Delayed Optimizer-State Transport Shapes Short-Horizon Training Decisions

Adaptive optimizers retain gradient history in moment variables, allowing a local change in loss weighting to alter later updates. We examine whether this delayed transport is large enough to change prospective short-horizon decisions. On committed future-minibatch sequences, we differentiate eight-step AdamW trajectories through the complete model--optimizer state and select exposure-matched Math--Code loss schedules before independent evaluation. Across 12 unused 0.3M Transformer histories, full transport lowers token-disjoint loss relative to an optimizer-aware immediate derivative in 10/12 histories (mean benefit $4.71\times10^{-4}$; exact one-sided sign test, $p=0.0193$). The two controllers act equally often but select different schedules in 60/96 windows. Crossed checkpoint--future-path tests attribute this reordering to the interaction between optimizer state and near-future data, while an independent Ising--CNN experiment shows that deleting moment-state transport destroys accurate response prediction. Full-transport scores also concentrate exact-rollout winners in larger candidate libraries, focusing finite-amplitude evaluation on a shortlist. On these committed short paths, optimizer memory and near-future data order are therefore actionable components of the training state, providing a mechanism-based criterion for when finite-horizon rather than one-step intervention is required.

Training, learning and inference: unified dynamics of neural systems

We define an atomic generation fact f=(u,tau,omega,z;rho), recording the origin, realized transformation, concrete occurrence, generated result and relation role. Compiled into a Generation-Fact Graph (GFG), these facts provide an AI-native, compilable scientific fact substrate preserving generation histories. We establish a GFG-based recursive scientific process in which analysis, intervention, replay and validation form facts for later cycles. Using nanoGPT, we establish unified training-learning dynamics. Training is the evolution of a parameter-optimizer system with state and memory: each actual training action enters the receiving state and produces a finite-amplitude nonlinear functional response conditioned by that state and target-specific update geometry. Learning is the persistent reorganization of distributed functional support by these responses; capability formation, maintenance, decline or recovery becomes observable when target-specific states are evaluated against their readout boundaries. Three primary coordinates - target-boundary state, target-specific update geometry and parameter-Adam receiving state - yield a second-order predictor operating before post-update outputs are read. On held-out runs, it achieved 91.43% accuracy and 91.49% macro-averaged recall across four transitions. We further establish inference as a frozen projection of training-learning dynamics. Component gating and rollback show causal recruitment and non-additive combination of query-conditioned support formed during training, deriving organizational conditions realized by Attention. Controlled feedback indicates possible double-edged reinforcement effects. ResNet/CIFAR-100 and diffusion/CIFAR-10 experiments confirm receiving-state-conditioned responses, persistent support reorganization and frozen inference projection beyond nanoGPT.

Measuring Structured Predictability in Neural Training Dynamics: A Cross-Regime Study

Modern deep networks are trained through long update trajectories, yet their temporal organization remains less systematically characterized than architectures, losses, or optimizers. We study short-horizon predictability as a measure of temporal redundancy: where, when, and under which training conditions recent updates contain information about near-future parameter motion. We combine three complementary probe families, displacement-direction, subspace-residual, and predictor-based probes, with convention-aware, null-calibrated group-level readouts, and apply them to multi-pass vision training on CIFAR and public Pythia pretraining checkpoints. Across both regimes, vector-like tensors such as normalization parameters and biases (auxiliary parameters) exhibit simpler short-horizon dynamics than matrix-like feature-transforming weights (bulk parameters), whose predictable behavior concentrates in localized, time-varying pockets. Agreement within and across probe families, and with independent trajectory diagnostics, indicates that these measurements capture intrinsic trajectory structure, while probe differences distinguish complementary forms of temporal organization. Controlled CIFAR comparisons further show that architecture and training recipe systematically modulate the measured structure. A Pythia-70M case study further exposes a sequence of role-, depth-, and scale-dependent events, including bulk ESA falling below the random sign-agreement level and the emergence and redistribution of predictable qkv pockets across layers. These results position short-horizon predictability as a retrospective, parameter-resolved diagnostic of training dynamics.

AOS: Adaptive Optimizer Switching via Training-State Signals for Faster Convergence and Better Generalization

Single-optimizer training is a poor fit for the distinct phases of deep network optimization: adaptive methods handle noisy early gradients well but overshoot flat minima, while SGD with momentum generalizes better in the late phase but converges slowly early on. We introduce AOS-R (Adaptive Optimizer Switching, Rule-Based), a lightweight controller that monitors six online gradient-space signals -- gradient noise scale (GNS), Hutchinson curvature trace, loss stagnation, update stability ratio, gradient stability index (GSI), and loss improvement ratio (LIR) -- and switches among AdamW, SGD-M, and Lion as the optimization landscape evolves. State-preserving momentum transfer and a 400-step learning-rate bridge prevent accuracy degradation at every transition point. On CIFAR-100/WRN-28x10, AOS-R reaches 78% top-1 in 81 epochs -- 26% fewer than AdamW (109), 43% fewer than SGD-M (143), and 16% fewer than Lion (96). Across eight model-dataset benchmarks, AOS-R achieves best accuracy on 6 of 8 combinations with a mean +0.4 pp gain and 0.80x convergence speedup over AdamW under a single shared hyperparameter configuration.

