The sharp SAT/UNSAT phase transition in random ellipsoid fitting

Let $x_1,\ldots,x_n$ be independent standard Gaussian vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. An \emph{ellipsoid fit} is a matrix $S \succeq 0$ such that $x_i^\top S x_i =d$ for every $i$, so that all the points lie on the boundary of the centered ellipsoid $\{ x : x^\top S x = d\}$. Saunderson, Parrilo and Willsky conjectured that, as $n,d \to \infty$, this semidefinite feasibility problem undergoes a sharp transition at $n \sim d^2/4$. We prove this conjecture. If $\lim \sup n/d^2 = α^* <1/4$, then, with probability tending to one, an ellipsoid fit exists; moreover, one can choose $S$ with all eigenvalues in a fixed interval $[λ_- , λ_+] \subset (0,\infty)$ depending only on $α^*$. Conversely, if $\lim \inf n/d^2 > 1/4$, then, with probability tending to one, no ellipsoid fit exists, without any spectral restriction. Our proof builds on the Gaussian-equivalence framework developed by Bandeira and Maillard (2025) and closes the two gaps left open in their work: establishing exact fitting and removing the operator-norm constraint. On the satisfiable side, the new ingredients are a head-tail decomposition of the dual vector, exact correction of the sparse head constraints, and a Gaussian comparison principle for the low-influence tail. On the unsatisfiable side, we split a candidate into a low-rank spectral head and a Schatten-3 diffuse bulk, Gaussianize the bulk conditionally on the head, and apply a projected Gordon escape argument. The threshold is governed by the statistical dimension $d(d+1)/4$ of the positive semidefinite cone.

Relevant and Irrelevant: A Renormalization Group Analysis of Transformer Attention

Using the language of Wilsonian renormalization group theory (RG), we treat the Transformer's attention mechanism as a perturbation of the trained MLP residual-stack fixed point and ask whether it constitutes a relevant, marginal, or irrelevant operator. We derive a fixed-point shift formula and obtain four testable predictions for the fixed-point geometry, effective rank profile, layer specificity, and perturbation decay spectrum. Testing these on synthetic Markov chain sequences with controlled correlation length, we find: (1) For large chains(long correlation), attention is strongly relevant: it closes a residual loss gap the MLP cannot bridge and drives a phase transition in representation space, with effective rank jumping above input dimensionality at layer 1 and stabilizing at a high-dimensional plateau. (2) For short chains(short correlation), attention is irrelevant: the Transformer converges to the same loss and fixed-point geometry as the MLP, though it contracts perturbations faster. (3) The transition is dominated by the first-layer head (L0H0), which accounts for more than 4 times the representational shift of any subsequent head, consistent with the prediction that the relevant operator acts before the MLP begins integrating out positional variation. (4) Perturbation decay experiments reveal a regime reversal: in the long correlation regime the Transformer selectively preserves slow Markov modes (5.4 times the dynamic range in decay length vs. 1.3 times for the MLP); in the short correlation regime it suppresses all modes faster than the MLP, with no spectral selectivity. Together, these results show that the relevance of attention is not a property of the architecture but of the spectral structure of the data-generating process, and that a first-order RG perturbation framework provides a predictive account of that difference.

Thermodynamic Weight Decay: Exploring Grokking Acceleration via Attention Specific Heat

