H$^2$EDL: Hyper Evidential Deep Learning for Hierarchical Classification

Fine-grained recognition often involves hierarchical label spaces, where a model may be confident about a coarse semantic concept while remaining uncertain among its descendant classes. Such structured ambiguity requires uncertainty representations that capture both fine-grained classes and intermediate concepts. However, existing tools each capture only half of it: flat evidential classifiers quantify total ignorance with a single vacuity on the leaf frame, and hierarchical classifiers propagate point probabilities with no notion of evidence. Hyper-opinions would unify the two, but their general form is exponential in the label count, and existing hyper-evidential networks either require composite labels to be supplied in the training data or read them off an unstructured weight pattern, with no principled notion of which composites deserve mass. We observe that the taxonomy itself is the missing hyperdomain. Its subtrees and leaf singletons form a linear-size focal family, and one local Dirichlet opinion per branching node induces every composite mass in closed form. The resulting model, H$^2$EDL, can be interpreted in two complementary ways using the same set of parameters. From a prediction perspective, it functions as a hierarchical classifier that preserves consistency across different levels of the label tree. From a probabilistic perspective, it defines a valid tree-structured hyper-opinion, where the mass assigned to each node represents the belief that reaches that node but does not provide sufficient confidence to further specialize into its descendants. On FGVC-Aircraft and DERM12345, H$^2$EDL reduces calibration error by approximately half compared with cross-entropy baselines, with the improvement becoming more pronounced at deeper hierarchy levels and under larger training budgets.

ELVAE: Evidential Learning-Based Variational Autoencoder for Uncertainty-Aware Generation

Variational autoencoders generate samples from probabilistic latent representations but do not distinguish uncertainty about the latent location from variability around it. We formulate ELVAE, an evidential learning-based VAE in which each latent coordinate is governed by an input-dependent normal-inverse-gamma posterior. This hierarchy yields an explicit latent-location uncertainty that can be used during generation, not merely reported after inference: low-uncertainty anchors support more reliable synthetic samples, while high-uncertainty anchors can be deliberately exploited for stress testing. The objective is an exact evidence lower bound, and we show that direct regularization of the full hierarchy is required, since the marginalized latent law alone cannot identify the uncertainty decomposition. In an MNIST generation pilot with a frozen external classifier, this uncertainty clearly stratified the semantic reliability of generated digits. A zero-displacement control revealed that most of the effect reflects how reliably an anchor can be re-generated, while a smaller but distinct component is attributable to uncertainty-scaled perturbation itself. The effect holds only under within-class uncertainty ranking, and its magnitude varies across seeds. These findings support the learned latent-location uncertainty as a practical control variable for uncertainty-aware generation, separating anchor reliability from perturbation-induced failure.

Evidential Rule Learning for Interpretable Classification with Abstention

Interpretable classification often requires more than accurate predictions for real-life deployment: models should be transparent about the evidence behind their decisions and abstain when they cannot decide reliably. We introduce Fast Evidential Rule Learning (FERL), a method that learns interpretable, accurate fuzzy rule models whose outputs are evidential. Unlike post-hoc calibration, FERL's belief, plausibility, and abstention capabilities arise directly from the fuzzy memberships in a single deterministic pass, with no auxiliary head, held-out set, or repeated inference. Our theoretical analysis further shows that FERL is Lipschitz stable, which means that its evidential outputs vary smoothly with the input. Against state-of-the-art rule learners, FERL is statistically significantly more accurate across a 30 tabular-dataset benchmark ($+2.6\%$ average accuracy over the second best). Its native set predictions attain the best utility-discounted accuracy among credal classifiers ($u_{65}/u_{80}=0.80/0.83$ vs.\ $0.79/0.80$ for the naive credal classifier), at higher set coverage ($0.92$ vs.\ $\le0.82$). FERL also matches dedicated out-of-distribution detectors on tabular near-OOD detection ($77.7$ vs.\ $77.4$ AUROC for the strongest baseline). Under detector-class-disjoint concept-bottleneck evaluation, its it is within $2.3$ AUROC points of the strongest dedicated detector on both CUB and AwA2, while attaining the best AwA2 AUPR-Out ($68.3$) and novel-class rejection ($57.2$), while being able to name which attributes are anomalous.