Broad Learning System is an efficient randomized learning model that expands network width through feature and enhancement nodes and estimates the output weights without deep backpropagation. Its standard least-squares training, however, is vulnerable in two different ways: (i) large residuals caused by noise, outliers, or corrupted labels can dominate the objective, and (ii) all samples are treated as equally reliable even when some lie in ambiguous or locally conflicting regions. This paper proposes IFW-BLS, an Intuitionistic Fuzzy Wave Broad Learning System that addresses these two sources of fragility within one optimization model. The first robustness mechanism is residual-level protection, obtained by replacing the squared loss with the bounded, smooth, and asymmetric wave loss. Boundedness prevents extreme residuals from receiving unbounded influence, while asymmetry allows positive and negative deviations to be penalized differently when the dominant error direction varies. The second mechanism is sample-level credibility control, obtained through intuitionistic fuzzy scores that combine global class-center consistency with local neighborhood conflict. The resulting model evaluates the wave loss on credibility-weighted residuals, so unreliable samples are down-weighted before the bounded loss further limits the effect of extreme errors. A Nesterov accelerated gradient based optimizer is used to solve the proposed objective, avoiding the explicit matrix inversion used in conventional BLS. Experiments on UCI benchmark datasets validate the superiority of the proposed IFW-BLS model over the baseline models; additional corruption experiments also show more stable performance than BLS under noise and outlier contamination.
In non-stationary multivariate time series, different variables and samples often exhibit heterogeneous latent dynamic states, while existing deep forecasting models usually compress them into a unified end-to-end mapping, leading to suboptimal modeling of time-varying dynamics and limited interpretability regarding which forecasting mechanism is activated under different latent states. To overcome these limitations, we reformulate time series forecasting as a unified framework of latent temporal state identification and interpretable expert routing, and propose Fuzzy-MoE, a fuzzy logic-based dynamic Mixture-of-Experts model. Fuzzy-MoE consists of multiple parallel expert mapping networks and a dual-view fuzzy router. By jointly exploiting local convolutional dynamics and global segmented statistics, the router infers latent temporal states and computes expert activation strengths through learnable Gaussian membership functions, enabling explicit IF-THEN rule-based expert selection. This fine-grained routing strategy allows different variables within the same sequence to activate different experts, effectively capturing heterogeneous temporal dynamics while improving model interpretability. Experimental results on multiple public time series benchmark datasets show that Fuzzy-MoE significantly outperforms mainstream forecasting methods in forecasting accuracy. Moreover, fuzzy memberships and rule activations provide interpretable routing diagnostics, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed framework in both forecasting performance and mechanism transparency. Unlike traditional MoE models that use black-box routing, Fuzzy-MoE`s routing is based on clear, interpretable fuzzy rules. This makes the expert selection transparent and traceable.
Cayan Deniz Kucuktopana, Javier Fumanal-Idocin, Richard Pitts +1cs.LG
Machine learning models achieve high predictive accuracy in regression tasks, but their deployment in safety-critical and regulated domains requires interpretability. While fuzzy rule-based systems offer transparent, linguistically explicit interpretable models, Mamdani-style fuzzy regression remains underrepresented in modern machine learning software libraries. This paper presents an interpretable regression extension for the Ex-Fuzzy library, enabling Mamdani fuzzy inference with scalar consequents learned directly from data. For this, a target-aware partition initialisation strategy based on Fuzzy C-Means clustering is introduced, in which linguistic variables are derived from an augmented input-output space to emphasise output-relevant regions of the feature space. The proposed extension is evaluated on ten regression datasets from the KEEL repository, comparing Gaussian and trapezoidal partition strategies against standard baselines including linear regression, multilayer perceptron, and random forests. Experimental results show that Gaussian partitions consistently outperform uniform trapezoidal partitions, achieving a mean coefficient of determination of approximately 0.86 while producing compact rule bases of 10-15 human-readable rules. The proposed implementation provides a transparent and competitive alternative to black-box regression models, supporting practical interpretability with competitive predictive performance.