Rethinking Learnability in Offline Data-driven Optimization

Black-Box Optimization (BBO) has found broad applications, but evolutionary algorithms and Bayesian optimization face efficiency challenges as real-world BBO problems grow increasingly complex. Data-driven optimization improves the efficiency of BBO algorithms by learning from data. Offline data-driven optimization seeks high-quality solutions using only a fixed set of previous evaluations, attracting substantial attention because it requires no additional online evaluations. Many offline optimization methods have been proposed, but a fundamental question remains unanswered: what learnability is sufficient for offline optimization? Prior theoretical studies show that Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learnability is insufficient, as the optimal region may remain poorly learned even when most regions are well learned. In this paper, we propose algorithm-dependent learnability, which requires accuracy only on the optimizer's trajectory. We prove that its value-query form is sufficient for representative discrete settings, including greedy and local search for submodular maximization, while its first-order analogue is sufficient for projected gradient descent on convex minimization. Motivated by this notion, we formalize a trajectory-learning framework comprising trajectory construction, trajectory modeling, and candidate generation, and analyze existing trajectory-based methods under it. We further propose Uncertainty-aware Gradient-guided Trajectory Learning (UGTL), which constructs locally coherent improvement trajectories reflecting plausible search paths, models them with conditional diffusion, and selects a diverse candidate set. On five Design-Bench tasks, UGTL achieves the best aggregate mean rank, $3.1/25$, among 25 methods. Controlled trajectory analyses and cross-architecture replacements confirm that our trajectory construction plays a significant role in the improvement.

Hypothesis Testing with Conditional Queries: Learnability and the Value of Interaction

Model evaluations may fix all tests before observing any responses or select later tests using earlier responses. We study this choice in a conditional-query model on a finite outcome space $\mathcal{X}$ with $|\mathcal{X}|=N$. We first ask which pairs of distribution classes can be reliably distinguished. We then ask how many additional queries are required to match an adaptive tester when all queried events must be fixed in advance. We show that learnability holds if and only if the two classes have positive separation in their pairwise conditional probabilities. When this separation is zero, the optimal worst-case error is exactly $1/2$ at every finite query budget. For any $T$-query adaptive policy and any $ρ\in (0,1)$, we construct a randomized non-adaptive procedure using $O(N^2(T + \log(1/ρ)))$ pair queries chosen before any response is observed. Its simulated transcript is within $ρ$ in total variation of the adaptive transcript, uniformly over all distributions in the model. We also construct a matching family with constant adaptive query complexity and $Ω_\varepsilon(N^2)$ non-adaptive query complexity. Consequently, the worst-case fixed-error adaptivity gap is $Θ_\varepsilon(N^2)$. Thus interaction can reduce the required number of tests by a quadratic factor, but the apparent exponential branching of an interactive evaluation does not yield an exponential query advantage.

Local Regularization Does Not Characterize Multiclass PAC Learnability

Local regularization assigns each hypothesis a test-point-dependent score and predicts with a minimum-score hypothesis consistent with the sample. Asilis et al. asked whether this principle characterizes multiclass PAC learnability. We give a negative answer. There is a countable class of Daniely--Shalev-Shwartz dimension at most two with realizable PAC sample complexity \[ O\!\left(\frac{1}{\varepsilon}\log\frac{1}δ\right), \] that no local regularizer learns. Hypotheses are edges of complete graphs and instances are tournaments. At a test tournament, the scores fix an edge ranking while the training sample independently removes competitors. Cyclic triangles force enough inversions that surviving competitors produce constant population error at arbitrarily large sample sizes.

Width-Robust Learnability in Mean-Field Bayesian Neural Networks

Infinite-width limits are a standard way to reason about neural networks, but it is not automatic that the limiting learner has the same complexity-theoretic inductive bias as large finite networks. We study this question for Bayesian neural networks at the mean-field, or critical feature-learning, scaling. The central quantity is the \emph{reduced entropy} \[ s_\infty(y,\varepsilon)=\limsup_N -\frac{1}{N}\log π_N^0(L\le \varepsilon), \] the intensive prior cost of representing a target function $y$ to population mean-squared error $\varepsilon$. Our main result is a width-robust learnability theorem. At fixed depth, a family of Boolean-cube targets is learnable from polynomially many samples at infinite width if and only if it is learnable at polynomial width, if and only if its reduced entropy is polynomially bounded. Equivalently, up to polynomial slack in accuracy, the Bayesian mean-field learner generalizes exactly on the targets that can be represented by polynomial-size networks. The forward direction is proved by a form of subsampling: from the infinitely many hidden neurons in the mean-field solution, one can select polynomially many representatives and still preserve the learned function on every input simultaneously. At the critical scaling this subsampling has both an ``active'' component, which keeps the data-dependent low-dimensional statistics, and a ``lazy'' component, which resamples the entropy-dominated directions from the prior. Thus the infinite-width mean-field limit gives a clean analytic description of learning without introducing spurious width-dependent generalization power.