Generalized Splines and Gaussian Processes

For finite-dimensional linear inverse problems where the variables are Gaussian, it is well-known that the minimum-mean-square error estimator takes the form of a regularized least-squares data fit. In this chapter, we show that this equivalence extends to a much broader infinite-dimensional setting where generalized splines take the role of linear regressors and generalized Gaussian processes on a nuclear space $S$ are the counterpart of Gaussian random vectors. The scope of this extension is of the same nature as the switch from the classic notion of function to that of a distribution, also known as a "generalized function." Our formalism involves a whitening/regularization operator $L: S\to S'$ whose continuous extension induces a native Hilbert space $H\subset S'$ that plays a central role in our characterization. The presentation is self-contained for the most part and remarkably general and powerful. It allows for the recovery of all known instances of such equivalences; in particular, the methods involving innovations and reproducing-kernel Hilbert spaces developed by Kailath and his students, and the mathematical correspondence between fractional splines and Mandelbrot's fractional Brownian motion (fractals), with the former being the optimal estimators of the latter. It also covers general Bayesian methods for the resolution of infinite-dimensional inverse problems.

Verifiable Regularity Criterion for Conditional Expectation Operators and Conditional Mean Embeddings with Applications to Nonparametric Regression, Bayesian Inverse Problems, and Koopman Operators

Conditional expectation operators (CEOs) and their associated conditional mean embeddings (CMEs) play a central role across applied mathematics and machine learning, appearing in nonparametric regression, Bayesian inverse problems, and Koopman operator theory. A fundamental question is when a CEO maps a function space on $\mathcal{Y}$ into a prescribed function space on $\mathcal{X}$, particularly a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). We show that such mapping properties are characterized by the regularity of the Radon--Nikodym density of the conditional law, and establish a simple, verifiable sufficient condition under which the CEO is bounded and Hilbert--Schmidt. For RKHSs norm-equivalent to Sobolev spaces, this condition reduces to Sobolev regularity of the conditional density. The result yields a direct route to validate CME representations and error bounds for Galerkin-type and CME-based estimators. We verify the regularity condition in three settings: nonparametric regression, Bayesian inverse problems, and Koopman operator theory for stochastic dynamical systems. We show in each case that classical regularity results on the underlying probabilistic model imply the required mapping properties. The resulting framework offers a unified perspective on conditional expectation operators across probability, operator theory, kernel methods, and stochastic dynamics.

Statistical inverse learning and $\ell^1$-regularization

We study the recovery of sparse functions from finite, noisy, and indirect observations in the framework of statistical inverse learning. The unknown is modeled as an element of $\ell^1$, and observations are generated through a possibly nonlinear forward operator $A:\ell^1\to H$, where $H$ is a vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We propose an $\ell^1$-regularized empirical risk minimizer and develop a theoretical analysis of its statistical properties. Under mild assumptions, we establish almost-sure consistency and derive non-asymptotic high-probability convergence rates in both the prediction and $\ell^1$ reconstruction norms. The rates depend on the source smoothness parameter $r$, characterized by a variational source condition, and the effective dimension exponent $b$, describing the polynomial spectral decay of the covariance operator. We further prove matching minimax lower bounds, showing that the obtained convergence rates are optimal. To relate the theory to practical sparsity models, we consider finitely smoothing operators of the form $A=G\circ S$, where $S$ is a synthesis operator, and show that approximation-space assumptions imply the required variational source conditions. In particular, we prove that membership in the approximation space $k_t$ is equivalent to polynomial decay of the best $n$-term approximation error. Finally, we verify the assumptions for two representative inverse problems: reaction coefficient identification in elliptic PDEs and sparse computed tomography. For filtered Radon transforms, we derive explicit effective-dimension asymptotics, yielding concrete convergence rates for standard image models and sparsifying systems.

Approximate full-conformal multi-task regression with reproducing kernels

Multi-task regression aims at jointly solving multiple regression problems, called tasks. Compared to solving each task separately, better performances can be achieved as long as the tasks are sufficiently related. Full-conformal prediction is a framework that formulates a data-dependent prediction-region containing the unknown output-vector at any prescribed confidence level. However, explicit computation of this prediction-region is intractable in general since it requires training infinitely many predictors. The present work focuses on multi-task regression in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) of vector-valued functions. This computational issue is addressed by designing an approximating predictionregion containing the full-conformal one. This construction is carried out in two scenarios: piq when the inter-task covariance-matrix is known, and piiq when this matrix is estimated. In terms of volume, the tightness of this approximation is assessed theoretically by means of an upper-bound in the first scenario. It is also empirically proved to improve upon the split-conformal prediction on synthetic data in both scenarios.

Continuum-marginal optimal transport: a mesh-free kernel method

In this paper we study continuum-marginal optimal transport. Given a time-continuous family of probability marginals, the problem is to recover the minimum-energy velocity field whose flow reproduces every marginal. This problem is the continuum limit of the classical two-marginal Benamou--Brenier formulation, and also the deterministic limit of the Nelson problem of stochastic optimal transport. We propose a practical mesh-free solver for this problem. The weak continuity equation is embedded in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, yielding a sample-only objective that requires no spatial discretization. The velocity is parametrized by any linear-in-parameters dictionary or neural network, and is optimized by mini-batch stochastic methods. Synthetic experiments confirm that the method achieves accurate drift recovery and marginal consistency. The same computational framework also applies to the stochastic Nelson problem.