The rapid scaling of over-parameterized machine learning architectures, particularly LLMs, raises a profound crisis: do these systems exhibit genuine intelligence, or are they merely sophisticated statistical pattern matchers? Classical flat Euclidean statistics cannot differentiate continuous interpolation from the autonomous discovery of novel causal laws. To resolve this, we introduce Statistically Meaningful Geometry (SMG), a framework modeling over-parameterized learning systems as infinite-dimensional non-parametric Orlicz fiber bundles. We prove that under persistent out-of-distribution (OOD) stimuli governed by unmodeled causal mechanisms, continuous optimization fails. Unmodeled variance is rejected by the visible horizontal base manifold, leaking into the unobservable vertical fiber space and generating an accumulation of Active Acausal Tension. Driven by the statistical manifold's non-linear curvature, this tension inevitably strikes a conjugate focal boundary ($T_{\text{crit}} = π^2 / K_{\text{max}}$), triggering localized volumetric collapse and a catastrophic matrix singularity ($[G_f]^{-1} \to \infty$). We demonstrate this geometric breakdown acts as the strict non-equilibrium trigger for a Gauge Symmetry Break (GSB). The system purges hidden tension from unobservable gauge redundancies, spontaneously crystallizing a new, mathematically independent horizontal coordinate axis. This non-parametric phase transition registers as a discrete $+1.0$ integer step-jump in observable Structural G-Entropy. By decoupling parameter charts and subjecting emergent axes to a Minimal Energy Path Criterion and a Causal Invariance Filter, we distinguish genuine discovery from malignant hallucinations. Ultimately, SMG provides a parameter-free, falsifiable dashboard to mathematically certify true intelligence, transforming AI for Science into an engine of autonomous paradigm shifts.
Deep residual architectures are modeled as products of near-identity Jacobians. This paper proves deterministic quotient-geometric estimates for singular spectra of Frobenius-normalized layer factors, emphasizing a normalized top-radial Cartan coordinate and fitted power-law chart. Full-rank factors are mapped from $\mathrm{GL}(d)$ to the positive cone by $A\mapsto A^\top A$, then to ordered eigenvalue data. Under Frobenius normalization, exact power-law spectra form a trace-normalized Cartan orbit. This orbit is a Gibbs family on ranks, a Fisher information line, and a Bures--Wasserstein curve with line element $d/4$ times Fisher information. The main rigidity theorem is a slack-aware margin inequality: interface radial amplitude, non-backtracking slack, and signed residual variation control displacement of the fitted Cartan coordinate. In the exact-chart zero-slack case, a depth-$L$ budget gives exponent drift of order $(\log M)/L$; generally, slack and residual increments augment the bound. We separate scalar top-radial from full-Cartan spectral control, which also needs Bures/Hellinger residual variation. We prove approximate-power-law and metric-chart versions, converse lower bounds, Fisher--KL/Bures action estimates, and near-identity expansions for normalized residual chains. Near-identity results verify transport budgets; chart quality remains measurable. Effective rank is a spectral-energy quantile, giving finite-width power-law tail bounds and robust rank-window transition estimates. Empirical static-weight exponent profiles serve as diagnostics; full verification also requires interface budgets, slacks, and residuals for the same operator chain.