Any-Dimensional Learning by Sampling

Many machine learning models are defined for inputs of different sizes, such as point clouds containing different numbers of points, sequences of tokens of different lengths, and graphs on different numbers of nodes. Such models are trained on finitely-many examples of necessarily limited sizes. How well do these models generalize from inputs of small size to larger inputs of size not seen during training? Furthermore, evaluating such models on large inputs is often expensive. How can we sketch large inputs to obtain smaller ones on which the model takes similar values? At the heart of both questions is the need to compare inputs of different sizes and to approximate large inputs by small ones. We present a unified approach to address these questions by using random sampling maps to compare inputs of different sizes. The sampling maps we consider are generalizations of sampling with replacement, random binning, and species sampling. We characterize the application domains in which each type of sampling is appropriate in terms of the symmetries and relations between problem instances of different sizes in the domain. Our framework yields explicit generalization and sketching rates for function classes continuous with respect to a chosen notion of sampling, encompassing large families of functions defined on sequences, graphs, and tensors of different sizes. Specific examples include moment polynomials on measures, homomorphism densities and numbers of graphs, permutation-invariant transformers, and graph neural networks.

Calibrated Sampling-Free Uncertainty Estimation in Bayesian Deep Learning

Modern deep learning models remain notoriously prone to overconfidence, limiting their reliability in high-stakes applications. Bayesian methods aim to counter this by learning a distribution over model parameters, and recent advances now make this feasible for large-scale architectures at costs comparable to AdamW. However, a challenge remains at test time: predictions must be averaged across many forward passes with weights sampled from the posterior, which is prohibitively expensive. Variance propagation offers an efficient alternative, computing layer-wise analytical approximations of uncertainty in a single forward pass. While such techniques are effective for MLPs, their extension to modern architectures remains challenging, due to increased depth and diversity of layer types. To fill this gap, we propose Calibrated Variance Propagation (CVP), which introduces a new propagation method for normalization layers, combines it with recent techniques for handling activation functions, and absorbs residual error through a light calibration step. CVP yields comparably accurate uncertainty estimates to MC sampling across transformers and CNNs, at a fraction of the cost. Against prior variance propagation work, CVP improves coverage at $0.5\%$ risk from $8.2\%$ to $14.6\%$ with BEiT-3 on Visual Reasoning (NLVR2) and from $2.6\%$ to $10.8\%$ with ViLT on VQAv2, with gains extending to convolutional architectures.