could be extended to SE(3), enabling additional modules to improve the system.
Humans and animals exhibit remarkable robustness in physical manipulation, yet robots remain far behind. Progress toward human-level manipulation robustness is hindered by the absence of a unified and systematic understanding: different subfields frame robustness in distinct ways, often leaving the concept ambiguous and limiting deeper analysis as well as communication across research areas. This paper presents a systematic study of manipulation robustness. We begin with a formal definition, characterizing robustness as the degree to which a manipulation system can achieve its goal in the presence of uncertainty and variation. Building on this definition, we introduce general formulations of manipulation robustness from probabilistic and control-theoretic perspectives. We then synthesize the guiding principles and concrete mechanisms of manipulation robustness across perception, planning, control, policy learning, and hardware, illustrating each mechanism through representative works, including foundational and recent studies. In addition, we revisit existing metrics and evaluation methods for quantifying manipulation robustness. Finally, we distill broader lessons for designing robust manipulation systems and discuss open problems and future directions toward achieving human-level robustness in robotic manipulation.
Anna-Lena Schlamp, Jeremias Gerner, Klaus Bogenberger +2cs.AI cs.RO eess.SY
Roundabouts challenge automated driving in mixed traffic, as heterogeneous and non-deterministic human behavior, unknown driving intentions, and high interaction complexity create uncertainty about whether the conflict zone will be blocked or available at the moment of entry. We present ROSA-RL -- uncertainty-aware Roundabout Optimized Speed Advisory with Reinforcement Learning. It enables safe and efficient roundabout entry for automated and human-driven vehicles in mixed traffic through probabilistic conflict forecasting. A Transformer-based model predicts conflict zone occupancy over a five-second horizon, capturing multi-agent interactions to anticipate upcoming conflicts and available gaps. The prediction outputs encode uncertainty in future motion and intent, and augment the state of a classical RL framework, enabling uncertainty-aware speed coordination. Evaluated in simulations grounded in real-world data, ROSA-RL can effectively handle uncertainty and outperform a comparable model-based baseline, closing the gap to an ideal setting assuming fully known occupancy while improving traffic efficiency and safety. The source code of this work is available under: github.com/urbanAIthi/ROSA-RL.