Scalar Representations of Neural Network Training Dynamics

Training in artificial neural networks can be viewed as a trajectory evolving through a high-dimensional loss landscape. However, the large number of trainable parameters makes the direct analysis of these dynamics challenging. In this work, we treat such training trajectories as temporal networks and apply recently proposed strategies for the scalar embedding of temporal networks. We investigate whether such a scalar embedding provides a meaningful low-dimensional representation of neural network training dynamics. Using a multilayer perceptron trained on the MNIST classification task, we show that the embedding preserves the main dynamical features observed in the original parameter space, including the emergence of sensitivity to initial conditions for specific learning rate regimes and an accurate reconstruction of the network's maximum Lyapunov exponent. We then use the embedded scalar trajectory to define a characteristic time, analogous to a Lyapunov time, after which the exponential separation between initially close embedded trajectories saturates. This characteristic time captures the typical decorrelation time between initially close network trajectories in the original high-dimensional system. Finally, we investigate the statistical organization of asymptotic training states through a spacing observable defined in the embedded space. We find that the distributions of rescaled asymptotic spacings collapse onto a common form across initial conditions and are compatible with a skew lognormal distribution. Altogether, our results suggest that scalar low-dimensional embeddings provide a useful framework for studying and visualizing the dynamical properties of neural network optimization trajectories.

Characterizing Optimizer-Dependent Training Dynamics Through Hessian Eigenvector Displacement and Localization

Hessian spectral properties are a standard tool in analysing neural-network training, with eigenvalues linked to sharpness, generalization, and optimization dynamics. Eigenvalues quantify curvature magnitude, while eigenvectors identify which parameters generate that curvature. In this work, we study how the leading Hessian eigenvectors evolve during training and how they affect the learning trajectories. We track the training dynamics of multilayer perceptrons on a classification problem and measure eigenvector dynamics through two complementary statistics: (i) displacement over time, inspired by analyses of glassy systems, and (ii) localization via the inverse participation ratio. The metrics are compared against a random null model of the Hessian induced by the architecture. Our results reveal clear optimizer-dependent behaviour. SGD leads to progressively more stable leading curvature directions, while Adam exhibits substantially stronger reorganization of eigenvectors throughout training. We also observe a localization phenomenon under Adam, where a small subset of parameters contributes disproportionately to the leading curvature directions. These results suggest that Hessian eigenvector dynamics capture key differences in optimizer behaviour and the resulting training trajectories.

Effective Covariance Dynamics in Solvable High-Dimensional GANs

We study a solvable high-dimensional model of generative adversarial network (GAN) training in which a linear generator learns a low-dimensional subspace from data with structured latent covariance. Prior solvable GAN analyses assume unconditional signals with diagonal latent covariance; we extend the multi-feature discriminator setting to class-dependent, correlated, and non-zero-mean latent structure. For the quadratic energy discriminator, all such heterogeneity enters the dynamics through a probability-weighted effective second moment. We prove that the stochastic microscopic training process converges, in the high-dimensional limit, to deterministic ordinary differential equations governed by this effective covariance. In the matched-covariance specialization, the stability analysis yields a mode-wise solvable interval determined by the learning rates and noise level: learning begins when the leading effective eigenvalue crosses the lower threshold, while full recovery requires all relevant effective modes to remain within the interval. This reveals a signal-boosting mechanism: low-rank correlations can lift weak directions above the learnability threshold, whereas overly strong correlations destabilize recovery. Numerical simulations validate the ODE, phase boundary, and boosting mechanism. Experiments on MNIST, FashionMNIST, and CIFAR-10 further show that informed generator covariance improves alignment with the data-driven reference subspace.

Weibull Weight-Scale Parameter Evolution under AdamW Training Dynamics

Building on a two-parameter Weibull framework for diagnosing transformer weight distributions, we study why the Weibull weight-scale parameter $λ$ grows, overshoots, and then relaxes during AdamW training. We derive a leading-order three-force decomposition of the squared weight norm from the AdamW update: an alignment force measuring the correlation between weights and the adaptive update direction, an injection force from adaptive step magnitude, and a decay force from decoupled weight decay. On self-trained Pythia-70M models with ground-truth optimizer moments, alignment dominates the rise phase, contributing 88-94% of the absolute force budget across four random seeds and remaining robust to super-weight removal. Near saturation, alignment and decay approach balance, explaining the transition from weight-scale growth to relaxation. These force dynamics directly govern the squared-norm component underlying $λ(t)$; the remaining RMS-to-Weibull reconstruction offset is measurable and decomposes into bridge and integration components, totaling approximately 5-6% in densely sampled regions. To extend the analysis to real models where optimizer moments are unavailable, we introduce a spline displacement method that recovers the alignment force from sparse checkpoints with approximately 92-94% accuracy, about twice the naive two-point baseline. We further observe that the peak value of $λ(t)$ varies with training-data coherence in our experiments, suggesting a data-dependent component of weight-scale growth that we leave to a controlled follow-up study. Code and data are available at https://github.com/tiexinding/NPM-Weibull-public.