Vagan Terziyan, Artur Terziian, Oleksandra Vitkocs.LG
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are widely used for sequence learning, yet their application is commonly associated with temporal data, although recurrent computation fundamentally operates on ordered sequences rather than on time itself. Building on this observation, we introduce the Ordered Structural Dependency Hypothesis (OSDH), which proposes that multiple admissible orderings of the same observations may reveal complementary structural dependencies inaccessible through a single sequential organization. To operationalize this hypothesis, we propose the Independent Structural Expert Principle (ISEP), whereby projection-specific sequence models are trained independently before their learned representations are integrated through a dedicated fusion model. As a concrete realization, we present Structural Evolution RNNs (SE-RNNs), which employ conventional RNNs as projection-specific structural experts while preserving the underlying recurrent computation unchanged. Proof-of-concept experiments on three synthetic datasets with substantially different levels of structural complexity demonstrate that the proposed architecture consistently benefits from multiple ordered projections when hidden structural dependencies are present, while remaining competitive on simpler datasets. Since OSDH is independent of the underlying sequence-processing model, the proposed framework naturally extends beyond recurrent networks and may be instantiated using alternative architectures. The results suggest a general computational perspective for exploiting complementary ordered representations across diverse structured learning problems.
Muhammad Jawad Mufti, Omar Hammad, Haitham Saleh +1cs.LG
Customer churn prediction is a central task in customer analytics, particularly in non-contractual, pay-per-use service environments where disengagement is not explicitly observed and must be inferred from behavioral inactivity. Existing churn prediction approaches often rely on simplified temporal assumptions or single-point representations of customer behavior, which limit their ability to support continuous risk assessment, interpretability, and realistic deployment over time. This study proposes a temporally explicit churn prediction framework that models customer behavior using rolling behavioral windows, enabling repeated and instance-level churn risk estimation as customer activity evolves. Customer behavior is summarized within a fixed 30-day observation window, followed by a 30-day future churn evaluation window, ensuring a clear temporal separation between behavioral evidence and churn outcomes. The framework integrates feature-based and sequence-based learning approaches within a unified temporal design. The proposed approach is evaluated on a large-scale, real-world dataset from a non-contractual service platform. Empirical results demonstrate strong and stable predictive performance, with accuracy reaching 87.6% and ROC-AUC of 0.94 for the feature-based model, while the sequence-based model achieves recall as high as 96.1% by capturing temporal disengagement patterns. Evaluation on future unseen data confirms meaningful robustness under temporal shift, with accuracy remaining above 83% and ROC-AUC exceeding 0.91 without model retraining. Overall, the findings highlight that carefully designed temporal framing, rather than model complexity alone, is critical for achieving robust, interpretable, and deployment-ready churn prediction. The study provides a practical foundation for churn-oriented decision support in dynamic service environments.