Kernel Regression with Tensor Trains and Hadamard Overparameterization

Kernel regression with tensor trains and Hadamard overparameterization (KReTTaH) is introduced as a training-data-free, interpretable, and nonparametric framework for multi-way data imputation. The imputation problem is reformulated as regression in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS), where the tensor regression coefficients are explicitly constrained to lie on fixed-rank tensor-train (TT) manifolds and structured via Hadamard overparameterization to promote sparsity and high representational efficiency. Rather than relying on costly cross-validation, KReTTaH jointly optimizes the TT coefficient tensors and the kernel covariance matrices within a Riemannian product-manifold framework -- the former on fixed-rank TT manifolds, the latter on the manifold of positive-definite matrices -- thereby enabling automated kernel-hyperparameter selection. Numerical tests on two challenging applications -- imputation of high-dimensional functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data and recovery of missing edge flows in dynamic graphs -- demonstrate that KReTTaH consistently outperforms state-of-the-art tensor-, Bayesian-, and neural-network-based baselines in terms of modeling accuracy.

In-Context Learning for the Imputation of Public Opinion Data with Large Language Models

Large language models have been widely evaluated as simulators of individual survey responses. In practice, however, fully unobserved responses are rare; the dominant problem is partial non-response. Imputation aims to restore the overall structure of a survey dataset by filling in these missing values. It has its own well-defined evaluation criteria and differs fundamentally from prediction. We propose to impute missing survey data through in-context learning (ICL). We systematically evaluate ICL design choices across different missingness mechanisms (MCAR, MAR, MNAR) on 150 opinion variables spanning 15 waves of the American Trends Panel. Compared to well-established statistical methods for data imputation like MICE PMM, our ICL approach consistently reduces absolute error across all missingness mechanisms, with the largest gains under non-random missingness (MNAR). Notably, the best-performing specification (gpt-oss-120b with 100 in-context examples) achieves near-nominal aggregate coverage (approaching the 95% level) with confidence intervals two to five times narrower than MICE PMM. We publish a Python package with an sklearn-like API to enable easy deployment of our method using local and proprietary LLMs.