Grokking -- the delayed generalization of neural networks long after they have memorized their training data -- wastes thousands of training epochs and is notoriously unpredictable. Building on the recent result that Transformer attention is formally isomorphic to a thermodynamic system, we treat the variance of attention logits as a specific heat Cv and show that its peak reliably precedes the generalization transition. We introduce CvAdamW, a drop-in AdamW variant that monitors Cv online and injects thermal energy by dynamically scaling weight decay when a phase transition is detected. Through a strictly iterative development process we identify three failure modes -- initialization noise, mini-batch micro-ripples, and slingshot blinding -- and resolve them with a memorization gate and an exponential-moving-average shock absorber. On modular arithmetic (a+b mod 97), CvAdamW enables grokking at epoch 2802 in a 4000-epoch budget where the baseline never groks. We further propose a scale-invariant z-score reformulation that removes task-specific hyperparameters, and evaluate it across 10 paired seeds. A paired analysis shows the cold-start variant reduces mean grokking latency by 257 epochs (6.0%; median 166 epochs; Wilcoxon p=0.049, Cohen's d=0.68, bootstrap 95% CI [53,489]), improving 8 of 10 seeds; on this single task Cv peaks before grokking in all 10 seeds. Our results indicate that neural networks may expose detectable precursors of impending generalization transitions, and that a physically motivated, proportional intervention can facilitate generalization within a fixed compute budget. Code and data are public.

Statistically Meaningful Geometry and Gauge Symmetry Breaking: A Geometric Foundation for Scientific Discovery and Intelligence Emergence

The rapid scaling of over-parameterized machine learning architectures, particularly LLMs, raises a profound crisis: do these systems exhibit genuine intelligence, or are they merely sophisticated statistical pattern matchers? Classical flat Euclidean statistics cannot differentiate continuous interpolation from the autonomous discovery of novel causal laws. To resolve this, we introduce Statistically Meaningful Geometry (SMG), a framework modeling over-parameterized learning systems as infinite-dimensional non-parametric Orlicz fiber bundles. We prove that under persistent out-of-distribution (OOD) stimuli governed by unmodeled causal mechanisms, continuous optimization fails. Unmodeled variance is rejected by the visible horizontal base manifold, leaking into the unobservable vertical fiber space and generating an accumulation of Active Acausal Tension. Driven by the statistical manifold's non-linear curvature, this tension inevitably strikes a conjugate focal boundary ($T_{\text{crit}} = π^2 / K_{\text{max}}$), triggering localized volumetric collapse and a catastrophic matrix singularity ($[G_f]^{-1} \to \infty$). We demonstrate this geometric breakdown acts as the strict non-equilibrium trigger for a Gauge Symmetry Break (GSB). The system purges hidden tension from unobservable gauge redundancies, spontaneously crystallizing a new, mathematically independent horizontal coordinate axis. This non-parametric phase transition registers as a discrete $+1.0$ integer step-jump in observable Structural G-Entropy. By decoupling parameter charts and subjecting emergent axes to a Minimal Energy Path Criterion and a Causal Invariance Filter, we distinguish genuine discovery from malignant hallucinations. Ultimately, SMG provides a parameter-free, falsifiable dashboard to mathematically certify true intelligence, transforming AI for Science into an engine of autonomous paradigm shifts.

Phase transitions for the noisy transformer model in arbitrary dimension

We study the McKean--Vlasov free energy on the unit sphere associated with the unnormalized self-attention (USA) model for noisy transformer dynamics. We prove a sharp global-minimizer dichotomy in every dimension $d\ge2$. There is a unique $β_*^{(d)}>0$ such that \begin{equation*} \frac{I_{d/2+1}(β_*^{(d)})}{I_{d/2}(β_*^{(d)})}=\frac1d, \end{equation*} where $I_ν$ is the modified Bessel function of the first kind. For $0<β\le β_*^{(d)}$, the uniform density remains the unique global minimizer up to the linear-stability threshold \begin{equation*} K_\#^{(d)}(β)=\frac{β^{d/2}}{2^{d/2}Γ(d/2)I_{d/2}(β)}, \end{equation*} and the phase transition is continuous. For $β>β_*^{(d)}$, the uniform density is not globally minimizing at $K_\#^{(d)}(β)$, so the critical coupling satisfies $K_c<K_\#^{(d)}(β)$ and the transition is discontinuous. This result generalizes the authors' recent $d=2$ work arXiv:2604.16288 to arbitrary dimension. The proof uses the sharp Beckner--Onofri/logarithmic Hardy-Littlewood-Sobolev (HLS) inequality on the sphere, together with a Funk--Hecke/Bessel coefficient computation and a degree-two quartic obstruction.