We revisit contextual optimization from the perspective of policy class design. A desirable policy class should be expressive enough to learn rich context-decision relationships, should enforce hard feasibility constraints rather than soft penalty terms, and should remain smooth enough for gradient-based training on downstream decision losses. Existing approaches usually emphasize only part of these requirements. We propose Legendre-regularized policies, which parameterize decisions as solutions of regularized optimization problems over the original feasible region. This construction yields policies that are feasible by construction and differentiable with respect to learned latent parameters. We prove that the associated optimizer map is single-valued, maps onto the relative interior of the feasible set, admits an explicit Jacobian, is Lipschitz continuous, and can be made arbitrarily smooth. We also establish a universal approximation result showing that the proposed class can approximate any continuous feasible policy on compact context sets. The framework unifies explicitly regularized optimizers and implicit perturbation-based smooth optimizers. Experiments on contextual newsvendor and resource allocation problems show that our approach improves prescriptive performance relative to the benchmark methods.
Masahiro Kato, Taka Katoecon.EM cs.LG math.ST stat.ME stat.ML
We propose one-step and two-step methods for policy learning with retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). We formulate RAG-based action selection under the potential outcome framework. In the two-step method, vector search retrieves action-specific neighboring evidence in an embedding space, the generator estimates conditional expected outcomes or their contrasts, and a plug-in rule selects an action. This formulation connects action-specific vector search with nearest-neighbor matching in causal inference. We decompose the regret of the two-step method into candidate-generation regret and within-candidate choice regret, and we bound the latter using prediction-error guarantees for nearest-neighbor estimators and transformers. We evaluate the one-step method directly as a policy because its intermediate computation is unobserved.
Johnna Sundberg, Rayid Ghani, Eli Ben-Michael +1cs.LG stat.ME
Policy learning methods are increasingly used to inform treatment allocation under budget constraints. Most proposed methods assume complete treatment data, yet applications frequently suffer from missingness that can bias estimates and lead to suboptimal policies. We address this gap by extending efficient estimators for average treatment effect (ATE) estimation to policy value and conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation under missing at random (MAR) and missing completely conditionally at random (MCCAR) treatment data. Through asymptotic efficiency analysis, we prove that the MAR estimator, which leverages partially-observed units, is both valid and more efficient than the MCCAR estimator when MCCAR assumptions hold. This result provides formal justification for preferring MAR-based estimation in policy learning under both missing data settings. Our comprehensive experiments using synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets confirm that correctly specifying the missingness mechanism is crucial: misspecified estimators remain biased regardless of sample size, while our estimators achieve near-oracle performance when assumptions are satisfied. Our work provides practitioners with theoretically grounded, empirically validated tools for robust policy learning in the presence of missing treatment data.
Angus Phillips, Gavin Kerrigan, Tom Rainforthstat.ML cs.LG
Policy-based approaches to Bayesian experimental design (BED) allow the learning of deep policy networks that adaptively make intelligent design decisions based on previously collected data. However, the training of such policies is often held back by a fundamental challenge: the double intractability of the expected information gain (EIG). This necessitates expensive or complex approximations that restrict the effort one can invest in optimising the policy itself. To address this, we show that the double intractability of the EIG can be isolated from the policy learning by first solving a score matching problem that is independent of the policy used, then using the learned score approximation to train the policy in a singly intractable manner. This turns the key multiplicative cost into an additive one and reduces the computational burden on the policy training itself, making it far cheaper to train the policy multiple times when needed, e.g. for architecture search, hyperparameter tuning, or avoiding local optima. In our experiments we train multiple competitive policies without inducing a multiplicative cost in likelihood evaluations, which can increase performance by allowing us to select the best policy even without performing hyperparameter or architecture searches.